Gonzaga plays in a better conference and is considered one of the "unluckiest" teams in college basketball this year. They went 0-3 in OT games and lost additional games by 6, 3, 4, 4, and 7. Only 4 of their 24 wins were by single digits and they won a bunch by 30+.
Would have to be purely by chance for UConn, the committee might even actively try to avoid it, and UConn would probably have to get up to the 6 or 7 line to have a shot at it.
No way they’re setting up a scenario where we have a home game against a 1 seed in round 2.
I don't think anybody anywhere other than you is invoking the term "bubbling juggernaut" for UConn, but you may have your sources and I might be wrong.
We here like to think we are a center of focus for how the committee shapes the brackets. We’re not. If we’re the top 8 seed they’ll likely put us in the bracket with the lowest 1.
Plus none of the 1s are going to choose Providence. It's going to go to St. John's and then one other team that it just randomly happens to be closest towards the end of the protected seedline.
Issue is that the Zags also likely jumped us with the win last night, pushing us back a spot.
Most bracket people already had them slightly ahead of us.
Bracket matrix had them two spots behind us.
Sure they do...if it's a close call on seeding they absolutely look at Conf Tourney's to move teams up or down a line on the bracket.
They're not moving teams up and down because they're not running a horse race. But what their final product looks like will absolutely have changed by the results of individual (or more likely a group of 3 or so games, ie Marquette losing and UConn winning 2).
It almost feels designed for Zags/StM. I swear I think those two programs hire analytics consultants to understand how they could game the metrics & have the WCC onboard.
Colorado is 1-14 in Q1 games.....we are the one win.
The loss felt even worse in person at the Lahaina Civic Center. As that game ended on Hass' missed 3 pointer all I thought for the next 5 minutes was "how the hell did they lose to that s. h. i. t. t. team?"Colorado is 1-14 in Q1 games.....we are the one win.
every time I think about the loss at Seton Hall
Try being at the Seton Hall game, like this guy. At least Colorado wasn't established awful yet, Seton Hall was concretely horrendous.
After Selection Sunday there will be interviews saying the field was pretty well set before the major conference tournaments started. Moving someone up or down a line can have wide ripple effects, so they tend not to do it. They'll have to make adjustments for this year's NC State or whatever, but our fate is more than likely set already.
How much do you think our BET run during Kemba-mania in 2011 helped our seed? IIRC, we won 5 games in 5 days....what if we had been bounced in game 1? I think we landed a 3 seed in the NCAAT, but if we had gone 1 and done in the BET, I have a feeling we would have ended up as a 6 or even 7 seed.
Sure, there are exceptions. Us in 2011, NC State last year. They don't do wholesale changes minus something big like that.
So weird. It seems it isn’t how many games you win. Or who you beat, it is….who you lose to that matters?
You win (for worst spot).
That is the craziest set up I've ever seen.
I would guess we moved up 2 seed lines. Maybe 3 if we went from the top 6 to the last 3 or something. Our schedule that year was insane. We had 9 losses, but all 9 were to teams that made the NCAA tournament, and 8 of the 9 were to teams that were a 6 seed or better in the tournament. We were going to get seeded like the SEC teams will get seeded this year.
It's generally the weekend games and especially Sunday that don't affect much. The committee starts today, but is moving through the field slowly over the next few days. Wins on Thurs/Fri and perhaps even Sat night should still have time to be recognized. But have to also realize that there is only so much that 2 or 3 wins can even do compared to the established 30 game resume.