No Question We’re In Now…Is a 7 or 6 Seed In Reach?

[JustbrewitMan]

Would it kill a man to label his axis?

As a nerd, it's driving me borderline insane. lmao

Whipped it up quick. The title gives you the info. NetRtg y-axis, the KP rank on the X axis. Sheesh!

 

[JustbrewitMan]

Years are in color showing '24-'25 is way above the others. Bottom X axis is Ranking Kenpom #1 thru #20 any year, and vertical axis is +Net Rating points. This year #1 is like +40 while in 22'-23' #1 Kenpom got +30.

#1 is Duke, who has just been pulverizing a historically-weak ACC whose KP ratings were all likely inflated to start the season (last year's data). So the "adjustments" for horrible teams are likely under-adjustments, too.

 

[Ha Who]

Not a good sign when your own network is only projecting one team from your conference in the top 25 this week.

College basketball rankings: Duke takes over No. 1; St. John's enters top 5 | FOX SportsCheck out this story from Fox Sports

 

[6Nattys4Us]

Not a good sign when your own network is only projecting one team from your conference in the top 25 this week.

College basketball rankings: Duke takes over No. 1; St. John's enters top 5 | FOX SportsCheck out this story from Fox Sports

That's Fanta's take - not as widely held as the AP poll which takes way too long on a Monday to come out.

 

[Ha Who]

That's Fanta's take - not as widely held as the AP poll which takes way too long on a Monday to come out.

Thus my statement “your own network”

 

[businesslawyer]

Meh.

The 4 seed was silly. They were clearly a top 10 team and everyone thought so. I am making a case why I think they are on the 7 line right now, not the 8.

I can see them get to a 6, which is what you want. Tough games, but you stay away from a 1 or 2 in first weekend.

6 is top 24. I don’t think eye tests says that is unreasonable. Especially if they make big east final by beating Creighton for second time.

I think the only thing guaranteed is the floor is a 9 heading into big east tourney and the ceiling probably a 6. They are a 7 now, IMO.

Many thought we were one of the best four teams in the country, but we clearly were? We were coming off a loss in our conference tourney semis and hadn't seriously challenged for our conference regular season title. And, if you look at the teams we were competing against for seeds 10-16 or so, I doubt many of them had as many bad losses as we had at the start of the Big East season. There is a big difference between being one of the best, defined as who would be favored to win on a neutral court, versus one of the most accomplished which judges who you beat, who you lost to and where over the course of the entire season.

 

[RuffRuff]

Bracket Matrix update - we haven’t moved a blink after the Hall. That said we have a new group of teams under us within reach, one being Marquette. We should be pulling for Xavier, and against teams like Miss st, Kansas and BYU.

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2025