CocoHusky
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We have strayed quite a bit form trying to answer your question with the additional players comparisons. Moriah Jefferson and Jen Rizzoti- As If... ! My answer would be similar to @vowelguy. Freshman Mel Thomas would have made out better than both Nika and Molly because she was a terrific 3Pt shooter (Freshman 31%, career 40%) and her A:TO was also very good ( Freshman 1.7, Career 1.96).Here is my question: If Mel had been in Molly's class or in Nika's class, with the roster competition that they faced, would she have done any better than they did or are doing? I don't think so.
As to your other scenario of can Nika become a starter as a Sophomore as Mel did- I don't see that happening for Nika because her main weakness are the strengths of the incoming class-specifically the ability to shoot the ball.
Three games and two injuries right? The latter being far more significant? When last at full strength in a meaningful game Nika logged 0 minutes.