New Mexico St (in Buffalo) | Page 5 | The Boneyard

New Mexico St (in Buffalo)

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Kenpom has us winning 70-64

When New Mexico St.

has the ball​

CategoryNMST
Offense
Connecticut
Defense
D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency107.8 8794.6 35103.1
Avg. Poss Length18.4 28118.0 27517.6
Four Factors
Effective FG%:52.2 7945.7 2550.0
Turnover %:20.7 31318.0 20418.4
Off. Reb. %:33.3 3927.5 14828.1
FTA/FGA:35.4 5231.9 22930.3
Miscellaneous Components
3P%:33.0 21634.5 23333.7
2P%:54.1 3642.8 549.7
FT%:69.3 26468.0 2871.7
Block%:6.3 816.7 59.0
Steal%:9.9 2518.7 2319.4
Style Components
3PA/FGA:41.1 10532.6 3437.7
A/FGM:53.8 9844.2 4150.8
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers:31.5 17029.8 23131.3
2-Pointers:49.4 22651.0 17350.9
Free Throws:19.0 11219.2 11017.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes:32.0% 14928.0% 24430.7%
Experience:2.03 yrs 1452.15 yrs 1161.87
Average Height:78.1" 4278.2" 3977.0"
2-Foul Participation:2.1% 3517.7% 30721.1%

When Connecticut

has the ball​

CategoryConnecticut
Offense
NMST
Defense
D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency113.9 2197.7 73103.1
Avg. Poss Length17.8 21017.1 7517.6
Four Factors
Effective FG%:49.6 19445.5 2050.0
Turnover %:17.4 11016.9 27118.4
Off. Reb. %:37.9 126.2 9528.1
FTA/FGA:30.6 16227.8 10530.3
Miscellaneous Components
3P%:35.3 7930.0 2233.7
2P%:47.8 24945.8 3349.7
FT%:75.0 6674.2 29871.7
Block%:8.3 11812.9 329.0
Steal%:9.3 1766.9 3339.4
Style Components
3PA/FGA:34.2 26242.6 31737.7
A/FGM:52.2 14348.2 11050.8
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers:29.7 22234.4 7031.3
2-Pointers:51.5 15847.2 28850.9
Free Throws:18.8 12118.5 14817.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes:28.0% 24432.0% 14930.7%
Experience:2.15 yrs 1162.03 yrs 1451.87
Average Height:78.2" 3978.1" 4277.0"
2-Foul Participation:7.7% 3072.1% 35121.1%
The numbers that stand out:
  • Their great 2-point offense (and ability to avoid getting blocked) vs. our elite 2-point defense (and our elite shot-blocking)
  • Their tendency to shoot 3's vs. our tendency to funnel guys into the paint
  • Their rebounding is great on both ends; ours is elite on the offensive side and so-so on D
  • Their solid shot-blocking and 2-point and 3-point defense

Our styles actually look fairly similar, we're just a better version. Honestly, this is kind of the matchup we want.

What could get us in trouble is if our offense gets bogged down, but they unexpectedly get hot from 3 (they shoot a lot but not at a high percentage).
 

UConnSwag11

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The numbers that stand out:
  • Their great 2-point offense (and ability to avoid getting blocked) vs. our elite 2-point defense (and our elite shot-blocking)
  • Their tendency to shoot 3's vs. our tendency to funnel guys into the paint
  • Their rebounding is great on both ends; ours is elite on the offensive side and so-so on D
  • Their solid shot-blocking and 2-point and 3-point defense

Our styles actually look fairly similar, we're just a better version. Honestly, this is kind of the matchup we want.
If we can force challenged shots and we can rebound I think we should be ok. When we’re in transition we’re pretty good. We just play. Especially when Jackson turns into Mendoza from Mighty Ducks and gets down the court with the ball.
 
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Can someone tell me who was the best team NMSt played this year? Davidson?

So hard to tell with a team that has only played a handful of games against the top 100 in college basketball.
Davidson, yes. Also Utah State and Washington State.

But the best team they've played in the last 3 months is...Grand Canyon.
 
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They mention @UConnKev in thier board. They hapoynwith the seed they got and I guess fear Josh Carlton more than Sanogo. Someone should tell them we are UConn or UCONNo, not UCON. Regardless, I wish them luck as us even better luck.
 
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I think 5 seed is very fair. The 6 is obviously tougher. The 7 8 9 seeds are Death Valley. I think that it’s good we are not in that track.
 

OkaForPrez

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In case you wanted to look back on how we we’re feeling last year:

 
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Someone should tell them we are UConn or UCONNo, not UCON.

Yeah, I expect the epithets from rivals, but it's weird coming from teams that we have no beef with.
 
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They have Teddy Allen who transferred from WVU and Nebraska who will be tough. But I like our chances with Martin and Jackson to defend him
I think he oddly also had a stop at Wichita in there too. He can play for sure
 
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Only window of the entire first two rounds that I can't watch live...
 
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Their board is brutal. They are talking about the weather and how the team should fly out early to get acclimated. I didn't have the heart to tell them the game is being played indoors.
Reading their board reminded me that Pascal Siakam played for NMSU. Toronto is really close to Buffalo and the Raptors are off that day, so he may well be at the game. As long as he doesn't suit up, we should be OK though.
 

RayIsTheGOAT

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Their board is brutal. They are talking about the weather and how the team should fly out early to get acclimated. I didn't have the heart to tell them the game is being played indoors.
Link to their board?
 

RichZ

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Looks like they also have rebounding as a strength.
Rebounding is different in the desert. The air is thinner. Or hotter. Or something.
 

RichZ

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The only actual analysis provided so far in that thread provided by NMSUAGGIE1:

I have probably watched more UConn games than most as my wife is a UConn grad. While I love Will and Alok, Sanogo is on another level and they can’t guard him. Tyrese Martin or Andre Jackson will guard Teddy.

They go 8 or 9 deep. They have Polley and Hawkins who are very good scorers off the bench. If we get Cole in foul trouble we will have a chance. Gaffney their backup PG is having an awful year and doesn’t do well when pressed.
If this guy has seen as many games as he insinuated, he'd know that "Alok" has been virtually out of our rotation for the past month. 37 minutes and scored 5 points to go with 4 rebounds and 4 blocks since the 20th of January. That's not averages, it's total.

He might also know that Will and Alok as Whaley and Akok. He should check with his wife.

8 or 9 deep? Try 6 or 7, and if Hawk comes off concussion protocol before Thursday, that could grow to 7 or 8.
 
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The only actual analysis provided so far in that thread provided by NMSUAGGIE1:


If this guy has seen as many games as he insinuated, he'd know that "Alok" has been virtually out of our rotation for the past month. 37 minutes and scored 5 points to go with 4 rebounds and 4 blocks since the 20th of January. That's not averages, it's total.

He might also know that Will and Alok as Whaley and Akok. He should check with his wife.

8 or 9 deep? Try 6 or 7, and if Hawk comes off concussion protocol before Thursday, that could grow to 7 or 8.
Yuat Alok plays for New Mexico State.
 
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