NCAA Top 16 Reveal set for Thursday Jan 18th | The Boneyard

NCAA Top 16 Reveal set for Thursday Jan 18th

Wbbfan1 said:
First NCAA Division I Women’s Basketball Committee Top-16 reveal set for January 18

Will be interesting to see who the 4th #1 Seed will be.

Predicting in order the #1 seeds are: UConn, Miss St, Louisville and then I'll guess the 4th #1 seed is Baylor.

Have no clue how to rank the #2 Seeds.
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I predict it will not be Baylor, not yet anyway. The committee likes to see a resume of quality wins. Baylor's best wins (and their only wins over the RPI top 50) are Stanford and Oklahoma. Baylor's strength of schedule is also the weakest among the contenders for top seeding. At this point, Baylor is pretty much the Maryland of last year.

Notre Dame will be the other #1 seed. Eight wins over the RPI top 50 (more than anyone except UConn) and the #2 SOS.

My predictions:
1. UConn 2. Miss St 3. Louisville 4. Notre Dame
5. Oregon 6. Tennessee 7. South Carolina 8. Texas
9. Ohio State 10. Baylor 11. Missouri 12. Duke
13. Rutgers 14. Florida St 15. Iowa 16. Green Bay
Also in contention: UCLA, Michigan, Arizona St, Maryland, Villanova, West Virginia, Texas A&M, Michigan St
 
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Anyone have a link to the most recent RPI rankings? Will be curious to compare the committee's rankings to the RPI rankings.
 
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Plebe said:
I called it!

The Baylor part anyway.

I missed badly on Duke and Georgia.
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I kept waiting and waiting for that Blue D to pop up..... but :oops:

Loading up on the Big South conference definitely hurt... but at least we are leading that league :rolleyes:
 
Like I said, who cares what Baylor’s seed is in the first reveal. I doubt that we will work our way up to a 1 seed but a 2 is attainable. If Baylor is 3 seed come tournament time I suspect that no 1 or 2 seed will be very happy about having us in their region.
 
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Plebe said:
I called it!

The Baylor part anyway.

I missed badly on Duke and Georgia.
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Me too. Just like i said and the heat i have taken. Committee looks at SOS
 
Plebe said:
I called it!

The Baylor part anyway.

I missed badly on Duke and Georgia.
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What are you going to talk about now that your prediction about BU came true? That’s been at least 50% if your posts this season.
 
Even with four Freshmen, Baylor & Kim Mulkey should be ashamed of their OOC Scheduling. This isn't the first year she's scheduled like this. Don't want to play the traditional Top 10 teams, then at least schedule Top 15 -25. Also schedule and play some home/Away series against Good Teams. Better scheduling helps build a NCAA Resume and get ready for Conference Play.


easttexastrash said:
Like I said, who cares what Baylor’s seed is in the first reveal. I doubt that we will work our way up to a 1 seed but a 2 is attainable. If Baylor is 3 seed come tournament time I suspect that no 1 or 2 seed will be very happy about having us in their region.
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easttexastrash said:
Like I said, who cares what Baylor’s seed is in the first reveal. I doubt that we will work our way up to a 1 seed but a 2 if probably attainable. If Baylor is. 3 seed come tournament time I suspect that no 1 or 2 seed will be very happy about having us in their region.
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Wbbfan1 said:
Even with four Freshmen, Baylor & Kim Mulkey should be ashamed of their OOC Scheduling. This isn't the first year she's scheduled like this. Don't want to play the traditional Top 10 teams, then at least schedule Top 15 -25. Also schedule and play some home/Away series against Good Teams. Better scheduling helps build a NCAA Resume and get ready for Conference Play.
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Mulkey scheduled like she wanted to and is paying the price. Keep droning on about the BU schedule. It will not change anything. But if it makes you feel better, enjoy.
 
Wbbfan1 said:
Even with four Freshmen, Baylor & Kim Mulkey should be ashamed of their OOC Scheduling. This isn't the first year she's scheduled like this. Don't want to play the traditional Top 10 teams, then at least schedule Top 15 -25. Also schedule and play some home/Away series against Good Teams. Better scheduling helps build a NCAA Resume and get ready for Conference Play.
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Do note that Baylor did play a traditional top 10 team in Stanford, and a consistent ranked team in Kentucky. Unfortunately they did not play along with Baylor's scheduling aspirations. Everyone knows the situation with the UCLA game. While still not a terribly difficult schedule it is not wholly from lack of effort. By the time Big 12 play is over Baylor should have at least 5 and perhaps as many as 8 ranked victories.
 
easttexastrash said:
What are you going to talk about now that your prediction about BU came true? That’s been at least 50% if your posts this season.
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What fun would it be to spend 50% of my time making Baylor-related seeding predictions if I didn't spend the remaining 50% of my time bragging about how accurate my predictions were.

upload_2018-1-18_19-25-27.jpeg
 
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Plebe said:
What fun would it be to spend 50% of my time making Baylor-related predictions if I didn't spend the remaining 50% of my time bragging about how accurate my predictions were.
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Oh, Plebe. I tried to give you ample opportunity not to work your way into the Ring of Ignore Honor.
 
easttexastrash said:
Like I said, who cares what Baylor’s seed is in the first reveal. I doubt that we will work our way up to a 1 seed but a 2 is attainable. If Baylor is 3 seed come tournament time I suspect that no 1 or 2 seed will be very happy about having us in their region.
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Oh, please. Baylor hasn't played anyone with a pulse yet this season except for UCLA. I don't want to hear excuses about Cox not being in the lineup; Mulkey's own fault for having a short roster after running off so many players at the end of each season. Even if Baylor had beaten UCLA, their SOS would still be garbage. Yes, they'd have a higher RPI not having lost the game, so maybe they'd be a spot or two higher.

The most upset person about Baylor's ranking was Charlie Crème and that was only because him having them as a #1 overall seed was way off base.
 
easttexastrash said:
Oh, Plebe. I tried to give you ample opportunity not to work your way into the Ring of Ignore Honor.
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Are you joking or are you really that sensitive?

My posts about Baylor's schedule and its impact on current seeding were matter-of-fact in nature. I'm not one to finger-wag or chastise about it. I'm sorry if it strikes such a personal chord. I did indulge in some self-back-patting but it was all in good and (I thought) innocent fun.

I noted elsewhere that I believe Baylor's seeding will rise as it begins to score wins in its heavily backloaded conference schedule.
 
southie said:
Oh, please. Baylor hasn't played anyone with a pulse yet this season except for UCLA. I don't want to hear excuses about Cox not being in the lineup; Mulkey's own fault for having a short roster after running off so many players at the end of each season. Even if Baylor had beaten UCLA, their SOS would still be garbage. Yes, they'd have a higher RPI not having lost the game, so maybe they'd be a spot or two higher.

The most upset person about Baylor's ranking was Charlie Crème and that was only because him having them as a #1 overall seed was way off base.
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Do you hear me whining about the seeding? I have no problem with the seeding committee’s decision. If Baylor beats Texas a couple of times it will help, but considering UT’s pathetic loss to TCU it will not help that much.

We haven’t beaten any teams of significance but at least we haven’t lost to TCU.
 
easttexastrash said:
Do you hear me whining about the seeding? I have no problem with the seeding committee’s decision. If Baylor beats Texas a couple of times it will help, but considering UT’s pathetic loss to TCU it will not help that much.

We haven’t beaten any teams of significance but at least we haven’t lost to TCU.
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And, guess what? Even with the loss to TCU, our RPI and SOS are still so much better than Baylor's that we're ranked 2 spots higher by the committee (despite 2 more losses than Baylor). That should tell you how pathetic your schedule has been thus far.
 
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LOTRADER said:
Does anyone know when the next 2 "reveals" will occur?
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Link at the top states:

In addition, two other top-16 reveals are scheduled this season to take place on Thursday, February 1 during halftime of the UConn-South Carolina game on ESPN (7 p.m. ET) and Monday, February 19, during ESPN2’s Big Monday/Play4Kay tripleheader that includes Florida State at Duke (6 p.m.), Baylor at Texas (8 p.m. ET) and UCLA at Oregon (10 p.m. ET).

Each reveal will include the top-16 in seed order in addition to the top four teams assigned to their potential regional site as of that date. For the final reveal on February 19, teams will be identified with potential regional assignments for all 16 teams.
 
southie said:
Link at the top states:

In addition, two other top-16 reveals are scheduled this season to take place on Thursday, February 1 during halftime of the UConn-South Carolina game on ESPN (7 p.m. ET) and Monday, February 19, during ESPN2’s Big Monday/Play4Kay tripleheader that includes Florida State at Duke (6 p.m.), Baylor at Texas (8 p.m. ET) and UCLA at Oregon (10 p.m. ET).

Each reveal will include the top-16 in seed order in addition to the top four teams assigned to their potential regional site as of that date. For the final reveal on February 19, teams will be identified with potential regional assignments for all 16 teams.
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I gotta hand it to the committee. This is a major upgrade from last year's reveals, which were only for the top 10. This year they're wading into the turbulent waters of spotting who is in line for the final hosting spots, as well as the minefield of regional assignments, which are never going to please everyone.
 
To me the interesting thing about seeding has little to do with the actual seed line. As gets mentioned every year, being the fourth #1 (unless you have a Pac12 team on the top line is usually a negative because you are going to the west coast.) The difference between a two and a three seed is pretty meaningless, while where you are sent is very meaningful.
 
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