Mullins Projected Draft Projection | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Mullins Projected Draft Projection

Fatroony5 said:
And yet multiple freshmen will rise to the top & be drafted, always happens. It’s hard to read into these things so far out. Maybe there’s not a Peterson in the ‘27 class but I’d bet good players will still come out. Either way, I can’t blame Mullins for his decision, just hoping he’s decisive in it. UConn can’t wait around till the draft deadline to know what he’s going to do.
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Only clear guys are Stokes and maybe Rippley.

2nd year Mullins vs a 6’2 SG in Jordan Smith might be good for our guy.

Regardless, he could be a shoe in for the top 10.
 
No clue what he will do but I will say at the beginning of the season his family put out a few things - 1) he was willing to be a bench player if he didn't win a starting spot and 2) he isn't 100% 1AD. So, I think there is a chance he comes back depending on feedback from the combine and/or offers (or lack of them). I'll welcome him with open arms or wish him well wherever he goes pro.

I have no clue who can prepare him best, I've seen the arguments for the NBA and I've seen them for college. I'd think college is more about training up skills, teamwork, plays, etc while the NBA would kinda assume you have that all down and focus more on things like strength training or maybe nothing at all a la "it's just practice, man".

I've noticed a huge focus on money. This may shock some people here but money IS NOT the sole driving factor for everyone. It isn't for me. Sure, it matters and it may be a decisive factor but it is far from the only one for many people. NIL also helps bridge the gap too.
 
Having nothing to do with Mullins, I can see a risk in a player coming back for a second year. If the second year isn't better than the first, it might be game over for the player's NBA hopes.
 
CL82 said:
The official withdrawal date for the NBA draft is May 27, so I guess we'll know one way or another by then, but does that date still matter? If someone stays in the draft doesn't like where they go, could they still come back and play? I'm not sure where this stands now.
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I'm convinced at least a couple players will try this. I don't see how the NCAA can defend their position any longer as they did rule a drafted player was eligible to play.
 
Not sure why Hawkins keeps getting brought up. Hawk left at the peak of his draft stock. Coming back for his Jr year wasn't going to make him into a top 10 pick, especially since his weakness (ball handling) were being masked by our system. He also had a great start to his NBA career. It wasnt until he hurt his back and lost his confidence that things start going badly, but by then he was $20 million plus richer.

Mullins should go through the draft process and get feedback. If he gets a lottery pick grade, he should go, if not, he should come back.
 
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Arod18 said:
Call me crazy but I think if Mullins stays with the two kids coming in next yr I think Ball may be squeezed out.
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How many times are we going to hear some version of this? Zero reason to believe it
 
HW611 said:
Only clear guys are Stokes and maybe Rippley.

2nd year Mullins vs a 6’2 SG in Jordan Smith might be good for our guy.

Regardless, he could be a shoe in for the top 10.
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Any mocks I've seen for 2027 don't even have Stokes 1. They often have Cameron Williams 1. There is a ton of euros in there, which are usually space fillers when not enough good Americans. If the upcoming draft is an A+, the quality of 2027 based on what I've seen is a D. Cameron Williams isn't a special player by any means based on what I've seen, nor is Jordan Smith. This thing has Reibe 15.

2027 NBA Mock Draft - NBA Draft Room

The 2027 NBA Mock Draft features the top players in the 2026 recruiting class. This is a running list that will be updated as new info ...
nbadraftroom.com

Mullins could feasibly go top 5 if he crushes it, that draft is that weak. Some of it will be based on who decides not to go this year obviously.
 
How Sway?! said:
Not sure why Hawkins keeps getting brought up. Hawk left at the peak of his draft stock. Coming back for his Jr year wasn't going to make him into a top 10 pick, especially since his weakness (ball handling) were being masked by our system. He also had a great start to his NBA career. It wasnt until he hurt his back and lost his confidence that things start going badly, but by then he was $20 million plus richer.

Mullins should go through the draft process and get feedback. If he gets a lottery pick grade, he should go, if not, he should come back.
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People bring up Hawkins because not a lot of people questioned him leaving early. And yet, he's still not going to get that huge second deal that you just have to leave ASAP to get to.
 
temery said:
Having nothing to do with Mullins, I can see a risk in a player coming back for a second year. If the second year isn't better than the first, it might be game over for the player's NBA hopes.
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True. And yet, so far, we have but one example.
 
DRBackup said:
People bring up Hawkins because not a lot of people questioned him leaving early. And yet, he's still not going to get that huge second deal that you just have to leave ASAP to get to.
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Yeah because he left at the peak of his draft stock. Literally had nothing to gain from coming back. Mullins does, which is why the comparison is dumb
 
DRBackup said:
People bring up Hawkins because not a lot of people questioned him leaving early. And yet, he's still not going to get that huge second deal that you just have to leave ASAP to get to.
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Everyone idealizing about the second contract - well, sometimes you just aren't good enough to get it. The idea should be about maximizing what you know you can get. Mullins is no slam dunk for a second contract by the looks of it so far.

Roughly 35% of NBA first-round draft picks sign a second contract with the team that originally drafted them, according to data from 2012–2021. While all first-round picks receive guaranteed rookie contracts, only about a third secure a rookie-scale extension or subsequent contract with their drafting team, with lottery picks (45.7%) having a higher retention rate than late first-rounders (25.6%).

Draft Class Second Contract Trends (Same Team):
  • Lottery Picks (1-14): Approximately 45.7% (64 of 140).
  • Non-Lottery Picks (15-30): Approximately 25.6% (41 of 160).
  • Overall First Round (2012–2021): 105 out of 300 (35%) signed a second deal with the same team.
    Reddit
 
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Arod18 said:
Zero reason given to not believe it. Tell me why you dismiss the statement?
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Hurley stayed with him all year despite his shooting slump. He was on the court to end the championship game. We know enough about Hurley to know that turning away from someone like that would be wildly out of character
 
Arod18 said:
So you believe hurley would play a possibly lesser team to just stay loyal to a player or do you believe he would be honest with a player if his playing time be cut?
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I expect Solo Ball to be a big part of next year’s team
 
temery said:
Having nothing to do with Mullins, I can see a risk in a player coming back for a second year. If the second year isn't better than the first, it might be game over for the player's NBA hopes.
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Truth is, Mullins is in a difficult spot. Risk/reward is truly 50/50. Right now, he is still regarded as an elite shooter w a quick release. It’s easy to believe that his numbers dropped because he never fully healed. If he comes back next year and performs similarly to this, his stock drops precipitously. He of course, can come back, shoot 40% and move up. It’s really hard. That’s why I believe if he gets a guarantee between 12-17, he should take it.
 
Icehawk said:
No clue what he will do but I will say at the beginning of the season his family put out a few things - 1) he was willing to be a bench player if he didn't win a starting spot and 2) he isn't 100% 1AD. So, I think there is a chance he comes back depending on feedback from the combine and/or offers (or lack of them). I'll welcome him with open arms or wish him well wherever he goes pro.

I have no clue who can prepare him best, I've seen the arguments for the NBA and I've seen them for college. I'd think college is more about training up skills, teamwork, plays, etc while the NBA would kinda assume you have that all down and focus more on things like strength training or maybe nothing at all a la "it's just practice, man".

I've noticed a huge focus on money. This may shock some people here but money IS NOT the sole driving factor for everyone. It isn't for me. Sure, it matters and it may be a decisive factor but it is far from the only one for many people. NIL also helps bridge the gap too.
Expand ...
If you pay attention to Twitter, at the end of the season his dad Josh thanked all the great people of Ct and Hartford. He was very complimentary. It also read as a goodbye.
 
Mullins is an elite shooter in high school. With potential to be as well at the college levels. Got to hit the numbers to earn that in college. Pretty sure he will shoot much better next year.

Hawkins never was able to shoot at the NBA level.

Liam still hasn't found his 3 point stroke in the G league a year later.
 
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Theories and thoughts or reckless speculation is expected and no comments should be shut down. No one knows anything except the players and staff.

I do feel that Demery, Ball, Ross, Reibe (I always misspell his name - I before E except after C does not apply here) possibly Mullins (40% confident after today's interview w/ DP), are back; with two incoming freshman and portals TBD (frontcourt). Although I love Stewart, he seems to be more out of the picture. I think Stewart has so much potential but we saw how Ross really developed 2nd half of this past season.

Solo has a bad wrist - it was apparent all season - it wasnt 100% 3/4 of this season. That right hand dunk against Illinois (someone brought this up) seems to confirm there "could" be something to it. Ball is a warrior, a fighter, and I expect him to be huge next year. He'll heal up. Danny loves Ball and he's starting .... period.

DEMERY / County
BALL / County
ROSS / MULLINS (big maybe)
Transfer / LANDREW
REIBE / Transfer

I expect this ... with LANDREW peppering in at 3 and 4 when going small.

Hate to say but it seems STEWART is more likely searching for minutes.
 
Arod18 said:
That’s cool. I’m not sure. Still lots of moving parts to go but you can’t say what I posted as nonsense
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Once Solo's wrist heals I see no reason why he can't get back to being close to a 40% shooter from 3, and if that's the case, he will be our leading scorer next season.
 
Inyatkin said:
I expect Solo Ball to be a big part of next year’s team
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Without a doubt. Ball was one of the guys last year who went to Hurley and said he wanted back after they lost to UF, while UK was coming to him with a bag. If nothing else, Hurley is a loyalist.

I'm also not sure anyone is going to pay up for a 30% shooter from three like Uconn will for him. His highest market value is likely with UConn.

The remarks from DP interview were interesting though. Who knows with the portal.
 
djct1999 said:
Truth is, Mullins is in a difficult spot. Risk/reward is truly 50/50. Right now, he is still regarded as an elite shooter w a quick release. It’s easy to believe that his numbers dropped because he never fully healed. If he comes back next year and performs similarly to this, his stock drops precipitously. He of course, can come back, shoot 40% and move up. It’s really hard. That’s why I believe if he gets a guarantee between 12-17, he should take it.
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Your theory would hold more water if both draft classes were equal. They're not. Mullins gaining 15 lbs of muscle and putting up similar #s to this year should see him as a 6-10 pick in next year's draft.

If he shoots 37-42% from 3 he's probably a 4th or 5th pick. Cuz we all know he's quick and deadly inside of 15 feet and that 89% FT isn't going away, either.
 
EnochRoot said:
Your theory would hold more water if both draft classes were equal. They're not. Mullins gaining 15 lbs of muscle and putting up similar #s to this year should see him as a 6-10 pick in next year's draft.

If he shoots 37-42% from 3 he's probably a 4th or 5th pick. Cuz we all know he's quick and deadly inside of 15 feet and that 89% FT isn't going away, either.
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It's a significant factor and could be worth as much as 10-20 draft spots if he has a great year, could as much as double his rookie contract, all while getting a big NIL package from UConn. He'll also be more ready for the NBA. It feels like a no brainer TBH. The only caveat is if there is some team out there telling him he could go lottery or close to.
 
RuffRuff said:
It's a significant factor and could be worth as much as 10-20 draft spots if he has a great year, could as much as double his rookie contract, all while getting a big NIL package from UConn. He'll also be more ready for the NBA. It feels like a no brainer TBH. The only caveat is if there is some team out there telling him he could go lottery or close to.
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As much as I love Mullins, he probably won’t go top 5 in any draft. So what’s the actual risk/reward? If what I believe is true, and he will go 12-17 this year, best case for his return is to move up 5 spots. Worst case is to drop 10-15. It’s extremely rare, not impossible, for someone like Mullins profile to improve their stock with more game tape. Right now, he is being drafted on potential. For the most part, a good year next year is assumed. He needs an absolute blowout year to move up significantly. One can argue, even just a decent year next year drops him.

The argument to stay and collect nil means more for kids like Tarris and Ak. Guys who ceiling at the next level is a role player. A kid like Mullins, who has a chance at a legit second deal, should start the clock asap. Any benefit of returning can easily be matched if he is picked by the right organization.
 
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RuffRuff said:
Without a doubt. Ball was one of the guys last year who went to Hurley and said he wanted back after they lost to UF, while UK was coming to him with a bag. If nothing else, Hurley is a loyalist.

I'm also not sure anyone is going to pay up for a 30% shooter from three like Uconn will for him. His highest market value is likely with UConn.

The remarks from DP interview were interesting though. Who knows with the portal.
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We all know his shooting percentage this year. Not sure why you feel the need to take a shot at him all the time
 
djct1999 said:
As much as I love Mullins, he probably won’t go top 5 in any draft. So what’s the actual risk/reward? If what I believe is true, and he will go 12-17 this year, best case for his return is to move up 5 spots. Worst case is to drop 10-15. It’s extremely rare, not impossible, for someone like Mullins profile to improve their stock with more game tape. Right now, he is being drafted on potential. For the most part, a good year next year is assumed. He needs an absolute blowout year to move up significantly. One can argue, even just a decent year next year drops him.

The argument to stay and collect nil means more for kids like Tarris and Ak. Guys who ceiling at the next level is a role player. A kid like Mullins, who has a chance at a legit second deal, should start the clock asap. Any benefit of returning can easily be matched if he is picked by the right organization.
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Have you looked at a 2027 mock or registered exactly how much weaker that draft is? Do you think Reed Sheppard or Zachary Risacher are a better prospect than Mullins? Draft quality is a big deal. The fall off from a historically amazing draft and a unbelievably weak draft is steep. In theory, he could go from 25 to 7-8.

If Mullins was hurt for much of the year, has a chance to mature, we really don't know what his potential can be next year. I'm honestly not sure a kid like Mullins has that much better a chance at a second deal in theory than a guy like Tarris. Tarris is pretty niche. We've all used the Hawkins comparison - if you get to the league as a shooter and don't make shots, you're kinda done. He was anything but a sharpshooter this year - we saw multiple balls missing the rim entirely. A big like Tarris is a bit more predictable in how he'll be used. Speaking of which, really love seeing Tarris mocked late first on some of these.
 
djct1999 said:
As much as I love Mullins, he probably won’t go top 5 in any draft. So what’s the actual risk/reward? If what I believe is true, and he will go 12-17 this year, best case for his return is to move up 5 spots. Worst case is to drop 10-15. It’s extremely rare, not impossible, for someone like Mullins profile to improve their stock with more game tape. Right now, he is being drafted on potential. For the most part, a good year next year is assumed. He needs an absolute blowout year to move up significantly. One can argue, even just a decent year next year drops him.

The argument to stay and collect nil means more for kids like Tarris and Ak. Guys who ceiling at the next level is a role player. A kid like Mullins, who has a chance at a legit second deal, should start the clock asap. Any benefit of returning can easily be matched if he is picked by the right organization.
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Again, all drafts are not created equal. This year's draft is far stronger than next year's.
 
RuffRuff said:
Without a doubt. Ball was one of the guys last year who went to Hurley and said he wanted back after they lost to UF, while UK was coming to him with a bag. If nothing else, Hurley is a loyalist.

I'm also not sure anyone is going to pay up for a 30% shooter from three like Uconn will for him. His highest market value is likely with UConn.

The remarks from DP interview were interesting though. Who knows with the portal.
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The interview was extremely interesting. I have my thoughts but I don’t feel like a night of back and forth. I do expect more changes than maybe expected. I also strongly feel Solo is one of the kids most likely to come back. I hope he does.
 
RuffRuff said:
Have you looked at a 2027 mock or registered exactly how much weaker that draft is? Do you think Reed Sheppard or Zachary Risacher are a better prospect than Mullins? Draft quality is a big deal. The fall off from a historically amazing draft and a unbelievably weak draft is steep. In theory, he could go from 25 to 7-8.

If Mullins was hurt for much of the year, has a chance to mature, we really don't know what his potential can be next year. I'm honestly not sure a kid like Mullins has that much better a chance at a second deal in theory than a guy like Tarris. Tarris is pretty niche. We've all used the Hawkins comparison - if you get to the league as a shooter and don't make shots, you're kinda done. He was anything but a sharpshooter this year - we saw multiple balls missing the rim entirely. A big like Tarris is a bit more predictable in how he'll be used. Speaking of which, really love seeing Tarris mocked late first on some of these.
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I have. And I haven’t seen Mullins projected any higher than he is now. So all these hypotheticals you are spewing are pure nonsense and noise imo.
 
Dan Hurley has now gone on Dan Patrick & Jim Rome making it sound like he thinks Braylon “should” come back if he’s not a super high pick. Sure seems like he’s making the push for him to return.
 
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