Monday predictions

[Vowelguy]

Baylor 79-64
Duke 63-61

 

[speedoo]

I think Baylor wins by a bigger margin. Other game is basically a tossup, IMO. Probably depends on whether Duke can keep Nneka under 30 or so.

 

[Vowelguy]

I think Baylor wins by a bigger margin. Other game is basically a tossup, IMO. Probably depends on whether Duke can keep Nneka under 30 or so.

I think KM calls off the dogs, keeping the score respectable.

 

[Vowelguy]

And on Tues:

ND 86 Md 77

 

[triaddukefan]

You see Duke defeating Stanford in the near future?

I doubt we will match up in the NCAA's....... but thats definitely the #1 I would want Duke to play if we were to make it to the Regional Final. So yeah..... I could see Duke winning that matchup.

Guess I gotta be careful what I wish for

I think Chelsea Gray leads Duke to a narrow Victory.... 67-64

 

[RockyMTblue2]

I think Chelsea Gray leads Duke to a narrow Victory.... 67-64

Not going to say no way... this is why we play the games.

 

[EricLA]

i dont' see any of the 2 seeds winning. i think Baylor has the biggest margin of victory. i don't see Duke getting past Stanford either. but several of the games should be very entertaining...

 

[RockyMTblue2]

i dont' see any of the 2 seeds winning. i think Baylor has the biggest margin of victory. i don't see Duke getting past Stanford either. but several of the games should be very entertaining...

I thought I heard one of the talking heads say last week that no final four had ever involved 4 #1 seeds. If so, strange for the women,not for the men, and you Eric are bucking the odds. Kudos and may the force be with you and UconnS

 

[triaddukefan]

i dont' see any of the 2 seeds winning. i think Baylor has the biggest margin of victory. i don't see Duke getting past Stanford either. but several of the games should be very entertaining...

Dag..... you ruined my high for a minute.... lemme go back and listen to some Kansas Fight Songs and get pumped up again.

I picked MD and Duke to win....... they have no pressure.... all the pressure will be on their opponents..... hopefully we can play loose and freely like we have been all tournament.

 

[easttexastrash]

i dont' see any of the 2 seeds winning. i think Baylor has the biggest margin of victory. i don't see Duke getting past Stanford either. but several of the games should be very entertaining...

I think UCONN has the largest margin of victory. I just don't see UK being able to stay close to UCONN.

 

[cardfan]

Stanford and Baylor win.

 

[Vowelguy]

I think UCONN has the largest margin of victory. I just don't see UK being able to stay close to UCONN.

Ha. And I predict that Bay has the largest margin.

 

[MilfordHusky]

I think the LVs will put up a good fight in what could be Pat's last game. Baylor by 77-71.

The Stanford game depends on fouls. If Nneka or Chiney get EWill in foul trouble, Stanford wins easily. If Nneka has to sit, her team could lose. Stanford by 75-65.

 

[alexrgct]

I thought I heard one of the talking heads say last week that no final four had ever involved 4 #1 seeds. If so, strange for the women,not for the men, and you Eric are bucking the odds. Kudos and may the force be with you and UconnS

yes, it has happened before- 1989. Happened on the men's side in 2008.

The odds are very much against it. Even now, it's about 25%, but increases with each win by a 1-seed.

 

[triaddukefan]

Dont know about yall, but im looking forward to all of these regional finals.... i think the matchups are as intriguing as they have been in a long long time.

 

[alexrgct]

Dont know about yall, but im looking forward to all of these regional finals.... i think the matchups are as intriguing as they have been in a long long time.

Likewise. UConn-Kentucky is a matchup of two high energy, high intensity teams. UConn is going to need to play very disciplined, intelligent basketball to make it to Denver. Notre Dame-Maryland features experience vs youth, for one, and a four-guard lineup vs Maryland's length. There's part of me that says, well if UMD had problems with Louisville and A&M, just wait until ND gets a hold of them, but MD certainly has the athletes and size to give Notre Dame problems. Duke will be far and away the best team Stanford has faced since December. Nneka may not have another 35+ game in her, and if she doesn't, can her teammates pick up the slack? And Baylor-Tennessee is going to have a weird vibe to it, one I wouldn't want any part of if I were Baylor. Baylor should win and would win eight times out of 10, but Tennessee is going to fight like mad.

People can complain about the predictability of a chalk draw, but a) I've enjoyed how we've gotten here, and b) it makes for really good matchups the final three rounds.

 

[Vowelguy]

The odds are very much against it. Even now, it's about 25%, but increases with each win by a 1-seed.

If we were talking about events that were a pure toss-up (eg, flipping a coin) then, yes, the probability of all four #1 seeds winning is low. But the #1 seed generally has more than a 50% chance of winning, so calculating the odds of all four of them doing so is (a) higher than that and (b) will vary from year to year depending on the 1 vs 2 gap.

 

[alexrgct]

If we were talking about events that were a pure toss-up (eg, flipping a coin) then, yes, the probability of all four #1 seeds winning is low. But the #1 seed generally has more than a 50% chance of winning, so calculating the odds of all four of them doing so is (a) higher than that and (b) will vary from year to year depending on the 1 vs 2 gap.

Agreed. But even if each #1 seed has a 75% chance of winning (which is too high this year- I'd put Baylor at 80%, UConn and ND at 70%, and Stanford at 60%), that would mean there would only be a 31.6% chance of all four doing so.

 

[MilfordHusky]

Dont know about yall, but im looking forward to all of these regional finals.... i think the matchups are as intriguing as they have been in a long long time.

Agreed. All 1s and 2s. Are the top 4 all a notch above the second 4?

Duke and EWill v. Stanford and the O sisters. Wow!

Undefeated Baylor with Griner and Sims agains the LVs, who have not made the Final Four in 4 years and may be playing in Pat's last game.

Notre Dame with a veteran, smart team and their "flip and flop" offense against Maryland with a stud front line that includes Alyssa Thomas.

Kentucky with Mathies and former Husky Samarie Walker against a UConn team with no apparent current AA players in a matchup of speed and defense.

 

[Replicant]

Baylor 78 - TN 58
Stanford 76 - Duke 62

 

[MilfordHusky]

Baylor 78 - TN 62
Stanford 76 - Duke 62

Wow! A lot of you guys are predicting 14-16 point margins. Maybe my crystal ball is a little murky. I think both games tonight will be close for stretches. Maybe a lot of FTs at the end will turn a 5-point lead to a 14-point win, but I think there will be lots of tension. My recommendation to Triad is to have a beer or two ... or more.

 

[Wonkster]

.
Can 4 out of 5 ESPN commentators be wrong?

They're calling Maryland over Notre Dame by that vote: http://tinyurl.com/7w2e595
.

 

[Replicant]

Wow! A lot of you guys are predicting 14-16 point margins. Maybe my crystal ball is a little murky. I think both games tonight will be close for stretches. Maybe a lot of FTs at the end will turn a 5-point lead to a 14-point win, but I think there will be lots of tension. My recommendation to Triad is to have a beer or two ... or more.

Unless Johnson & Baugh can get Griner in foul trouble, it's a 20 pt game IMO. I think it more likely the opposite happens with them overcompensating and one or both of them in foul trouble. There's also intense pressure on these TN seniors not to be the first NOT to make a F4. I don't think they're up to the task and this TN team does not play well from behind...I look for them to choke when the going gets tough.

And in all due respect to my favorite Dookie "Triad", Duke (EW) has no solution for Nneka - who in my opinion is the tourney MVP through the first 3 games.

 

[MilfordHusky]

.
Can 4 out of 5 ESPN commentators be wrong?

They're calling Maryland over Notre Dame by that vote: http://tinyurl.com/7w2e595
.

Did Rebecca abstain?

 

[Wonkster]

Did Rebecca abstain?

Yes, because she's calling that game in Raleigh for ESPN. It's mentioned in light italics in the article I linked.