Portland came into the game with a RPI of 128.
@Plebe,
Any impact to Gonzaga's projected seeding? The Zags should still host, but might they fall to a #4 seed with that loss? If so, a brutal impact and a very likely exit in the third round as a #4 in this year's tourney. Lots of incentive this year to remain at least a #3 seed given the quality of the #1 seeds.
I waited to see whether DePaul won before answering, as they were on the hosting bubble. Since DePaul won (and did so convincingly), I'd say Gonzaga's status as a host team is a definite maybe.
Gonzaga's #12 position in the latest reveal was generous in the extreme after a very bad loss to a team outside the RPI top 200. Their resume of wins was already light for a #3 seed. I frankly don't see the rationale that supported having them ahead of Iowa, Arizona and Indiana at that time, and even less so now. And I say this as someone who loves seeing mid-majors be competitive with the big dogs.
If we line up each team's significant wins alongside their losses, there's no rational way to avoid the conclusion that Gonzaga's resume is the weakest of this bunch:
Team (RPI) | Significant wins (RPI) | Losses (RPI) |
Arizona (28) | Stanford (6)
UCLA (13)
at Oregon St (21)
Arizona St (42)
at Arizona St (42)
at Texas (43) | Cal (124)
at Colorado (94)
Oregon St (21)
at UCLA (13)
Oregon (2)
at Oregon (2)
(n) Oregon (2) |
Iowa (15) | Maryland (3)
Princeton (9)
at N'western (11)
Indiana (14)
Ohio St (18)
Drake (25)
at Iowa St (40)
at Purdue (46) | (n) Washington (141)
at Nebraska (90)
at N. Iowa (65)
at Rutgers (47)
at Michigan (34)
(n) Ohio St (18)
at Maryland (3) |
Oregon St (21) | Missouri St (8)
DePaul (17)
at Arizona (28)
Arizona St (42) | at USC (81)
at Arizona St (42)
Arizona (28)
at UCLA (13)
Stanford (6)
at Stanford (6)
(n) Stanford (6)
Oregon (2)
at Oregon (2) |
Indiana (14) | (n) S. Carolina (1)
at Michigan (34)
Purdue (46)
at Purdue (46)
(n) Rutgers (47)
at Rutgers (47) | Ohio St (18)
at Iowa (15)
UCLA (13)
N'western (11)
(n) Baylor (5)
Maryland (3)
at Maryland (3)
(n) Maryland (3) |
Gonzaga (12) | Missouri St (8)
(n) Dayton (39)
(n) MTSU (45)
(n) Purdue (46)
UT Martin (48) | at St. Mary's (202)
(n) Portland (109)
at Stanford (6) |
DePaul (17) | at N'western (11)
Marquette (24)
(n) Marquette (24)
Drexel (38)
at Creighton (51)
St. John's (58)
at St. John's (58) | at Villanova (83)
Creighton (51)
at Marquette (24)
at Oregon St (21)
UConn (4) |
If the committee starts afresh and seeds these teams on the basis of bodies of work, weighing significant wins against significant losses:
12. Arizona/Iowa (the resumes are very close)
13. Iowa/Arizona
14. Indiana
15. Oregon St
16. DePaul
(5 seed) Gonzaga
But if the committee maintains whatever mysterious logic led them to put Gonzaga at #12 one week ago, then Gonzaga will probably still be a 4 seed despite another bad loss, and Indiana will still be out in the cold.