Presuming some good transfers, you're looking at a much more talented team than Hurley has had, in terms of Top 100 players. It will have a variety of players at different experience levels, too.
Without Bouk their ceiling may be lower. But if Sanogo, Gaffney, and Jackson make the sorts of improvements you expect from players that age, and Johnson, Samson, and Diggins reasonably contribute, you're in solid shape. Probably a fringe Top 30 team. Good transfers, though, can shoot that up a decent amount. Not Top 10 or anything (barring a huge leap from two of the above, or a bigger impact than expected from the freshmen), but certainly a team that could make the tournament.