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I think that is dead, spot on wrong. The C-7 schools will be making far more money from Fox than they did in the Big East. If they want to invest in a loss-leader at MSG to build their brand, they can do so.
$1m more in TV rights, but then you're forgetting the split from $22-25m in NCAA tourney credits per year. Right now that's based on 9-10 teams going with 3 or 4 advancing to the second weekend, 1 to the final weekend. This new league will be lucky to get more than 4, and how many will advance? I see their NCAA credit take dropping to the $8-10m range, or $1m per year. The BE was shelling out $1.7m per year. That gives them $300k more. Are they going to eat that amount in tourney tix? I doubt it.
I've been to the BE many times, and yet I can't remember what the face price is on a ticket. If it was $50, and they now charge $20, that's $30 per ticket less per session. 4 teams per session means about 4.5k tix each, or a loss of $1.35m less per team per session. As you go to the semifinals, you raise the tix to say $40, and only lose $450k per team, and none for the final.
I can't see them eating that amount.
Besides my original point was that MSG rents out the facility--the teams sell the tix.