- Joined
- Dec 27, 2011
- Messages
- 570
- Reaction Score
- 2,286
Based purely on math, the Sagarin "pure points" methodology put Maryland about 2 points ahead of Delaware on a neutral court. Given that it was really home court for Maryland, Maryland "should" have won by 6 or 7. Pretty much, the outcome of the game was as predicted.
PS: For those who don't "know" how the mathematical models work, if you look at Microsoft Excel Solver examples, they show a rudimentary example. Sagarin has refined the method, but the Microsoft model gives a good idea how it all works.
PS: For those who don't "know" how the mathematical models work, if you look at Microsoft Excel Solver examples, they show a rudimentary example. Sagarin has refined the method, but the Microsoft model gives a good idea how it all works.