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March Madness Thread

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Jerry1714 said:
Vandy was in no way safely in before this loss.

That site you linked had UConn playing Vandy in a playin game
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Fair enough. Saw a lot of ppl had them safe and was very confused.
 
zls44 said:
Fair enough. Saw a lot of ppl had them safe and was very confused.
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To people on this site who trust Lunardi as much as they do, they were safely in. He had them at a 9 yesterday, which is like 6-10 spots from the cut.
 
Who wants to bet that Duke will be a 2 or 3 seed come selection Sunday.
 
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While we're blowing up resumes of teams that are "locked" and have absolutely no reason to be over us, I submit Colorado (pre-Arizona loss, for which I waited til it was finished to send):

31 RPI
45 BPI
56 Ken Pom

They basically have the exact reverse resume of us on those metrics (56/29/30) except ours is a little better, same record, and an equal SOS. No bad losses (worst is UCLA at 100, worse than ours).

8 seed in Lunardi's bracket. He has us out.

I'm just saying, the guy has one job to do and he's awful at it. If they're going to use the advanced metrics more heavily now than RPI, someone better wake him up. He's setting a perception and providing potential cover for the committee.

Also, F Cincinnati
 
jrazz12 said:
While we're blowing up resumes of teams that are "locked" and have absolutely no reason to be over us, I submit Colorado (pre-Arizona loss, for which I waited til it was finished to send):

31 RPI
45 BPI
56 Ken Pom

They basically have the exact reverse resume of us on those metrics (56/29/30) except ours is a little better, same record, and an equal SOS. No bad losses (worst is UCLA at 100, worse than ours).

8 seed in Lunardi's bracket. He has us out.

I'm just saying, the guy has one job to do and he's awful at it. If they're going to use the advanced metrics more heavily now than RPI, someone better wake him up. He's setting a perception and providing potential cover for the committee.

Also, F Cincinnati
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All the Pac's best wins come against each other. They inflated their RPIs and beat practically no one. It's crazy when you look at their resumes.

In fact, the RPIs are so inflated that 3 sub-.500 teams have RPIs in the Top 100. That's nuts.
 
tzznandrew said:
All the Pac's best wins come against each other. They inflated their RPIs and beat practically no one. It's crazy when you look at their resumes.

In fact, the RPIs are so inflated that 3 sub-.500 teams have RPIs in the Top 100. That's nuts.
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It's not just the PAC, all the P5 schools are using this strategy and logic to boost their resumes and RPIs. Somehow when a P5 bests a fellow P5, no matter how awful they may be, has an inherent value because, "well they are a P5 program after all" reasoning. Whereas when the AAC does it it hurts the entire league because a bunch of G5 cupcakes beat up on each other. See 2014 NCAA seeding.
 
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The acc will send 5, I don't believe pitt and cuse will make it in
 
tzznandrew said:
All the Pac's best wins come against each other. They inflated their RPIs and beat practically no one. It's crazy when you look at their resumes.

In fact, the RPIs are so inflated that 3 sub-.500 teams have RPIs in the Top 100. That's nuts.
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You see where Colorado and Oregon state are today, after losses??
 
jrazz12 said:
You see where Colorado and Oregon state are today, after losses??
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You move more in the lower 75 than you do in the upper 30-40, generally. SMU was Top 10 coming into conference, lost 5, and stayed 11.

That said, I think it's a longshot. Oregon State at 33, and Colorado at 35...that's ridiculous.
 
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tzznandrew said:
You move more in the lower 75 than you do in the upper 30-40, generally. SMU was Top 10 coming into conference, lost 5, and stayed 11.

That said, I think it's a longshot. Oregon State at 33, and Colorado at 35...that's ridiculous.
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Agreed. My point was more that they moved up a seed line each after losses yesterday.
 
RayIsTheGOAT said:
5 Duke vs. 12 UConn. Make it happen, NCAA.
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That would be a bad matchup for us. Duke is pedestrian this year but the things they do well are things we suck at combatting. And the things that are exploitable on them we can't exploit.
 
August_West said:
That would be a bad matchup for us. Duke is pedestrian this year but the things they do well are things we suck at combatting. And the things that are exploitable on them we can't exploit.
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I think the teams mirror each other
Sporadic good guard play, neither have a true 3 or 4 and its a 5 by committee
 
August_West said:
That would be a bad matchup for us. Duke is pedestrian this year but the things they do well are things we suck at combatting. And the things that are exploitable on them we can't exploit.
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We are UConn. They are Duke. We will always find something exploitable.
 
gtcam said:
I think the teams mirror each other
Sporadic good guard play, neither have a true 3 or 4 and its a 5 by committee
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Im thinking more along the lines of Duke shooting threes and being very good getting them in secondary break. We have had some trouble this year identifying shooters and closing out in that milieu.

Also, Duke defense totally overplays and hedges hard at the ball. Gibbs would be backed up to half court to start our offense. We don't have enough guard composure (yet) to make them pay for the overplay.

Finally Duke is very susceptible to abuse inside. Syracuse beat them at Cameraon this year because Roberson had like 20 something rebounds at least 1/2 offensive. We are not a good offensive rebounding team. Shonn Miller could exploit some advantages inside, but weve shown this year that we are terrible about getting him enough shots, and he hasnt been great staying on the floor.



Bad matchup
 
Michigan tied with Indiana with 12 left in the second half
 
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UConnSwag11 said:
Michigan tied with Indiana with 12 left in the second half
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This is a tough matchup from our perspective. On one hand, we could be competing with Michigan for a spot. On the other hand, a Michigan win would make our W against them look better. I haven't crunched any numbers but it might make them a top 50 RPI team
 
Damn Michigan with a dramatic W vs Indiana. Not sure if that helps or hurts us, would almost rather other bubble teams continue to lose then to see it slightly boost our own resume
 
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