Magic number next year | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Magic number next year

We are thin so one injury of a top player toasts the season.
 
There's no such thing as a 'magic number'. What a dumb thread.

This board has turned into a disaster.
 
Fishy said:
Yes, this board is the problem.

The basketball program is riding on the rims, but the problem is here.
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The program has hit a rough patch, yes. No arguing that.

That doesn't mean that this board has to descend into a board full of hot takes and inane statements. The negativity surrounding the program has made this place insufferable.
 
SouthBayHusky said:
I would not be happy with a 20 win season since that would likely mean another year of missing the tournament again, and further irrelevance. If that happened it would mean we made the tournament 1x in 4 seasons. But, I do get your point in that 20 wins with this roster might be a good result, but I pray it doesn't end up like that. This is completely make or break for Ollie, and potentially the program as a nationally relevant/dominant program.
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If the field is as weak as last years, we will likely have a strong enough schedule to have a decent chance of making the tourney with 20 regular season wins.
 
With even a relatively healthy squad, we'll have 20+ wins as we always did with Ollie. I'm already on record of saying that we will definitely be in the tournament. The squad that we currently have contains both high level talent and role players at all positions. That almost always is the formula for success. Is this our 2004 team? No, but it wouldn't have been that with Waters or Moretti either.

Sometimes, the negative echo chamber that we create here has a way of shaping the most pessimistic of future visions...
 
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TitleTown said:
With Larrier and Gilbert last year, we lost to teams like Wagner, Northeastern, Oklahoma St.(Larrier injury game) and beat Loyola Marymount by a mere 3 pts. Larrier and Gilbert are solid players but they are not the second coming of Ray Allen and Shabaz Napier either,
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Yes. They weren't ready to play. Ollie totally and completely owns those early losses. But the rest of the team, after the injuries, 3 months later would have crushed those teams.
 
jibsey said:
We are thin so one injury of a top player toasts the season.
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Yes, we are hanging our hopes on one player with an ACL and another one who had season ending shoulder surgery. And with those two we lost to Wagner and Northeastern.
 
Brochacho said:
I'm not sure the team goes .500 in OOC play, 24 wins is way too high of a benchmark.
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I remember I was in Hawaii for my birthday in November 2010, I got off the golf course and the bag boy took my clubs to the car. we started chatting
and he said he was from Mansfield Ct, went to UConn. He said he just talked to his father and UConn was ranked number 9, by beating all those ranked
teams in Maui. He was a great UConn fan, I tipped him and he said "enjoy the 12 hour plane ride home."

The same thing can happen at the PK 80. The only magic number when a tem gets in the big dance is.....6/7 games
 
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I made a post about this a few months ago. I do not remember what I said.

I would think they could at least split with UCF, Cincy, WSU but I think 2-4 is more likely there and go 6-2 vs the 8 games they play against Tulsa, Temple, ECU and Memphis. I think they will split the USF/SMU games, likely losing by about 8 to 10 vs SMU and they will likely split on the road vs Houston and Tulane, losing a close one vs Houston.

I would be happy with 2 games above .500 in the OOC. That would be like 7-5 or something? Maybe get to the semis of the AAC.

Who knows, I have low expectations, high hopes.
 
Let's just win the games we're supposed to and steal a couple that we arent. Ollie's teams have had a habit of losing games we have no business losing.
 
I like that they are playing tough games early on. Since the later Calhoun years, we've always played up or down to our competition and that issue has become more pronounced under Ollie. So, hopefully we get some wins out in Portland and ride some positive momentum.

Semi related note: It seems Ollie's teams can get sort of "moody," when they're rolling they have a ton of confidence and swagger but when they're down they get very down. So, again, hopefully some early wins give them some swagger; I think that'll go a long way to determining if this season is a success or not.
 
We have plenty of quality OOC games & at least 5 quality AAC games.....we MUST find a way to beat some good teams. The magic number is a quality season, top 3 in AAC & off the bubble.
 
Hi-Low said:
We have plenty of quality OOC games & at least 5 quality AAC games.....we MUST find a way to beat some good teams. The magic number is a quality season, top 3 in AAC & off the bubble.
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I really think we can. Having the best player on the floor goes a long way in helping to steal games and I think we'll be in plenty of games where Adams is the best player.
 
JMick said:
Let's just win the games we're supposed to and steal a couple that we arent. Ollie's teams have had a habit of losing games we have no business losing.
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I agree that UConn seems to lose games it shouldn't but it's not just a UConn thing and not just a KO team - I remember folks complaining about the same thing with JC and especially Perno
 
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gtcam said:
I agree that UConn seems to lose games it shouldn't but it's not just a UConn thing and not just a KO team - I remember folks complaining about the same thing with JC and especially Perno
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I hate everyone who compares KO to JC, he hasn't earned JCs benefit of the doubt.
 
Like others said health is a key.

I think they can win 20+ given the league is so terrible

But that may not even be enough to make the dance given the garbage league results

Tenspro2002 said:
24-ish wins and a solid NCAAT appearance (and sone national relevance at some point along the way) is required for a satisfying season.

20-ish wins and the bubble would be disappointing, but KO would be safe.

17-ish wins and not even sniffing a bid is unacceptable and KO is gone unless he has a top 5 class lined up for 2018.
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You can hate whomever you want - I am not comparing the two only stating that JC's team also had quite a few WTF losses
Do you actually hate people WHO or do you hate it WHEN people.....
 
Guapo said:
So who should he be compared to?
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Thanks but I wasn't comparing the coaches, I made a statement that JCs and Perno's teams also had the same issue at times
Sometimes folks jump to conclusions without reading - that's fine
Welcome Guapo
 
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gtcam said:
Thanks but I wasn't comparing the coaches, I made a statement that JCs and Perno's teams also had the same issue at times
Sometimes folks jump to conclusions without reading - that's fine
Welcome Guapo
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I agree with you, I said earlier in the thread that this was an issue that Calhoun-era teams had as well
 
I also happen to think Ollie has earned some benefit of the doubt (though that well is obviously drying out fast)
 
Im cautiously optimistic we'll be pretty good next yr. I think we've surrounded the core 4 with enough to make the tourney comfortably barring injury. Its the yr after im worried about
 
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