August_West
Conscience do cost
- Joined
- Aug 29, 2011
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You want to see how messed up analytics are, look at Syracuses deep runs in the last 7 years. analytics didnt even have them in tournaments.
ha okI do ignore the analytics. They are fun to look at and a measurement tool. But nothing more. Otherwise youd have a lot of pre tournament KenPom #1's winning the title instead of UVA being a total abberation.
I hope both do well in March for the BE but I really want Uconn to do extremely well. A F4 would be niceWhich team do you want: Huskies who blow out Q4 opponents but have so far struggled with Q1 Big East teams or Friars who blow out no one, to include Q4, but simply win? Which is the better team for March?
The NET was designed to essentially be a blend of both. It won't be as predictive as stuff like KenPom or as perfect a resume tool as Strength of Record or Wins Above Bubble, but it does a good enough job of both in one.It'll be interesting to see whether the Committee leans on the MOV and points-per-possession type of metrics or on a more RPI-like consideration of results and strength of schedule.
Palm is clearly going with the latter, with Providence a #2 and us a #7 (with Wisconsin in Milwaukee, yikes). Lunardi is more balanced and has us a #6.
There are always exceptions, but the latter has historically been prone to underachieve in the tournament. The single most predictive metric is overall scheduled-adjusted per possession margin of victory.Which team do you want: Huskies who blow out Q4 opponents but have so far struggled with Q1 Big East teams or Friars who blow out no one, to include Q4, but simply win? Which is the better team for March?
There are always exceptions, but the latter has historically been prone to underachieve in the tournament. The single most predictive metric is overall scheduled-adjusted per possession margin of victory.