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KenPom #1

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That #2 ranking with 20 first place votes is going to look nice.

Purdue isn't losing in 2022. Their next two opponents make our remaining 3 opponents look like Olympic teams.

Maybe we will get some Christmas love and slide up to #1?
 
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Teams that were #1 in KenPom on the 3rd Sat in December. (Jan 9th for 20-21 teams due to late start). KenPom changed from Pythag to AdjEM in 16-17.
uconnkenpom3rdsat.png


We've got the 3rd highest AdjEM in the last 7 years at this point in the respective season. The 2 above us were 20-21 Gonzaga/Baylor, who are pretty legendary teams and who met in the title game. 3 of the other 6 who played tournaments made the title game with 2 champions. The rest lost to teams who made the Final Four.
 
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Hope that the voters do their research, Houston doesn’t have a ranked opponent for the rest of the regular season and like some mentioned that should drag down their #2 Kenpom ranking. Frustrating
 
MTBingNinja said:
Hope that the voters do their research, Houston doesn’t have a ranked opponent for the rest of the regular season and like some mentioned that should drag down their #2 Kenpom ranking.
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Not really sure I understand the reasoning. Kenpom is based on efficiency. Based on their efficiency rating, they'll be expected to beat all the AAC teams by some amount each game. If they were to exceed that expected margin of victory every time, their efficiency rating would go up. It doesn't matter what quality the teams are as long as you beat them by more than you're expected to.
 
Leebo said:
Not really sure I understand the reasoning. Kenpom is based on efficiency. Based on their efficiency rating, they'll be expected to beat all the AAC teams by some amount each game. If they were to exceed that expected margin of victory every time, their efficiency rating would go up. It doesn't matter what quality the teams are as long as you beat them by more than you're expected to.
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Good point.
 
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MTBingNinja said:
Hope that the voters do their research, Houston doesn’t have a ranked opponent for the rest of the regular season and like some mentioned that should drag down their #2 Kenpom ranking. Frustrating
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Not for nothing, but we don’t have any currently ranked opponents the rest of the regular season either. Marquette and Xavier might get there this week but as of now, we’re the only ranked Big East team.
 
Peacefrog said:
Not for nothing, but we don’t have any currently ranked opponents the rest of the regular season either. Marquette and Xavier might get there this week but as of now, we’re the only ranked Big East team.
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Another good point.

What’s a good database that weighs in on Quad wins that the voters should be looking at?

These look yummy:
sports.betmgm.com

Most Quadrant 1 Wins for the 2026 NCAA Tournament

Updated quadrant records, including quadrant 1 wins, for the 2026 NCAA Tournament.
sports.betmgm.com sports.betmgm.com

www.ncaa.com

DI Men's Basketball Rankings - NCAA Men's Basketball NET Rankings | NCAA.com

Get NCAA college basketball rankings from the Associated Press, USA Today Coaches poll and the NCAA NET Rankings.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com



….okay. Based on Kenpom efficiencies and Quad ranking databases, UConn should be the undisputed #1 team.
 
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Yeah, Quad Win conversations are a NET-specific thing.
 
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Look at UConn's most recent games:

1671374926139.png


Now, look at Purdue's most recent games:

1671374942653.png


Which results of their respective slate look more like the #1 team in the country?

Also, if we played Purdue, we'd win at least 6 times out of 10. Edey/Sanogo would be almost a wash, but we'd smother their freshman backcourt.

I try to stay objective and not let my fandom get in the way of guessing AP polls, but it's pretty clear that UConn SHOULD be the #1 team in the country.
 
When you look at the KenPom AdjEM, there are a few tiers, with some minitiers within them

Tier 1
A
1. UConn 31.20
B
2. Houston 30.13
C
3. UCLA (28.22), 4. Tennessee (28.06)

Tier 2
5. Kansas (25.79) to 15. Baylor (22.29)
You could further break these down into sub-tiers, but the difference between Kansas and Tennessee is pretty stark, and the difference between Kansas and Baylor is barely more than between UConn and Tennessee. The drop from Baylor to St. Mary's is stark.

Tier 3
16. St. Mary's (20.47) to 23. Iowa (19.67)

It's hard to know where we should cut it, but there's almost a full point drop to down to 24 Virginia Tech. This doesn't seem to have sub-tiers.
 
Hey Adrien! said:
Look at UConn's most recent games:

View attachment 82060

Now, look at Purdue's most recent games:

View attachment 82061

Which results of their respective slate look more like the #1 team in the country?

Also, if we played Purdue, we'd win at least 6 times out of 10. Edey/Sanogo would be almost a wash, but we'd smother their freshman backcourt.

I try to stay objective and not let my fandom get in the way of guessing AP polls, but it's pretty clear that UConn SHOULD be the #1 team in the country.
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Don’t tell that to the Purdue fans

 
Being in the big East is going to hurt UConn's resume' and also may hurt its prep for NCAA as really only facing one first round NBA talent (Cam Whitmore) and maybe no ranked team the rest of the season. That being said, as one Villanova fan told me, it was the same for them in 2016 and 2018, but every game WAS the season for their opponent and they played way over their scouting report, especially at home. That was enough for Villanova and hopefully enough for UConn to have some tourney success, but Wright was also smart enough to put together a very challenging OOC schedule. As bad as the AAC and ACC are this year, playing Houston, UVA and/or Duke would each be 100x better than any BE game this year.
 
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Blue Idiaco said:
Being in the big East is going to hurt UConn's resume' and also may hurt its prep for NCAA as really only facing one first round NBA talent (Cam Whitmore) and maybe no ranked team the rest of the season. That being said, as one Villanova fan told me, it was the same for them in 2016 and 2018, but every game WAS the season for their opponent and they played way over their scouting report, especially at home. That was enough for Villanova and hopefully enough for UConn to have some tourney success, but Wright was also smart enough to put together a very challenging OOC schedule. As bad as the AAC and ACC are this year, playing Houston, UVA and/or Duke would each be 100x better than any BE game this year.
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Yeah if we only lose a couple games the rest of the way we might only get a 1 seed and play in Albany and MSG.
 
Blue Idiaco said:
That being said, as one Villanova fan told me, it was the same for them in 2016 and 2018, but every game WAS the season for their opponent and they played way over their scouting report, especially at home. That was enough for Villanova and hopefully enough for UConn to have some tourney success, but Wright was also smart enough to put together a very challenging OOC schedule.
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Yes, the legendary 2018 challenges of Columbia, Nicholls State, Lafayette, Western Kentucky, Tennessee, Northern Iowa, Penn, St. Joe’s, Gonzaga, La Salle, Temple, and Hofstra.

Or, the treacherous 2016 OOC schedule that was FDU, Nebraska, East Tennessee State, Akron, Stanford, Georgia Tech, St. Joe’s, Oklahoma, La Salle, Virginia, Delaware, Temple, and Penn.

UConn is going to be very successful this year, or they’re not, but you are absolutely not going to be finding me trying to dissect every little possible negative thing, lest we actually experience happiness and joy related to college basketball. Of course they are going to get every conference opponents best shot, they’re freaking UConn- that’s the way it is supposed to be.
 
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NJHoops said:
Yes, the legendary 2018 challenges of Columbia, Nicholls State, Lafayette, Western Kentucky, Tennessee, Northern Iowa, Penn, St. Joe’s, Gonzaga, La Salle, Temple, and Hofstra.

Or, the treacherous 2016 OOC schedule that was FDU, Nebraska, East Tennessee State, Akron, Stanford, Georgia Tech, St. Joe’s, Oklahoma, La Salle, Virginia, Delaware, Temple, and Penn.

UConn is going to be very successful this year, or they’re not, but you are absolutely not going to be finding me trying to dissect every little possible negative thing, lest we actually experience happiness and joy related to college basketball. Of course they are going to get every conference opponents best shot, they’re freaking UConn- that’s the way it is supposed to be.
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In 2018 TN and Gonzaga were both top 13 teams in KenPom (plus Xavier and Butler and Seton hall were top 25). In 2016, UVa was 4th and Oklahoma was 10th. right now Uconn will have faced Alabama (12th) and that's it in top 25.

Not dissecting, just saying that the Big East sucks this year and the non-conf schedule broke easier than it could have on paper (Florida sucks, PK, etc). Will it matter? I hope not, and did not for Villanova, but the quoted Purdue fan tweet was not wrong.
 
It's good to be back in the conversation.. But if you know anything about UConn history.. It's about what happens in March.. We got ourselves a March team this year.. Let's get our two other trophies first(after PKI)..Big East season champs.. BET champs.. Then you know what's next.
 
Leebo said:
Purdue is about to spend this week playing New Orleans and Florida A&M, so that SOS ranking is going to dip before it comes back up.
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They are fighting it because they are scared that they will lose a chance of having a 1 next to their name in their next game which is at home.
 
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