So, I guess I was a little bored last night after all the holiday festivities had wound down, so I decided to pull some data together into a spreadsheet. Yup, I was really bored.
Anyway, I thought I'd see how the AP Top 25 ranked teams stacked up from a total defense and total offense standpoint using NCAA statistics from all CFB games played through 12/26/2015, to see if there were any correlations. BTW, there was little difference in the rankings between all the final polls.
My objective was to try and determine what it would take for our beloved Huskies to crack the Top 25. As of 12/26 UConn was ranked #35 in total defense and #123 in total offense out of 127 FBS teams.
Was this a scientifically sound study? No. And should our goal be to crack the AP Top 25? I'd argue it should be, along with winning the AAC east division and league championships. To support that claim, 3 other AAC teams were ranked in the AP Top 25 including Houston (14), Navy (21), and Temple (24), so those goals do compliment each other.
After all the analysis, here are my observations and conclusions:
1. Our ranking for total defense at #35 is better than 12 of the AP Top 25 teams. However, those 12 teams averaged 40 pts/game on offense, and none averaged under 31 pts/game. Conclusion: our defense is good enough to achieve the goals stated above.
2. The 13 teams ranked ahead of us in total defense also averaged 32 pts/game on offense. Of those 13 teams, only 3 teams averaged less than 30 pts/game (WI=27, FL=25, Northwestern=21), and those 3 teams had the #3, #6 and #11 ranked defenses, respectively. Conclusion: Even the top ranked teams on defense find a way to score roughly two touchdowns more/game than UConn. Again, we're good enough on defense already--we need to score a lot more points.
3. The 13 teams ranked ahead of us in total defense averaged 189 rushing yds and 222 passing yds/game on offense vs.our 125 yds rushing and 186 yds passing/game. They also averaged 10 yds/punt return vs our average of 0.4 yds, which was dead last in FBS.
In summary, all of the above analysis simply supports with facts what all of us have been saying here for a long time. We need a big improvement on offense to have any chance of taking this program to the next level. How we do that is for people with better football smarts than me to figure out. I just hope the coaching staff has significant improvements on offense as their #1 priority going into 2016.