My real worry about Hurley is not that he is a bad coach, but that he is neither really good nor really bad. For the next 5-10 years he is never really good enough to get us back to being a serious national player, but not bad enough that we can justify firing him. A resume something like: 21 wins, 3rd in the NOOB, ranked 20-25 6-8 seed, 0-1 wins in the tourney, as the typical year. Sort of the guy at Seton Hall. Bad years aren’t awful. Good ones aren’t great. Then in 2030, we are Indiana, a program that used to be important.
I think he has a higher ceiling than that, but I acknowledge this is a valid concern.
Hurley has done really well to get the guys he wants into the program and staying in the program.
Has he hit on all of those guys? Mixed bag. Bouknight way over-performed (though more so individual success than team success). Cole and Martin have given him everything he could have expected. Sanogo a major hit as the rare big who can play right away.
Akok was a major get, but has largely underwhelmed on the court -- partially due to injury, partially due to the fact that this sort of player is almost always less than the sum of their parts at the college level.
He kept Whaley and Polley for 4 years when he could have run them off after zero. Whaley has been a major success in development, Polley has been OK, probably should have been recruited over, but Hurley prioritized continuity.
Jackson, so-so. Gaffney and this year's freshmen, I think he expected more, whether that's poor recruiting evaluation or poor development here I'm not sure.
It just happens that our biggest misses are all in the same area (ball-handling) and there was a conscientious decision to avoid the portal unless absolutely necessary, which I think will be reevaluated after this year.
This team with a Jalen Adams-type (before Ollie's coaching ruined him) would make Hurley's roster-construction and program-building look pretty damn good.
We need a Tournament win to feel like momentum is heading in the right direction, and then the expectation should be Sweet 16 almost every year.