Home & Home Series with Arizona | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Home & Home Series with Arizona

Good stuff. I'll try and check out most of those places.



Don't consider myself a lib or conservative, but still fall into the trap of painting people into a box from just a few cesspool quotes. In reality, if you want to get to know someone, one of the last things to consider would be political stuff. Jmo


You're right but it is hard not to consider political stuff.
 
A different coaches record, especially without context, has no bearing on the future of a different coach.

Can you be more dense?

If the early records of other coaches didn't predict their future performance, then KO's early performance doesn't predict his future performance.

If KO's early record does predict his future performance, then winning a national championship, .649 winning percentage overall, .875 NCAA tourney winning percentage, is predictive of success.

Either way, you've got no basis for your negativity.
 
If the early records of other coaches didn't predict their future performance, then KO's early performance doesn't predict his future performance.

If KO's early record does predict his future performance, then winning a national championship, .649 winning percentage overall, .875 NCAA tourney winning percentage, is predictive of success.

Either way, you've got no basis for your negativity.

How do you not understand that you can't just select specific coaches that fit your narrative and offer them up as indications that they succeeded, but ignore the reality of our current situation.

What one coach did has no bearing on KO. It's not hard to grasp that.

I haven't said one way if I think Ollie will succeed or fail. The current trend isn't good though.

You seem to be positive for the sake of being positive. Fine. Just don't call someone out for being more analytical and concerned at the state of affairs.
 
How do you not understand that you can't just select specific coaches that fit your narrative and offer them up as indications that they succeeded, but ignore the reality of our current situation.

What one coach did has no bearing on KO. It's not hard to grasp that.

I haven't said one way if I think Ollie will succeed or fail. The current trend isn't good though.

You seem to be positive for the sake of being positive. Fine. Just don't call someone out for being more analytical and concerned at the state of affairs.

Everyone's life has ups and downs; they tend to revert to the mean. KO's mean is below his peak achievement (a national championship) but above his worst performance to date (a 16-17 record, 96 kenpom ranking). You cannot take the bottom of a down period, extrapolate a downward trajectory from preceding peak, and project that into the future to predict failure. That's not how basketball coaching works, it's not how life works.

In short -- the mean performance of the last five years is much more predictive of KO's future than the recent trend. You are too negative because you are over-emphasizing the trend and under-emphasizing the national championship.
 
Everyone's life has ups and downs; they tend to revert to the mean. KO's mean is below his peak achievement (a national championship) but above his worst performance to date (a 16-17 record, 96 kenpom ranking). You cannot take the bottom of a down period, extrapolate a downward trajectory from preceding peak, and project that into the future to predict failure. That's not how basketball coaching works, it's not how life works.

In short -- the mean performance of the last five years is much more predictive of KO's future than the recent trend. You are too negative because you are over-emphasizing the trend and under-emphasizing the national championship.
(Standing Ovation)
 
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Everyone's life has ups and downs; they tend to revert to the mean. KO's mean is below his peak achievement (a national championship) but above his worst performance to date (a 16-17 record, 96 kenpom ranking). You cannot take the bottom of a down period, extrapolate a downward trajectory from preceding peak, and project that into the future to predict failure. That's not how basketball coaching works, it's not how life works.

In short -- the mean performance of the last five years is much more predictive of KO's future than the recent trend. You are too negative because you are over-emphasizing the trend and under-emphasizing the national championship.

And again if you want to point out where I said Ollie is doomed to fail be my guest.

I think the downward trend is quite concerning and if he doesn't right the ship, UConn will have no choice but to move on.

My main premise was that citing Hall of Fame coaches records through the same time period as Ollie's has no bearing on anything.
 

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