Handicapping Notre Dame | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Handicapping Notre Dame

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As a poster said last year, we can all manipulate statistics to support almost any argument we want.

And you are right DD...it will be all about defense in the Baylor vs UCONN game. Both teams are going to get after each other.
 
iri10 said:
Assuming you mean that you wish we had one with that layout, here it is. I think most of these stat pages that teams use are auto-generated by the same software, so they all output in similar fashion.
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Well, I'll be.....

Thanks!!!!
 
I'm going to take a different approach to handicap this game. Does N.D. have anyone that can play with Stef? NO! Do they have a defender that can play like Superwoman Kelly? NO! Do they have a sharp shooter like KML? NO! Do they have a post player that can play with Breanna? NO! Do they have the bench to match up with UCONN? NO! Do they have guards that can match up with UCONN'S? YES! I don't see any conclusion but to call UCONN the winner.
 
easttexastrash said:
As a poster said last year, we can all manipulate statistics to support almost any argument we want.

And you are right DD...it will be all about defense in the Baylor vs UCONN game. Both teams are going to get after each other.
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What manipulating those stats are pretty straight forward. Trending analysis would, also, indicate that UCONN's 3pt D has improved significantly.
 
doggydaddy said:
I wish that Uconn had this stat page.

Game by Game for Baylor

You will note the 9-15 game. Now THAT is an anomoly. And the 5-7 the game before.

That's 14-22 for 2 games.

Take that away and Bayor is shooting 26.4%.

They have 7 games of under their season average and 4 games better.

The reality is that Baylor is shooting 33.9% for the season. And that is being generous as they are 1-6 to start tonights game.
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UCONN's 3pt D is dramatically affected by two significant outlying games which were back to back. First is Purdue at .591 and then Colgate at .412. After that the next highest 3pt % is .333. On the other end of the spread they have held teams to under .19 3 times with lows of .125 and .143, and under .29 another 4 games. Lastly, 3 games from .308 to .333.

10 of 12 games below .333 and 7 of 12 below .29. Pretty darn good 3pt D.
 
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Icebear said:
UCONN's 3pt D is dramatically affected by two significant outlying games which were back to back. First is Purdue at .591 and then Colgate at .412. After that the next highest 3pt % is .333. On the other end of the spread they have held teams to under .19 3 times with lows of .125 and .143, and under .29 another 4 games. Lastly, 3 games from .308 to .333.

10 of 12 games below .333 and 7 of 12 below .29. Pretty darn good 3pt D.
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I guess that's why we use averages.
 
Icebear said:
With such disparate outliers averages can be very distorting.
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Yes, I agree with you there. Statistics can be a frustrating tool to use when analyzing the capabilities of a team, especially since they do not take into account the level of talent of the opponents.
 
After all the discussion, I expect a very, tough, competitive game that either team could win.

But what do I know?

And if it is rather a Stanford style blow-out, then the original prognosis of the most optimistic pre-season pundits (of our site, including myself) will be sustained.
 
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Phil said:
Which suggests the use of the median, unaffected by outliers.
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The medians for treys are 29.3% for Baylor and 23.1% for their opponents...a 6.2% spread...

The medians for treys are 44.3% for UCONN and 28.6% for their opponents...quite a spread at 17.7%!
 
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