Guess the line for Saturday vs BYU

[Jay-Bone]

The line can definitely move if a player who was expected to play is out. If AJ or Saunders were out it would move 2-3 pts. With Kennard it moved 1 pt.

The Purdue / Alabama game flopped from -2.5 to -4.5 based on whether or not TKR would play.

In terms of Mullins, he wasn't expected to play when the line was released so relatively it wouldn't change. If he wasn't injured, its possible the initial line would've been a point or 2 higher if he's been a major contributor.

Once people start piling on, the line can drift another pt or two. Hence now -5.5. Home teams often drift 1 or 2 pts since their opening line the day before. If UConn was home it probably would've gone -5.5 to -7.5. That's why I always try to hit the lines as soon as they're released the day before. But then again that's slightly risky if a player is ruled out the day of.

 

[Kemba15]

The line has steamed up to -6.5 on DK. The money line, which opened at -185, is now all the way up to -295

 

[BGesus4]

They’ll be no salmon left on earth after this Kodiak feeding frenzy

 

[Jay-Bone]

The line has steamed up to -6.5 on DK. The money line, which opened at -185, is now all the way up to -295

I pounded -3.5. If UConn scores first we can see BYU +8.5 right out the gate and set a 20% hedge. UConn wins by 6 and I hit both.

 

[Jay-Bone]

BYU fans hoping preliminary reports of a DUI are just a baseless Kennard.

Welp, no love for the canard joke. I guess I'm keeping my day job.

 

[HooperScooper]

The line has steamed up to -6.5 on DK. The money line, which opened at -185, is now all the way up to -295

Hoping the sharps are right.

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

Welp, no love for the canard joke. I guess I'm keeping my day job.

It was a good effort. I appreciated it.

 

[HooperScooper]

I notice this as well. Line will only move based on the money that comes in. Once a line is set, information doent move it as much as the money will. That being said, an NFL QB being ruled out will move the line. Almost any other position in any other sport won’t move it much.

In terms of Mullins, he wasn't expected to play when the line was released so relatively it wouldn't change. If he wasn't injured, its possible the initial line would've been a point or 2 higher if he's been a major contributor.

That was my assumption also. Thanks to both of you for confirming. I think what @Platt81 was saying is that if Mullins had played all season he would have been a huge contributor and the spread would have been much higher. As you said maybe a point or two if that had happened, but certainly not 4-6 points.

 

[Jay-Bone]

That was my assumption also. Thanks to both of you for confirming. I think what @Platt81 was saying is that if Mullins had played all season he would have been a huge contributor and the spread would have been much higher. I just don't think that is true for multiple reasons.

Hard to say for sure without knowing his impact. One of the few things about this game that has me concerned is BYU is more battle tested having faced Villanova (for what that's worth). If Mullins had played, is a proven stud, and we beat Purdue by 20, then maybe the line would be -10.5. Otherwise we have no real evidence.

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

Hard to say for sure without knowing his impact. One of the few things about this game that has me concerned is BYU is more battle tested having faced Villanova (for what that's worth). If Mullins had played, is a proven stud, and we beat Purdue by 20, then maybe the line would be -10.5. Otherwise we have no real evidence.

They handled MSU without Reed. Sparty is better than Villanova. I don’t think the battle tested thing is an issue.

 

[superjohn]

People seem a little overconfident for this one. BYU is loaded, this is going to be a really tough game.

 

[Jay-Bone]

They handled MSU without Reed. Sparty is better than Villanova. I don’t think the battle tested thing is an issue.

Many will say exhibition games aren't a proper litmus test. 🤷‍♂️

 

[Lafayette]

People seem a little overconfident for this one. BYU is loaded, this is going to be a really tough game.

Loaded = 3 offensive guys and 2 (now 1) defensive guys. They will try to foul out Reed and double team on D opening up Solo or Silas for outside shooting. They lost their best defender to DUI as Wright barely plays D should be great for our guards.

Frontcourt is where all the risk is with Saunders and AJ but we have depth and they do not.

Currently on train heading…

 

[auror]

Talent aside, BYU is a much worse matchup for us than Michigan State. Think about what Jamiya Neal did to us, and now make Jamiya Neal into AJ Dybantsa.

 

[Husky Alien]

Ok, shoot me, but I'm going with -11.5 good guys. If Reed stays out of foul trouble he will be a nightmare for BYU, along with Solo, Demery and crew, we are a deeper team in all of our positions. Our team will wear them down, regardless of their front court of Saunders and AJ. They have not showed any true dominance leading up to this game. Go UConn!!!!

 

[bendm]

People seem a little overconfident for this one. BYU is loaded, this is going to be a really tough game.

BYU has 3 guys. I don’t think Keita and Baker even crack our rotation. I’ll take Reibe and Ross, certainly Smith and Stew. A true chip contender is winning this home away from home game.

 

[HooperScooper]

Straight up the 6 basketball writers from CBS Sports all have the Huskies. With the -6.5 spread they're evenly split. I'll take a win any way they can do it.

Where to watch UConn vs. BYU: TV channel, stream, odds, spread, prediction, pick

No. 3 UConn, No. 7 BYU set to face off in top-10 showdown at TD Garden

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