Games Jan. 20-26 | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Games Jan. 20-26

Tulane edges UCF 60-59, improves to 6-0 in conference. Is the AAC a 1 bid league this year? UCF and USF are both down from what they've been in recent years.
 
nwhoopfan said:
Tulane edges UCF 60-59, improves to 6-0 in conference. Is the AAC a 1 bid league this year? UCF and USF are both down from what they've been in recent years.
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Is this where I point out that Tulane has beaten the mighty sleeping giant in the Pacific Northwest in Washington?

Yeah, I'm picking at old wounds. Temple currently has the next highest RPI at 57, but when you look at Temple and UCF...having 7 and 6 losses respectively just doesn't look good. South Florida ain't even in the top 100.

It's stunning to me that as of 1/21, even after a shock loss, Missouri State is still #3 in RPI. That'll pose an interesting question if that holds up come seeding for the tournament.
 
Lorcan said:
Is this where I point out that Tulane has beaten the mighty sleeping giant in the Pacific Northwest in Washington?
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I'm painfully aware of that. UW is doing their best to devalue that win. 4 straight losses with probably 2 more coming in LA this weekend.
 
Cincinnati at 12-6 overall has the next best record behind UConn, but their OOC is fairly lackluster.
 
nwhoopfan said:
Cincinnati at 12-6 overall has the next best record behind UConn, but their OOC is fairly lackluster.
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Yeah, I would agree that they're not even in the conversation right now. Maybe if they beat UConn twice by the end of the season I'll consider them again.

Right now for Non-P5, you're probably looking at....the following for consideration. These are the Top 40 in RPI.

Missouri State, Gonzaga, DePaul, Princeton, Creighton (12-6 and in? I don't know how safe that is.), Central Michigan, Florida Gulf Coast, Old Dominion, Drake, Marquette, and James Madison.
 
nwhoopfan said:
Tulane edges UCF 60-59, improves to 6-0 in conference. Is the AAC a 1 bid league this year? UCF and USF are both down from what they've been in recent years.
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Simply based on how the nonconference play shook out, the AAC had about a 90% probability of being a one-bid league -- which would be a first in its short existence.

Barring a mega-upset over UConn, a team like UCF or Temple would've had a slim chance if they could've gained separation from everyone else (much as UCF did last year). But that clearly isn't happening. Everyone has at least 2 losses except Tulane, but Tulane was already too deep in the hole after going 5-8 in the OOC.
 
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Lorcan said:
Yeah, I would agree that they're not even in the conversation right now. Maybe if they beat UConn twice by the end of the season I'll consider them again.

Right now for Non-P5, you're probably looking at....the following for consideration. These are the Top 40 in RPI.

Missouri State, Gonzaga, DePaul, Princeton, Creighton (12-6 and in? I don't know how safe that is.), Central Michigan, Florida Gulf Coast, Old Dominion, Drake, Marquette, and James Madison.
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Creighton's in a very strong position for an at-large bid, more so than many of the other teams listed here, because they played a very good OOC schedule. None of their losses have been to bad teams.

I also think South Dakota will, in the event of an upset in the Summit League tournament, likely get an at-large bid as long as they finish the regular season strong.
 
Lorcan said:
Yeah, I would agree that they're not even in the conversation right now. Maybe if they beat UConn twice by the end of the season I'll consider them again.

Right now for Non-P5, you're probably looking at....the following for consideration. These are the Top 40 in RPI.

Missouri State, Gonzaga, DePaul, Princeton, Creighton (12-6 and in? I don't know how safe that is.), Central Michigan, Florida Gulf Coast, Old Dominion, Drake, Marquette, and James Madison.
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South Dakota? 17-2, wins over Drake, Ohio St. and Creighton, 2 losses were to Missouri St. and South Carolina and both were reasonably close.

(and unfortunately for them wins over Green Bay, Utah and Missouri probably aren't worth much this season)
 
I'd agree with both of you on the South Dakota front, I was primarily looking at who else fell into the Top 40 in RPI as that's typically a reasonable indicator some years. Other years....well...all hell breaks loose.

I fancy UConn as a three seed in Portland behind Baylor and Oregon. :oops:Yes, I'm dreaming.
 
Lorcan said:
I'd agree with both of you on the South Dakota front, I was primarily looking at who else fell into the Top 40 in RPI as that's typically a reasonable indicator some years. Other years....well...all hell breaks loose.

I fancy UConn as a three seed in Portland behind Baylor and Oregon. :oops:Yes, I'm dreaming.
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Baylor will not be in Portland unless some really crazy stuff happens.
 
Lorcan said:
It's stunning to me that as of 1/21, even after a shock loss, Missouri State is still #3 in RPI. That'll pose an interesting question if that holds up come seeding for the tournament.
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It's an outlier for sure, and a testament to Missouri State's excellent OOC SOS (#7) and the relative strength of the Missouri Valley conference, as 4 of their 5 conference games so far have been against RPI top 100 teams.

But that RPI won't hold up. In fact, look for Missouri State's SOS to take a major hit in their next two games, when they play #272 Indiana State and #327 Evansville, and their RPI will almost surely slip.
 
Top 10 Daily Performances (Week 12, Day 3, 22-Jan-2020)

2019-20 NCAA WBB Top 10 Daily 20200122.png
 
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I have my eye on the Indiana-Penn State game. Indiana is in a rough patch, lost 3 in a row. And now up 22-18 after 1Q. Needing a good bounce back.
 
In other Big 10 action, Northwestern up 30-17 @ Michigan St.
 
59-32 Northwestern as Q3 is coming to an end. Holy cow.
 
Texas A&M trailing noted juggernaut Alabama 36-32 approaching halftime.
 
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My Spartans of UNC-G remain in 1st place in the SOCON. UNCG 59 Furman 53
 
Gamecockfan77 said:
Without Carter again. Not surprising that Bama would give them a fight.
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Any word on when she's expected back? This could be one of those situations where they lose enough games while she's out to hurt their seeding, but once she's back they will be way better than what they are seeded at. Kind of unfortunate for whoever might draw them.
 
nwhoopfan said:
Any word on when she's expected back? This could be one of those situations where they lose enough games while she's out to hurt their seeding, but once she's back they will be way better than what they are seeded at. Kind of unfortunate for whoever might draw them.
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I don't know. Blair was evasive after it happened and haven't seen whether they ever updated it. It looked like a high ankle sprain when it happened, which linger.
 
I'd pretty much written off BYU, but they improved to 6-2 in WCC tonight. Pacific has been a disappointment. It's Gonzaga and then everybody else.
 
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Maryland leading Illinois 69-49 midway thru Q4. Kinda looks like 4 teams are separating themselves in the Big 10--Northwestern, Iowa, Maryland and Rutgers.
 
Gamecockfan77 said:
Without Carter again. Not surprising that Bama would give them a fight.
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I actually thought they would win this game at home. Bama isn't a bad team really, and Texas A&M has been very mediocre without Carter. They actually needed higher than usual scoring outputs from Jones, Washington and Wells just to win this.
 
Gamecockfan77 said:
I don't know. Blair was evasive after it happened and haven't seen whether they ever updated it. It looked like a high ankle sprain when it happened, which linger.
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Blair said at the time that he was thinking of putting on the court just as a decoy, and so maybe he still wants that option.
 
HUGE upset out of Bellingham Washington (not sure where that is) .... My UAA Lady Seawolves ... ranked #4 in Division II fall to the Western Washington Vikings.. 71-64. The Seawolves 27 game GNAC winning streak ends. There were more fans in the stands at this game, then some Division I games Ive seen this year
 
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