cferraro04
Sensei
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 2,155
- Reaction Score
- 10,344
GENERAL COMMENTS:
It appears that Seton Hall has two of its starter players on the IR list: Savannah Catalen - 13.1 pts / 3.2 rebounds and (2) three-pointers per game; Shalyn Pinkney - 6.4 points, 3.4 rebounds per game. They have played a 3 forward / 2 guard line-up the last 10 games starting the following players: Faith Masonius 6'1" / Forward; Yaya Lops 6'3" / Forward; Messiah Hunter 6'2 / Forward; Amari Wright 5'9" / Guard; Jada Eads 5'7" / Guard. They start with Three graduate students, 1 Junior, and 1 Freshman.
What jumps out to me when I look at the team stats is that Seton Hall while only committing 14 turnovers forces 20.4 turnovers on their opposition. This effort has resulted in the Pirates averaging 19.4 points off turnovers. This indicates that approximately one-third of their points per game come off turnovers. This is significant because they have been doing it against good teams. Their Strength of Schedule is 55 and their RPI is 47. It makes sense that their assists per game is low (14.5) considering they only average 65.8 points per game.
They haven't been a particularly good three-point shooting team but we know what that means (wink)...it means that more than likely we can expect one of their players to go off for 5-6 three-pointers against us. UConn is too deep for Seton Hall, we will be playing for the students at Gampel for the first time in quite a while. We may be getting Aubrey back so look for Geno to work her in on a limited-minute basis if she returns. Everyone will play in this game. Additionally, I think everyone will make the box score as well.
I have a couple of questions that I will be looking to see if UConn's play will answer. 1. Are there enough basketballs per minute played for our big three: Paige, Azzi, and Sarah to score 20 points each? 2. Will UConn play consistently for 4 quarters or will we see another game where UConn seems to take a quarter off? How will Aubrey look If she returns, how much rust will need to be shaken off before we see our beautiful, athletic stud come back into form? Will Ice realize that if she is going to contribute to this team in the post-season she has to make her move now?
RPI / SOS:
Seton Hall's RPI = 47
Seton Hall's Opponent's RPI: 5, 6, 8, 25, 52, 80, 89, 108, 110, 117, 137, 141, 191, 220, 261, 346, 349
UConn's RPI = 7
UConn's Opponent's RPI: 6, 10, 14, 31, 52, 59, 75, 80, 80, 84, 91, 108, 113, 136, 141, 148, 258, 267
Seton Hall's SOS = 55
Seton Hall's Opponent's SOS: 10, 13, 16, 21, 30, 32, 59, 73, 108, 126, 182, 187, 193, 219, 239, 248, 333
UConn's SOS = 11
UCONN'S Opponent's SOS: 9, 10, 16, 17, 19, 21, 21, 34, 46, 59, 68, 103, 126, 152, 210, 218, 299, 356
PLAYER MATCH-UPS:
Jana El-Alfy, 6'5" - R-Freshman - Center vs I'Yanna Lops, 6'3" - Graduate - Forward - I'yanna averages 9.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.1 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. She can also shoot from distance, averaging 1 three-pointer per game. She brings a lot of experience to the Seton Hall line-up. Jana is beginning to feel more comfortable in the lineup. She is averaging 6.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1 assist per game.
ADVANTAGE - SETON HALL
Sarah Strong, 6'2" - Freshman - Forward vs Messiah Hunter, 6'2" - Junior - Forward - Messiah Hunter has broken into Seton Hall's lineup due to injuries to starters Shailyn Pinkney and Savannah Catalon. She will find Sarah to be a difficult assignment. Messiah averages 1.6 points, and 2.5 rebounds per game. It will be interesting to see if Seton Hall will sub her out early for Kayden Lawson who averages 5.9 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Sarah was quiet in the St. John's game but she only played about 20-some-odd minutes. I don't expect to see a repeat of that in this game where Sarah will be in friendly territory playing to the home crowd. Sarah averages 16.6 points, 1.7 three-pointers, 7.7 rebounds 3.7 assists, 2.3 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Paige Bueckers, 6'0" - R-Senior - Guard vs Faith Masonius, 6'1" - Graduate - Forward - This is the marque matchup of the game. Faith averages 17.4 points, .88 three-pointers, 4.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.1 steals per game. Faith has been prone to turning the ball over as she is averaging 3.52 turnovers per game. That is significant when you compare it to Paige's 1.3 turnovers per game. Paige averages 19.4 points, 1.8 three-pointers, 4.4 rebounds, 3,8 assists, and 2.1 steals per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Azzi Fudd, 5'11' - Graduate - Guard vs Amari Wright, 5'9" - Graduate - Guard - Seems like Amari Wright has been around forever...wait...she has. Amari averages 4.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. Azzi is getting stronger and more comfortable being back on the floor and she is showing that she is much more than just a 3-point shooter. Azzi is averaging 10.9 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.8 three-pointers per game. Amari impacts the game in many ways with assists and steals but I think she will find Azzi to be a difficult assignment.
ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Kaitlyn Chen, 5'9" - Graduate - Guard vs Jada Eads, 5/7 - Freshman - Guard - Jada has been having a great freshman year for the Pirates. Jada has developed into quite a little stat-stuffer. She is averaging 14.5 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.4 steals, and 2.47 three-pointers per game. Jada shoots the three-ball at about 37 percent. Kaitlyn will have her hands full with Jada but she should be able to handle the freshman pretty well if she can't then look for Geno to go with either Ashlynn or KK either one will be enough to contain Jada. Kaitlyn averages 5.7 points, 2.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.0 steals per game. ADVANTAGE - SETON HALL
BENCH:
UConn will bring 26.9 points and 12.7 rebounds off the bench. If Aubrey gets to play in this one anything she brings to the table will be gravy. Seton Hall will bring 12.3 points and 11.8 rebounds off the bench. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
COACHING:
I just don't see Geno and his staff being out-coached in this one. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
INTANGIBLES:
Playing at home in front of the students at Gampel, with a full complement of players after a long time on the road... This one looks like show-time for the Huskies. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
SCORE:
UConn - 85
Seton Hall - 61
MOV - 24
It appears that Seton Hall has two of its starter players on the IR list: Savannah Catalen - 13.1 pts / 3.2 rebounds and (2) three-pointers per game; Shalyn Pinkney - 6.4 points, 3.4 rebounds per game. They have played a 3 forward / 2 guard line-up the last 10 games starting the following players: Faith Masonius 6'1" / Forward; Yaya Lops 6'3" / Forward; Messiah Hunter 6'2 / Forward; Amari Wright 5'9" / Guard; Jada Eads 5'7" / Guard. They start with Three graduate students, 1 Junior, and 1 Freshman.
What jumps out to me when I look at the team stats is that Seton Hall while only committing 14 turnovers forces 20.4 turnovers on their opposition. This effort has resulted in the Pirates averaging 19.4 points off turnovers. This indicates that approximately one-third of their points per game come off turnovers. This is significant because they have been doing it against good teams. Their Strength of Schedule is 55 and their RPI is 47. It makes sense that their assists per game is low (14.5) considering they only average 65.8 points per game.
They haven't been a particularly good three-point shooting team but we know what that means (wink)...it means that more than likely we can expect one of their players to go off for 5-6 three-pointers against us. UConn is too deep for Seton Hall, we will be playing for the students at Gampel for the first time in quite a while. We may be getting Aubrey back so look for Geno to work her in on a limited-minute basis if she returns. Everyone will play in this game. Additionally, I think everyone will make the box score as well.
I have a couple of questions that I will be looking to see if UConn's play will answer. 1. Are there enough basketballs per minute played for our big three: Paige, Azzi, and Sarah to score 20 points each? 2. Will UConn play consistently for 4 quarters or will we see another game where UConn seems to take a quarter off? How will Aubrey look If she returns, how much rust will need to be shaken off before we see our beautiful, athletic stud come back into form? Will Ice realize that if she is going to contribute to this team in the post-season she has to make her move now?
RPI / SOS:
Seton Hall's RPI = 47
Seton Hall's Opponent's RPI: 5, 6, 8, 25, 52, 80, 89, 108, 110, 117, 137, 141, 191, 220, 261, 346, 349
UConn's RPI = 7
UConn's Opponent's RPI: 6, 10, 14, 31, 52, 59, 75, 80, 80, 84, 91, 108, 113, 136, 141, 148, 258, 267
Seton Hall's SOS = 55
Seton Hall's Opponent's SOS: 10, 13, 16, 21, 30, 32, 59, 73, 108, 126, 182, 187, 193, 219, 239, 248, 333
UConn's SOS = 11
UCONN'S Opponent's SOS: 9, 10, 16, 17, 19, 21, 21, 34, 46, 59, 68, 103, 126, 152, 210, 218, 299, 356
PLAYER MATCH-UPS:
Jana El-Alfy, 6'5" - R-Freshman - Center vs I'Yanna Lops, 6'3" - Graduate - Forward - I'yanna averages 9.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.1 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. She can also shoot from distance, averaging 1 three-pointer per game. She brings a lot of experience to the Seton Hall line-up. Jana is beginning to feel more comfortable in the lineup. She is averaging 6.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1 assist per game.
ADVANTAGE - SETON HALL
Sarah Strong, 6'2" - Freshman - Forward vs Messiah Hunter, 6'2" - Junior - Forward - Messiah Hunter has broken into Seton Hall's lineup due to injuries to starters Shailyn Pinkney and Savannah Catalon. She will find Sarah to be a difficult assignment. Messiah averages 1.6 points, and 2.5 rebounds per game. It will be interesting to see if Seton Hall will sub her out early for Kayden Lawson who averages 5.9 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Sarah was quiet in the St. John's game but she only played about 20-some-odd minutes. I don't expect to see a repeat of that in this game where Sarah will be in friendly territory playing to the home crowd. Sarah averages 16.6 points, 1.7 three-pointers, 7.7 rebounds 3.7 assists, 2.3 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Paige Bueckers, 6'0" - R-Senior - Guard vs Faith Masonius, 6'1" - Graduate - Forward - This is the marque matchup of the game. Faith averages 17.4 points, .88 three-pointers, 4.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.1 steals per game. Faith has been prone to turning the ball over as she is averaging 3.52 turnovers per game. That is significant when you compare it to Paige's 1.3 turnovers per game. Paige averages 19.4 points, 1.8 three-pointers, 4.4 rebounds, 3,8 assists, and 2.1 steals per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Azzi Fudd, 5'11' - Graduate - Guard vs Amari Wright, 5'9" - Graduate - Guard - Seems like Amari Wright has been around forever...wait...she has. Amari averages 4.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. Azzi is getting stronger and more comfortable being back on the floor and she is showing that she is much more than just a 3-point shooter. Azzi is averaging 10.9 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.8 three-pointers per game. Amari impacts the game in many ways with assists and steals but I think she will find Azzi to be a difficult assignment.
ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Kaitlyn Chen, 5'9" - Graduate - Guard vs Jada Eads, 5/7 - Freshman - Guard - Jada has been having a great freshman year for the Pirates. Jada has developed into quite a little stat-stuffer. She is averaging 14.5 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.4 steals, and 2.47 three-pointers per game. Jada shoots the three-ball at about 37 percent. Kaitlyn will have her hands full with Jada but she should be able to handle the freshman pretty well if she can't then look for Geno to go with either Ashlynn or KK either one will be enough to contain Jada. Kaitlyn averages 5.7 points, 2.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.0 steals per game. ADVANTAGE - SETON HALL
BENCH:
UConn will bring 26.9 points and 12.7 rebounds off the bench. If Aubrey gets to play in this one anything she brings to the table will be gravy. Seton Hall will bring 12.3 points and 11.8 rebounds off the bench. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
COACHING:
I just don't see Geno and his staff being out-coached in this one. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
INTANGIBLES:
Playing at home in front of the students at Gampel, with a full complement of players after a long time on the road... This one looks like show-time for the Huskies. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
SCORE:
UConn - 85
Seton Hall - 61
MOV - 24