- Joined
- Feb 8, 2016
- Messages
- 5,935
- Reaction Score
- 20,824
Massey is usually much more reliable than this year. However, the start with the previous year’s stats is a flaw. Human pollsters know when 3 first rounders have moved on and adjust according to what they see in the pipeline.Massey uses previous years stats until a team hits 10 games, which is about now this year. And the lack of inter-conference opponents may reduce the predictability of Massey, something they have done very well over the years. As for humans and what they know or think they know ??? History is filled with tragedies due to "what humans knew".
The polls start the year as a 100% subjective opinion and once the pecking order is established preseason a team moves slowly up or down, because voters are reluctant to admit they were dead wrong about a team they started at 10th so that team stays on the ranked list while teams left off in preseason don't climb unless the teams ahead lose.
This is a crazy season and teams seem to be playing very inconsistently. Stanford has been living in hotels for a month now. That has to be a strain.
The teams that can keep their focus and peak late will be there. Who they are is another question at this point.
massey’s algorithms are more unreliable In this crazier year than normal especially regarding the PAC. To start with, we don’t really know how good the conference was at the end of last year because there was no tournament. Second, the PAC has played only one team OOC that is higher ranked than about number 60 and the remainder are ranked below 100. Yet, the computer keeps them at super high SOS.
not saying Massey is a bad system but it is worthless this year regarding the PAC.
I did prefer the briefly used football BCS system that combined Massey with the polls. A balance of humans and algorithms seems the best TO ME.