Bracketology - Week 18 (merged) | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Bracketology - Week 18 (merged)

Interesting item in this morning's update from Creme is that Vanderbilt has moved up to a 7 seed and he has them as a potential 2nd round opponent for UConn. Who here wouldn't love to see a Shea vs Geno matchup?
 
Jim said:
Interesting item in this morning's update from Creme is that Vanderbilt has moved up to a 7 seed and he has them as a potential 2nd round opponent for UConn. Who here wouldn't love to see a Shea vs Geno matchup?
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Me.
NO desire to see Vandy.

Any team with a star like Blakes is dangerous becsuse if she goes off one night, there might be no way to stop her. High variance teams make me nervous.
 
Why would a UConn fan want that matchup? The stakes are too high. And the desired outcome sends Ralph home. I would rather see vandy thrive in a far away regional.

If we play them in the national championship game. Then great. No complaints with that.
 
Vowelguy said:
Me.
NO desire to see Vandy.

Any team with a star like Blakes is dangerous becsuse if she goes off one night, there might be no way to stop her. High variance teams make me nervous.
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There are stars all over WBB and any team in the tournament can’t possibly avoid all of them. Last season, during the 2nd round, a severely shorthanded UConn team faced Syracuse and their star player Dyaisha Fair. The Huskies largely contained Fair, holding her to 6-22 shooting, winning the game by 8.

While Blake is a very talented player, UConn’s active and talented group of guards would undoubtedly pressure her relentlessly throughout the game at both ends of the court. I’m not worried.
 
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Stagnant said:
Why would a UConn fan want that matchup? The stakes are too high. And the desired outcome sends Ralph home. I would rather see vandy thrive in a far away regional.

If we play them in the national championship game. Then great. No complaints with that.
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Exactly. I want Vandy to make a run to the second weekend and further if they can. If they're put with UConn that could only happen at our expense.
 
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oldude said:
There are stars all over WBB and any team in the tournament can’t possibly avoid all of them.
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How many of those teams have a player who has scored 50 points twice? 40? 30?
 
Personally I think any team that has a player that has scored over 15 points in the first quarter multiple times has a chance for that player to score over 50 points if she plays over 35 minutes in a game. Circumstances are different for every player and every game.
 
Vowelguy said:
How many of those teams have a player who has scored 50 points twice? 40? 30?
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Blake scored 50+ points against 2 unranked teams. I am far more concerned about a team with balanced scoring that can beat you in a bunch of ways rather than losing to a team with one big time scorer, who I am absolutely confident that UConn would control.

Where does this fear of other teams and players come from? We are FREAKIN UConn fans! Opposing teams fear the Huskies, not the other way around.

By the way, Vandy got whipped by SC today by 21 points. Blake was 5-15 from the floor.
 
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oldude said:
Blake scored 50+ points against 2 unranked teams. I am far more concerned about a team with balanced scoring that can beat you in a bunch of ways rather than losing to a team with one big time scorer, who I am absolutely confident that UConn would control.

Where does this fear of other teams and players come from? We are FREAKIN UConn fans! Opposing teams fear the Huskies, not the other way around.

By the way, Vandy got whipped by SC today by 21 points. Blake was 5-15 from the floor.
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They had closed a 25 point gap to six with four minutes to go in the game
 
Vowelguy said:
How many of those teams have a player who has scored 50 points twice? 40? 30?
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I am a Mikayla Blakes fan so I mean no offense when I ask if you think Paige or Azzi or Sarah might be able to put up 30, 40, or 50 points if they wanted to. Paige has 14 games with 20+ points, Sarah has 10, Azzi, 4, and Ash 1. All of the above plus Kaitlyn and Aubrey have had many games with 15+ points so no one has needed to score the majority of points except maybe Azzi vs South Carolina.

Blakes is only a freshman. What a talent. She’ll be amazing in a year or two.
 
HuskyNan said:
I am a Mikayla Blakes fan so I mean no offense when I ask if you think Paige or Azzi or Sarah might be able to put up 30, 40, or 50 points if they wanted to. Paige has 14 games with 20+ points, Sarah has 10, Azzi, 4, and Ash 1. All of the above plus Kaitlyn and Aubrey have had many games with 15+ points so no one has needed to score the majority of points except maybe Azzi vs South Carolina.

Blakes is only a freshman. What a talent. She’ll be amazing in a year or two.
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You misunderstand my statement.

Did I ever say I thought UConn would lose?

It’s a stats thing. Higher variance teams can have a higher probability of pulling off an upset.
 
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visitingcock said:
They had closed a 25 point gap to six with four minutes to go in the game
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Yea, I saw that. The Gamecocks got a little complacent. But then they put their foot on the gas pedal again and it was game over. I don’t know about you, but I never felt that the game was in doubt.
 
As of 5 pm today, the #4 seeds Alabama and Kansas State have lost. The next 48 hrs will be very interesting wrt what happens with the 16 teams hosting.
 
BRS24 said:
As of 5 pm today, the #4 seeds Alabama and Kansas State have lost. The next 48 hrs will be very interesting wrt what happens with the 16 teams hosting.
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K-State: what might have been.

Prayers for Ayoka to get healthy over the next year and get a shot at the W in 2026
 
12 teams are hosting locks
USC, UCLA / Tex, SC, LSU, Ky, Okla / UConn / TCU / ND, NCSt, UNC

Duke is 99.9% but a win today would put them at 100%
OleMiss is likely

that leaves 2 spots for
Bama, Tenn
KSt, WV, Bay
OhSt
 
Vowelguy said:
12 teams are hosting locks
USC, UCLA / Tex, SC, LSU, Ky, Okla / UConn / TCU / ND, NCSt, UNC

Duke is 99.9% but a win today would put them at 100%
OleMiss is likely

that leaves 2 spots for
Bama, Tenn
KSt, WV, Bay
OhSt
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I would not give the last two spots to sec teams. 5 is enough. I would give one to WVU or Baylor and the other to tOSU.
 
Vowelguy said:
12 teams are hosting locks
USC, UCLA / Tex, SC, LSU, Ky, Okla / UConn / TCU / ND, NCSt, UNC

Duke is 99.9% but a win today would put them at 100%
OleMiss is likely

that leaves 2 spots for
Bama, Tenn
KSt, WV, Bay
OhSt
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This is pretty good!

So far only WVU and OK have stepped up!

Bama, Tenn, KSt, Miss already out of their tourneys!

Baylor playing now...tOSU vs pesky Iowa later.
 
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So, North Carolina really beat Florida State? I am reading that right?

Looks like Maryland got beat up bad by, wow, Michigan? Pretty sure the turtles were not supposed to lose by 30 there!

And in our own tournament, Xavier beat DePaul? You’re kidding right?

Dang, I am sure glad I don’t gamble cuz I would be losing my shirt!
 
Why yes, there was a 12:15 am update today from CC;

Finally, a team seized the day. For much of the past two days, it didn't appear any of the teams on the No. 4 seed line or just outside of it wanted to host first- and second-round NCAA tournament games. Then Ohio State survived a Big Ten quarterfinal late Friday to move into the top 16 once again. That came after Tennessee (eliminated in the second round of the SEC tournament), Alabama (SEC tournament second round), Kansas State (Big 12 quarterfinal) and Maryland (Big Ten quarterfinal) all lost. The Wildcats are now clinging to the final spot in the top 16. The rest are no longer in contention to host. The Buckeyes were in each of the committee's first two reveals, but an overtime loss to Maryland in the regular-season finale knocked them out. Now they are back thanks to a pair of late Cotie McMahon free throws and a 6-4 record in Quad 1 games. Elsewhere in Champ Week, Tennessee Tech has clinched the OVC bid, and UCLA and South Carolina are one win away from securing No. 1 seeds.​

Ohio State replaces Alabama at the 4 seed in 1st region.

Remain the same - Big Ten - 12, SEC - 10, ACC - 9, Big 12 - 7, Ivy - 3, Big East - 2

Alabama, Maryland, Tennessee, and Baylor at the 5 seeds.

Bubble teams also remain the same from yesterday.
 
And a late update from HerHoopStats:

Ohio State replaces Alabama in the top 16.

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Thanks for doing this, you are relentless!:)

Looks like Baylor or WVU could push Kansas St out of hosting with another win or two.

That's pretty much it for surviving candidates.
 
Current thoughts:
-NC State has locked up a 2 seed, likely #8 overall. Could move up to #7 or #6 with a win tomorrow to win the ACC Championship. Things get messy in the #5-7 spots if NC State wins, Notre Dame loses and UCONN wins.

-I think the only locks for a 1 seed are Texas/USC.

-UCLA can cement a 1 seed with a win today. If they lose today and both SC/Notre Dame win their conference tournament, I think they drop to the top 2.

-South Carolina gets a #1 if they win the SEC or if Notre Dame loses in the ACC tournament.

-I think LSU should be on the 2 line even with a loss today. Although TCU could sneak up and take it if they win their tournament.

-UCONN is locked in to a 2 seed in the #5-#7 range. Whatever 1 they're matched up with will be determined by avoiding conference matchups between 1/2.
 
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Burst bubble update from CC.

Saturday brought the first bid stealer of Champ Week. Saint Joseph's upset of Richmond means the Atlantic 10 will get two teams in the NCAA tournament. Despite the loss, the Spiders will make the field as an at-large, but now either George Mason, Davidson or Saint Joseph's will join them as the conference's automatic qualifier. The A-10 was one of only two leagues with certain bid-stealing potential, and Saint Joseph's turned that into a reality with Laura Ziegler's buzzer-beater for a 50-49 win. The Summit League is the other conference with a possible bid stealer. If South Dakota State loses in the finals on Sunday, another bubble will burst.
 
Wow! I didn't see that coming. ND shot poorly, especially from 3 -- though Miles -- but they played tough D mostly and won the TO battle 16-21. Duke dominated the boards 31-17 and that seems to been decisive. In particular, it looks like the Duke guards stepped up and rebounded well, while on the other side Hidalgo and Citron weren't as aggressive. Hats off to Duke.
 
5 PM update - Charlie swaps 2 ND and 2 NCSU. ND now in region 1 with Texas, and NCSU is in region 3 with UCLA.
 
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