Bracketology - Week 17

[bballnut90]

As of today or after the conference tournaments? The top 3 leagues could have some exciting tourneys.

As of today. I’ll be surprised if there aren’t some notable upsets next weekend

 

[ERWUC65]

If a couple teams above the Huskies stumbled early, or badly, in their tournament UConn could potentially move up but I don’t see the advantage. What’s the big deal about being a low 1 seed vs a high 2 seed?

Agreed, but this year the placement of UConn in a particular region with a particular lineup can be critical. Interestingly enough, a few weeks ago I was hoping not to have to meet certain teams in the tournament, now with all the upsets and injuries, it's a crapshoot and luck of the draw.

 

[BRS24]

The last weekend of regular-season women’s basketball is over. As we head into conference tournaments, here is On3’s projected NCAA Tournament seeding following Sunday’s contests. The teams in each seed are listed in no particular order.

1-seeds: Texas, USC, UCLA, South Carolina
2-seeds: UConn, TCU, Notre Dame, NC State
3-seeds: LSU, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Duke
4-seeds: North Carolina, Tennessee, Alabama, Kansas State

 

[Plebe]

Another wild day in basketball:

#7 LSU loses at home to unranked Ole MIss. LSU is without Flaujae Johnson until the NCAA tournament, I have no idea if the committee will punish LSU for this loss or forgive them considering Flaujae likely would've made a big difference today. I think they're still on the 2 line but not as safe as they were.

#8 North Carolina had a really bad loss at home to 16-14 Virginia. They were without Davis/Ustby too, so I wonder if the committee will take that into consideration. That said, I think this likely kills any chance of them being a #2 seed. It pushes them a borderline 3/4 seed IMO.

#9 TCU with a big win over #17 Baylor. They are Big 12 Champs and have a strong resume that could be 2 seed worthy.

#11 Tennessee with an absolutely horrible loss to 12-18 Georgia at home. A week ago the same Georgia team lost 57-26 vs. Texas. This might be the worst loss of any team in contention for a top 4 seed. I think they drop to a #5 seed now.

#12 Ohio State loses to #19 Maryland. They were already a 5 seed in Charlie Creme's projections, I think they're solidly a 5 seed now. A strong B10 tourney could push them into consideration for a 4.

#13 Oklahoma picked up a big win over #20 Alabama. They're safely on the 4 line for now. They've beaten every team they're ahead of (excluding Mississippi State) and lost to every team that's ahead of them.

#14 Kansas State gets blown out by Iowa State. This helps Iowa State's tournament chances immensely, but I think it also pushes Kansas State off the 4 line, at least borderline 4/5.

#16 Duke picks up a great road win over #24 Florida State. They look safely in position for a #3 seed after being UNC earlier this week too.

TN got some major help yesterday from other teams contending for 4 seeds. The losses by Kansas State, Ohio State and Baylor give a boost to their chances of overcoming the bad loss to Georgia.

 

[bballnut90]

TN got some major help yesterday from other teams contending for 4 seeds. The losses by Kansas State, Ohio State and Baylor give a boost to their chances of overcoming the bad loss to Georgia.

Ohio State losing to Maryland and Baylor to TCU aren't bad losses though, where Tennessee losing to Georgia is a quad 4 loss. For measure, Tennessee is the only team in the NET top 25 and one of only 4 teams in the NET top 50 that have a quad 4 loss.

Creme currently has Tennessee as a 5 seed and I don't really see a path for Tennessee to a top 4 seed unless they beat South Carolina in the quarterfinals (which are played in South Carolina). If they reach the quarterfinals, it'll be their 3rd game in 3 days against a well rested Carolina team.

 

[Plebe]

Ohio State losing to Maryland and Baylor to TCU aren't bad losses though, where Tennessee losing to Georgia is a quad 4 loss. For measure, Tennessee is the only team in the NET top 25 and one of only 4 teams in the NET top 50 that have a quad 4 loss.

All true, but we're talking about teams that were either already near the cut line (Ohio State and Kansas State) or on the outside looking in (Baylor) whereas Tennessee was at #12 as of just 5 days ago. And while it's true none of them have a Q4 loss, nor do any of them have a win over a top 6 team as TN does. It's hardly a given that TN's only hope is to beat SC in the SEC quarterfinal. A win over Vandy in round 2 might just be enough since I don't see many other teams in contention for the final hosting spots doing much to impress. We'll see.

 

[rugbymate]

I’d be surprised if we don’t get a 1 seed. We are ranked #3 in this weeks poll and there will be at least 2 more losses by teams in the top 5. Potentially if UCLA beats USC they could both get #1 seeds. Even if that happened, SC would have to dominate the SEC tourney for both TExas and SC to get #1 seeds. Doubt if ND will get a #1 seed. Having said that, on any given day, the point spread for any game between any two teams in the top 6or7 teams will be fairly small. Not like the old days.