Bracket Reveal top 16 | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Bracket Reveal top 16

lavuuk153 said:
Are they going to do another reveal or is that just a one time thing until the actual field gets announced?
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I have been looking for the answer to that question all day. I could not find anything that there will be another reveal but to me it would make sense to do one before conference tourneys start. Hopefully someone will have the answer for us.
 
his dudeness said:
Jerry Palm has us as a 3 seed at the win
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I wonder how they keep the three seed. I think we will win v DePaul. Villanova on their senior night is going to be tough. Looks like Creighton in the BE quarterfinal. If we win our last two and lose the Creighton are we a three. If we split are last two games and win two games in the BE tourney are we 3? There are so many possibilities. What if we split our last two regular season games and win the BE tourney? What if we run the table possible 2?
 
Huskie62 said:
I wonder how they keep the three seed. I think we will win v DePaul. Villanova on their senior night is going to be tough. Looks like Creighton in the BE quarterfinal. If we win our last two and lose the Creighton are we a three. If we split are last two games and win two games in the BE tourney are we 3? There are so many possibilities. What if we split our last two regular season games and win the BE tourney? What if we run the table possible 2?
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Depend a lot on other teams. There look like seven teams that may not be locks for a 1-2 seed but they are pretty close in (Bama, Houston, Purdue, Kansas, Texas, Zona, and UCLA)

Other threes are looking like some group of the following 10 teams:

Highest chance at a two right now is one of these three:
Marquette: @ Butler, SJU
KSU: Oklahoma, @ WVU
Gonzaga: Only Tournament

Fighting for final two three spots:
UConn: DePaul, @Nova
Indiana: Iowa, Michigan
Tennessee: Arkansas, @Auburn
Baylor: @ OKST, ISU

Some fours, some fives
ISU: WVU, @Baylor
X: @PC, Butler
UVA: Clemson, UL
Miami: Pitt



Only way to a two is if all the teams above us drop at least one before the conference tournaments, UConn rolls through the BET and Marquette loses early. Perhaps need Gonzaga to lose in their tournament to a team not called Saint Mary's. Even then it would be a stretch because there is only one two that is even somewhat open unless one of the top seven collapses (Zona?)


Since release up through today . Bold is a loss. Italics is ongoing or later tonight.

1. Alabama: Georgia, USC, ARK
2. Houston: Memphis, Tulane, ECU
3. Purdue: OSU, IU
4. Kansas: Baylor, TCU, WVU
5. Texas: Oklahoma, ISU, Baylor
6. Arizona: Colorado, ASU
7. Baylor: Kansas, KSU, Texas
8. UCLA: Cal, Utah, Colorado
9. Tennessee: Kentucky, Texas A&M, SC
10. Virginia: ND, BC, UNC
11. Iowa State: KSU, Texas, OU
12. Kansas State: ISU, Baylor, OKST
13. Indiana: Illinois, MSU, Purdue
14. Marquette: Creighton, DePaul
15. Gonzaga: Pepperdine, USD, SMC
16. Xavier: DePaul, Nova, SHU

Miami: Wake, Va Tech, FSU
Creighton: SJU, Marquette, Nova
SMU: BYU, PAC, Gonzaga
UConn: SHU, PC, SJU
 
Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.
 
zls44 said:
Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.
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Between this and the ACC, this tournament reveal will be fascinating
 
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zls44 said:
Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.
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This changed, 2x in a season you can play in the Sweet 16 and whoever plays a 3rd time in the conference tournament can't be until the Elite 8
 
navery12 said:
This changed, 2x in a season you can play in the Sweet 16 and whoever plays a 3rd time in the conference tournament can't be until the Elite 8
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I Like this, so long as it's confirmed info.
@zls44 , does this updated info sound right to you?
 
zls44 said:
Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.
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I'm OK with being pushed down a seed line if it means we get the East instead of another region.
 
Rico444 said:
I'm OK with being pushed down a seed line if it means we get the East instead of another region.
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Handshake Trade GIF by Dynasty Drunks
 
As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

  • Houston - 74.6%
  • Tennessee - 60.7%
  • Alabama - 60.6%
  • UCLA - 48.9%
  • UConn - 38.9%
  • Purdue - 36.5%
  • Texas - 36.4%
  • Kansas - 33.4%
 
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AzHusky said:
As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

  • Houston - 74.6%
  • Tennessee - 60.7%
  • Alabama - 60.6%
  • UCLA - 48.9%
  • UConn - 38.9%
  • Purdue - 36.5%
  • Texas - 36.4%
  • Kansas - 33.4%
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Interesting. Might be worth putting some money down on the Huskies because I don't think their odds I last saw line up with their metrics.
 
AzHusky said:
As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

  • Houston - 74.6%
  • Tennessee - 60.7%
  • Alabama - 60.6%
  • UCLA - 48.9%
  • UConn - 38.9%
  • Purdue - 36.5%
  • Texas - 36.4%
  • Kansas - 33.4%
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I want to like this but the eye test—and the Rick Barnes test—really suggests that UT at 61% is a loser.
 
tzznandrew said:
I want to like this but the eye test—and the Rick Barnes test—really suggests that UT at 61% is a loser.
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Tennessee and Ohio State have broken all the computers this year.
 
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AzHusky said:
As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

  • Houston - 74.6%
  • Tennessee - 60.7%
  • Alabama - 60.6%
  • UCLA - 48.9%
  • UConn - 38.9%
  • Purdue - 36.5%
  • Texas - 36.4%
  • Kansas - 33.4%
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Tennessee and Kansas look like they should be flipped. Somebody is going to have egg on their face.
 
I honestly am not scared of a single team in this tournament. The only team that can beat us is ourselves. IF we're playing like we did against Marquette or PC we will win by 10+ points against any 1 seed in this tournament. There are no good teams this year, it's going to come down to who gets hot. We've got a very good defense (probably better than the metrics tell us because the BE officiating changed how we were playing D) and we have a top 10 offense. We've got 3-4 guys that can hit the three consistently plus another couple coming off the bench. We have one of the most dominant centers in the country with the best backup center in the country. One of the best lock down defenders and arguably the best pure shooting guard in the country. Give me a 4 seed I really don't care, if we don't beat ourselves we will be steam rolling everyone we play.
 
Lunardi also has the Big 12 getting a one seed and three 2 seeds. That seems absolutely crazy to me. Baylor got their doors blown off by Marquette, but Marquette will outright win the Big East and get a 3 seed while Baylor will get a 2 seed? Seems like a bit of a stretch. That being said, give me any of those Big 12 2 seeds in our bracket, I'll glad accept that overseeded gift.
 
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There is not a team in the Field of 68 who wants to play UConn at MSG in March.. With the obvious exception of our friends in the BE for the BET.
 
Umami Zen said:
There is not a team in the Field of 68 who wants to play UConn at MSG in March.. With the obvious exception of our friends in the BE for the BET.
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It’s a nightmare even for St. John’s to play us there and that’s supposed to be their home court. If we end up there in the NCAA tournament (have to get out of Albany first) we will have such a huge advantage. I don’t feel bad about it, the NCAA still owes us for having to play Texas in Texas, UNC in Greenborough, Michigan St. in Detroit. I was at that 2009 final 4 game and it was unreal how many MSU fans were there. There were like 75,000 fans at that game and by my estimate about 60,000 of them were MSU fans.
 
Big games to keep an eye on for some of the high ranked projected seeds.

Potential 1 or 2 seeds games remaining:
Kansas @ Texas 3/4
Purdue @ Wisconsin 3/2 & vs Illinois 3/5
Alabama @ T A&M 3/4
Houston @ Memphis 3/5
UCLA vs ASU 3/2 & vs Arizona 3/4
Arizona @ USC 3/2 & @ UCLA 3/4
Texas @ TCU 3/1 & vs Kansas 3/4
Baylor vs ISU 3/4
 
Hurleyman216 said:
It’s a nightmare even for St. John’s to play us there and that’s supposed to be their home court. If we end up there in the NCAA tournament (have to get out of Albany first) we will have such a huge advantage. I don’t feel bad about it, the NCAA still owes us for having to play Texas in Texas, UNC in Greenborough, Michigan St. in Detroit. I was at that 2009 final 4 game and it was unreal how many MSU fans were there. There were like 75,000 fans at that game and by my estimate about 60,000 of them were MSU fans.
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MSU in Detroit was unlucky, you can't project a Final Four matchup like that, but it absolutely had an impact in a game that was within 1 possession in the final minute (briefly). GMU in DC similar.

You can add SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim (2011), UCLA in Oakland (1995).
 
Tenspro2002 said:
MSU in Detroit was unlucky, you can't project a Final Four matchup like that, but it absolutely had an impact in a game that was within 1 possession in the final minute (briefly). GMU in DC similar.

You can add SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim (2011), UCLA in Oakland (1995).
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A couple more. UNC in Greensboro (1998). Florida in Miami (1994).

After getting the short end many times, it's about time the tables start to turn back the other way.
 
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