Bracket Reveal top 16

[pepband99]

Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.

Between this and the ACC, this tournament reveal will be fascinating

 

[navery12]

Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.

This changed, 2x in a season you can play in the Sweet 16 and whoever plays a 3rd time in the conference tournament can't be until the Elite 8

 

[Hans Sprungfeld]

This changed, 2x in a season you can play in the Sweet 16 and whoever plays a 3rd time in the conference tournament can't be until the Elite 8

I Like this, so long as it's confirmed info.
@zls44 , does this updated info sound right to you?

 

[Rico444]

Its going to be very hard for them to balance the Big 12 teams because you can't have teams who have played 2x in a season play before an Elite 8. So don't be surprised if UConn or someone else gets bumped down a line to accommodate keeping the Big 12 teams as 1-2-3-4 seeds.

I'm OK with being pushed down a seed line if it means we get the East instead of another region.

 

[August_West]

I'm OK with being pushed down a seed line if it means we get the East instead of another region.

 

[zls44]

I Like this, so long as it's confirmed info.
@zls44 , does this updated info sound right to you?

Yep

 

[AzHusky]

As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

• Houston - 74.6%
• Tennessee - 60.7%
• Alabama - 60.6%
• UCLA - 48.9%
• UConn - 38.9%
• Purdue - 36.5%
• Texas - 36.4%
• Kansas - 33.4%

 

[HooperScooper]

As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

• Houston - 74.6%
• Tennessee - 60.7%
• Alabama - 60.6%
• UCLA - 48.9%
• UConn - 38.9%
• Purdue - 36.5%
• Texas - 36.4%
• Kansas - 33.4%

Interesting. Might be worth putting some money down on the Huskies because I don't think their odds I last saw line up with their metrics.

 

[tzznandrew]

As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

• Houston - 74.6%
• Tennessee - 60.7%
• Alabama - 60.6%
• UCLA - 48.9%
• UConn - 38.9%
• Purdue - 36.5%
• Texas - 36.4%
• Kansas - 33.4%

I want to like this but the eye test—and the Rick Barnes test—really suggests that UT at 61% is a loser.

 

[zls44]

I want to like this but the eye test—and the Rick Barnes test—really suggests that UT at 61% is a loser.

Tennessee and Ohio State have broken all the computers this year.

 

[zls44]

I'm OK with being pushed down a seed line if it means we get the East instead of another region.

East is probably going to be the last region assigned to the 1 seed, so being the weakest 3 or strongest 4 on the S Curve will help.

 

[bendm]

as of this morning's update, lunardi has us as the 4 in the east yet again, along with 1 purdue, 2 k-state, and 3 tenn.

that would be a dream come true.

 

[bazzdog]

as of this morning's update, lunardi has us as the 4 in the east yet again, along with 1 purdue, 2 k-state, and 3 tenn.

that would be a dream come true.

Ahh yes welcome to the real Manhattan K-State!

 

[JohnnyJr]

Idc what seed we are as long as it’s top 4 and in the east

 

[Tenspro2002]

As of today, these are the eight schools most likely to reach the Elite Eight, along with their probability to get that far. Based on ESPN's BPI rankings.

• Houston - 74.6%
• Tennessee - 60.7%
• Alabama - 60.6%
• UCLA - 48.9%
• UConn - 38.9%
• Purdue - 36.5%
• Texas - 36.4%
• Kansas - 33.4%

Tennessee and Kansas look like they should be flipped. Somebody is going to have egg on their face.

 

[Hurleyman216]

I honestly am not scared of a single team in this tournament. The only team that can beat us is ourselves. IF we're playing like we did against Marquette or PC we will win by 10+ points against any 1 seed in this tournament. There are no good teams this year, it's going to come down to who gets hot. We've got a very good defense (probably better than the metrics tell us because the BE officiating changed how we were playing D) and we have a top 10 offense. We've got 3-4 guys that can hit the three consistently plus another couple coming off the bench. We have one of the most dominant centers in the country with the best backup center in the country. One of the best lock down defenders and arguably the best pure shooting guard in the country. Give me a 4 seed I really don't care, if we don't beat ourselves we will be steam rolling everyone we play.

 

[Hurleyman216]

Lunardi also has the Big 12 getting a one seed and three 2 seeds. That seems absolutely crazy to me. Baylor got their doors blown off by Marquette, but Marquette will outright win the Big East and get a 3 seed while Baylor will get a 2 seed? Seems like a bit of a stretch. That being said, give me any of those Big 12 2 seeds in our bracket, I'll glad accept that overseeded gift.

 

[Incursio007]

MSG is worth at least 10 points to us - would take a lower seed just to play there.

 

[87Xfer]

MSG is worth at least 10 points to us - would take a lower seed just to play there.

10 seems a little optimistic

 

[Umami Zen]

There is not a team in the Field of 68 who wants to play UConn at MSG in March.. With the obvious exception of our friends in the BE for the BET.

 

[Hurleyman216]

There is not a team in the Field of 68 who wants to play UConn at MSG in March.. With the obvious exception of our friends in the BE for the BET.

It’s a nightmare even for St. John’s to play us there and that’s supposed to be their home court. If we end up there in the NCAA tournament (have to get out of Albany first) we will have such a huge advantage. I don’t feel bad about it, the NCAA still owes us for having to play Texas in Texas, UNC in Greenborough, Michigan St. in Detroit. I was at that 2009 final 4 game and it was unreal how many MSU fans were there. There were like 75,000 fans at that game and by my estimate about 60,000 of them were MSU fans.

 

[Tenspro2002]

10 seems a little optimistic

lol in point spreads, home court advantage is generally given as 3 points relative to neutral

 

[Austin316]

Big games to keep an eye on for some of the high ranked projected seeds.

Potential 1 or 2 seeds games remaining:
Kansas @ Texas 3/4
Purdue @ Wisconsin 3/2 & vs Illinois 3/5
Alabama @ T A&M 3/4
Houston @ Memphis 3/5
UCLA vs ASU 3/2 & vs Arizona 3/4
Arizona @ USC 3/2 & @ UCLA 3/4
Texas @ TCU 3/1 & vs Kansas 3/4
Baylor vs ISU 3/4

 

[Tenspro2002]

It’s a nightmare even for St. John’s to play us there and that’s supposed to be their home court. If we end up there in the NCAA tournament (have to get out of Albany first) we will have such a huge advantage. I don’t feel bad about it, the NCAA still owes us for having to play Texas in Texas, UNC in Greenborough, Michigan St. in Detroit. I was at that 2009 final 4 game and it was unreal how many MSU fans were there. There were like 75,000 fans at that game and by my estimate about 60,000 of them were MSU fans.

MSU in Detroit was unlucky, you can't project a Final Four matchup like that, but it absolutely had an impact in a game that was within 1 possession in the final minute (briefly). GMU in DC similar.

You can add SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim (2011), UCLA in Oakland (1995).

 

[HooperScooper]

MSU in Detroit was unlucky, you can't project a Final Four matchup like that, but it absolutely had an impact in a game that was within 1 possession in the final minute (briefly). GMU in DC similar.

You can add SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim (2011), UCLA in Oakland (1995).

A couple more. UNC in Greensboro (1998). Florida in Miami (1994).

After getting the short end many times, it's about time the tables start to turn back the other way.