Bracket Matrix Bracket entry

[shizzle787]

Here's my bracket (I will post one more next Sunday morning):

S-Curve goes from left to right.

1 Kansas, Houston, Alabama, UCLA
2 Purdue, Texas, Arizona, Baylor
3 Kansas State, Gonzaga, Marquette, UConn
4 Tennessee, Virginia, Missouri, SDSU
5 Indiana, Xavier, Northwestern, TCU
6 Iowa State, Michigan State, Duke, Miami
7 WVU, Iowa, Texas A&M, St. Mary's
8 Illinois, FAU, Memphis, Auburn
9 Maryland, NC State, UNC, Arizona State
10 Boise State, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Creighton
11 Miss State, USC, Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
12 Sam Houston, Drake, Oral Roberts, VCU
13 Toledo, Yale, Louisiana, Iona
14 Furman, Hofstra, Vermont, UC Irvine
15 E Washington, Kennesaw State, UNC-Asheville, Alcorn State
16 Colgate, Youngstown State, Howard, SEMO, Texas A&M-CC, Fairleigh Dickinson

Last four byes: Oklahoma State, Creighton, Mississippi State, USC
Last four in: Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
First four out: Nevada, Penn State, Rutgers, Clemson
Next four out: Michigan, Pitt, Vandy, Utah State

 

[HeGotGame]

UNC, ASU, OK St, Creighton, UK, Ark, PC, and Oregon all should reevaluated.

 

[shizzle787]

UNC, ASU, OK St, Creighton, UK, Ark, PC, and Oregon all should reevaluated.

UNC has no losses in Quad 3 or 4. Quad 2 they are 6-3 and 7-12 overall in first two quadrants. Most of the teams I have them ahead of have 3-4 losses in Quad 3-4.

 

[HeGotGame]

UNC has no losses in Quad 3 or 4. Quad 2 they are 6-3 and 7-12 overall in first two quadrants. Most of the teams I have them ahead of have 3-4 losses in Quad 3-4.

We'll see what happens, but I have UNC out. Not a 9 seed. They are 1-9 Quad 1.

 

[ValleyGuy]

Here's my bracket (I will post one more next Sunday morning):

S-Curve goes from left to right.

1 Kansas, Houston, Alabama, UCLA
2 Purdue, Texas, Arizona, Baylor
3 Kansas State, Gonzaga, Marquette, UConn
4 Tennessee, Virginia, Missouri, SDSU
5 Indiana, Xavier, Northwestern, TCU
6 Iowa State, Michigan State, Duke, Miami
7 WVU, Iowa, Texas A&M, St. Mary's
8 Illinois, FAU, Memphis, Auburn
9 Maryland, NC State, UNC, Arizona State
10 Boise State, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Creighton
11 Miss State, USC, Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
12 Sam Houston, Drake, Oral Roberts, VCU
13 Toledo, Yale, Louisiana, Iona
14 Furman, Hofstra, Vermont, UC Irvine
15 E Washington, Kennesaw State, UNC-Asheville, Alcorn State
16 Colgate, Youngstown State, Howard, SEMO, Texas A&M-CC, Fairleigh Dickinson

Last four byes: Oklahoma State, Creighton, Mississippi State, USC
Last four in: Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
First four out: Nevada, Penn State, Rutgers, Clemson
Next four out: Michigan, Pitt, Vandy, Utah State

Baylor got beat yesterday and Marquette beat them by 30. Would think those should be switched.

 

[shizzle787]

The Bracket Project

bracketproject.blogspot.com

 

[shizzle787]

We'll see what happens, but I have UNC out. Not a 9 seed. They are 1-9 Quad 1.

I knew that one would be the biggest point of contention. We'll see. If they lose a Quad 3 game this week, I would probably move them out or at least to the play-in. I scrub all of the resumes in clumps so we'll see what happens.

 

[ValleyGuy]

UConn is a Jordan Hawkins shoe size and a seton Hall rebound away from being 26-5 and firmly on the 1 line.

 

[tzznandrew]

UNC, ASU, OK St, Creighton, UK, Ark, PC, and Oregon all should reevaluated.

UNC on the 9-line right now is wild. And ahead of Kentucky!!!?!???!?!

 

[HeGotGame]

UNC on the 9-line right now is wild. And ahead of Kentucky!!!?!???!?!

UK is playing their way to a 5 and I don't want to be that 4

 

[shizzle787]

UNC on the 9-line right now is wild. And ahead of Kentucky!!!?!???!?!

Kentucky has two Q3 losses and one Q4 loss. UNC has neither.

 

[Fan1978]

Kentucky has two Q3 losses and one Q4 loss. UNC has neither.

Unc is out. Villanova is actually more deserving.

 

[tzznandrew]

Kentucky has two Q3 losses and one Q4 loss. UNC has neither.

They also have 6 Q1 wins. Which, you know, matter.

At some point avoiding bad losses isn't as good as getting good wins.

 

[shizzle787]

They also have 6 Q1 wins. Which, you know, matter.

At some point avoiding bad losses isn't as good as getting good wins.

Sure, but were splitting hairs between an additional 5 Q1 wins and 3 bad losses. I personally believe 1 bad loss is worth more than a good loss. How much more the committee will ultimately decide.

 

[auror]

UNC has no losses in Quad 3 or 4. Quad 2 they are 6-3 and 7-12 overall in first two quadrants. Most of the teams I have them ahead of have 3-4 losses in Quad 3-4.

This seems a lot more like "What I would do" vs. "What the committee will do". The latter is the point of bracket matrix and bracketology in general. The committee has never valued avoiding bad losses as strongly as you are.

You have UNC as a 9 and Wisconsin as an 11. Here are the 2 resumes:

UNC:
Resume metric ave: 49
Predictive metric ave: 40
SOS - 46
Q1 wins: 1
Q1+Q2 record: 7-12
Away + neutral record: 7-9. 4-7 away. Best away win: Syracuse #127.
Q3+4 losses: 0

Wisconsin:
Resume metric ave: 48
Predictive metric ave: 63
SOS - 11
Q1 wins: 6
Q1+Q2 record: 11-12
Away + neutral record: 8-7. 5-6 away. Best away win: Marquette #13.
Q3+Q4 losses: 1. #90 Wake Forest at home.

Every part of the resume for Wisconsin is better other than scoring margin and 1 top 100 NET loss. Yet you have UNC 2 seedlines better.

Bonus.
Creighton
Resume metric ave: 39
Predictive metric ave: 11
SOS - 28
Q1 wins: 4
Q1+Q2 record: 9-10
Away + neutral record: 7-9. 5-6 away. Best away win: Seton Hall #74.
Q3+Q4 losses: 1. #94 Nebraska at home.

Even disregarding any Kalkbrenner injury consideration, Creighton's resume is better in every way except one okay (not even that bad) loss. Yet you have UNC a seedline better. UConn actually has a worse loss than Creighton. #97 St. John's at home. Why isn't UNC ahead of UConn?

 

[willie99]

Several schools are off by multiple lines, like PC, Creighton and UNC.

The discussion ends Sunday night, time will tell

I suppose I should give to the OP for trying. I know I can't. My focus is much narrower, I leave the bracket up to the professionals who are pretty darn good at picking the field

 

[UofCT]

Several schools are off by multiple lines, like PC, Creighton and UNC.

The discussion ends Sunday night, time will tell

I suppose I should give to the OP for trying. I know I can't. My focus is much narrower, I leave the bracket up to the professionals who are pretty darn good at picking the field

The committee does not follow the bracketologists. There are always 1-2 sometimes more head scratchers that make zero sense.

 

[Ports21]

I dislike the Friars as much as anyone, but having them in last four in is laughable.

 

[Hi-Low]

So many errors in your S-Curve that my head is spinning.....but props to put it out there.

 

[InTheRed]

Kentucky has two Q3 losses and one Q4 loss. UNC has neither.

Those are obviously bad losses but you are penalizing way too much for it.

 

[Com'rGordon]

If you want to see how stupid NET rankings are look at where Ohio state is and where Nebraska is and their resume’s

 

[JohnFSilver]

Here's my bracket (I will post one more next Sunday morning):

S-Curve goes from left to right.

1 Kansas, Houston, Alabama, UCLA
2 Purdue, Texas, Arizona, Baylor
3 Kansas State, Gonzaga, Marquette, UConn
4 Tennessee, Virginia, Missouri, SDSU
5 Indiana, Xavier, Northwestern, TCU
6 Iowa State, Michigan State, Duke, Miami
7 WVU, Iowa, Texas A&M, St. Mary's
8 Illinois, FAU, Memphis, Auburn
9 Maryland, NC State, UNC, Arizona State
10 Boise State, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Creighton
11 Miss State, USC, Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
12 Sam Houston, Drake, Oral Roberts, VCU
13 Toledo, Yale, Louisiana, Iona
14 Furman, Hofstra, Vermont, UC Irvine
15 E Washington, Kennesaw State, UNC-Asheville, Alcorn State
16 Colgate, Youngstown State, Howard, SEMO, Texas A&M-CC, Fairleigh Dickinson

Last four byes: Oklahoma State, Creighton, Mississippi State, USC
Last four in: Arkansas, Providence, Wisconsin, Oregon
First four out: Nevada, Penn State, Rutgers, Clemson
Next four out: Michigan, Pitt, Vandy, Utah State

Providence probably a 9/10. Creighton an 8/9.

 

[HeGotGame]

I knew that one would be the biggest point of contention. We'll see. If they lose a Quad 3 game this week, I would probably move them out or at least to the play-in. I scrub all of the resumes in clumps so we'll see what happens.

UNC is going to be out.

 

[shizzle787]

UNC is going to be out.

I don't know yet. I will do my final entry on Sunday. They are probably on the wrong side but some other bubble teams took some bad losses.

 

[navery12]

UNC is going to be out.