Bowl math

[Marbles90]

There are four matchups of teams with at least 5 wins before the end of the year. That would guarantee at least 4 more spots gone.

Five Win Teams: Marshall, BYU, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Southern Miss, Rice, Middle TN, UAB, Memphis, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Buffalo, Bowling Green, Miami, App State, Georgia Southern, Florida Atlantic, Utah State, Arkansas, Ball State

Four Win Teams: New Mexico State, Kent State, West Virginia, Miami (OH), Vanderbilt, LA Monroe, Georgia Tech, Georgia State, UTEP, Rutgers, Missouri, Auburn, Central Michigan, Florida International, UNLV, Iowa State, Arizona, Army

*Note on Army - including them but two of their wins are against FCS so they may already by ineligible

I started to do a similar analysis but it is still too early and too many combinations. For example the losers of the 5 win team match ups could still win their next game and thus all the teams could still be eligible. However, New Mexico State is playing Missouri this weekend. Both have 4 wins and so, one of these teams will definitely be eliminated. We know that.

For now, we route against the 4 and 5 win teams and see where we stand next Sunday. The math will be much easier next week.

eta - there has been discussion about Army having some kind of exception for beating 2 FCS teams. I could not find anything referencing that. I checked their fan board and after their loss to Troy, they are not considering themselves still in the hunt to be be “bowl eligible” but they are still hoping they can get a bid with 5 wins as that does happen sometimes with not enough .500 teams.

 

[UCTitleTown]

The Armed Forces Bowl is pretty attractive too.

 

[RSTuthill]

I can see 20,000 UConn fans at Fenway.

In the middle of December when they only drew 15K to the Rent during 70 degree weather? May I respectfully suggest not likely? 7.5K would be a lot closer to reality and that might be too high

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

In the middle of December when they only drew 15K to the Rent during 70 degree weather? May I respectfully suggest not likely? 7.5K would be a lot closer to reality and that might be too high

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly rainy and windy

 

[FfldCntyFan]

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly rainy and windy

But what forecast do you expect to see for Boston in the week leading up to the bowl game in Fenway?

 

[RSTuthill]

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly rainy and windy

Yup, in full unobstructed view of the forecast. I had ordered up up sleet and freezing rain, remember? I was keeping a weather eye on Mother Nature who defied me. And then I was kicking myself (figuratively) for having poor judgement in timing the knee replacement so I couldn't get to the Rent. All of which is not to say I wouldn't love to go to Fenway for that game. I am a veteran of more than a decade of watching UConn Hockey under the Eero Saarinen roof.

 

[huskymedic]

 

[Chin Diesel]

Selfishly I'd love for the Lending Tree bowl but I wouldn't wish a couple of days in Mobile in mid-December on anyone.

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

In the middle of December when they only drew 15K to the Rent during 70 degree weather? May I respectfully suggest not likely? 7.5K would be a lot closer to reality and that might be too high

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly day

 

[CONN78SEJ]

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly rainy and windy

The windy part was actually a gale warning for Connecticut. I’m sure that scared a lot of fans away.

 

[Get a Job]

To be fair, the forecast all week for the game was a chilly rainy and windy

This is not true, but you and apparently thousands of others were under this impression. Since last Tuesday, the forecast called for rain ending in the morning and partly cloudy 70° conditions by kickoff. That forecast never changed between Tuesday and game time.

I assume most people just saw the multiday forecast with a raincloud icon shown for Saturday and assumed rain all day. I can't say I blame anyone who made such an assumption, but the fact remains that the forecast, for anyone who cared to/happened to see the details, called for great weather at game time since Tuesday.

 

[huskymedic]

“Not guaranteed but UConn should make bowl cut.”




… and he flipped his comment from the other day regarding adding bowls:

-> The good news, however, is it appears there will not be more than 81 teams that are bowl eligible, so there will be room for the Huskies. No teams with less than six wins may be selected until all bowl-eligible teams are taken, meaning the Huskies should end the nation’s seventh-longest bowl drought.

Even if more than 82 teams reach six wins, sources told Action Network that ESPN would create an additional bowl, allowing all bowl-eligible teams to play in the postseason. ESPN did the same thing last year, creating the Frisco Football Classic.<-

Wonder if the Gov made a call to Bristol?

 

[billybud]

Jerry Palm's latest Bowl Predictions have UConn vs Southern Miss in the Mobile Lending Tree Bowl...

Pitt v Memphis in Fenway

 

[CONN78SEJ]

In the middle of December when they only drew 15K to the Rent during 70 degree weather? May I respectfully suggest not likely? 7.5K would be a lot closer to reality and that might be too high

You could be right but maybe not because of the weather. After I posted 20k at Fenway, I wondered about the seating at Fenway for a football game. Anyone have prior experience at going to a football game at Fenway?

 

[billybud]

The Sporting News is projecting UCONN - Marshall in the Independence Bowl 12/23

 

[Chin Diesel]

This is not true, but you and apparently thousands of others were under this impression. Since last Tuesday, the forecast called for rain ending in the morning and partly cloudy 70° conditions by kickoff. That forecast never changed between Tuesday and game time.

I assume most people just saw the multiday forecast with a raincloud icon shown for Saturday and assumed rain all day. I can't say I blame anyone who made such an assumption, but the fact remains that the forecast, for anyone who cared to/happened to see the details, called for great weather at game time since Tuesday.

C'mon.

Can fault people for not trusting weatherman to be spot on with rain/no rain with a four hour window 3 days out for an outdoor event.

 

[Tex-Lager93]

Selfishly I'd love for the Lending Tree bowl but I wouldn't wish a couple of days in Mobile in mid-December on anyone.

Maybe my favorite option...on a weekend - so I can justify taking my kids (without missing school), not impossibly far like NM or TX and not cold w/ zero sightseeing like Detroit. I would just stay at Pensacola Beach, no reason to be in Mobile.

 

[storrsroars]

I am a veteran of more than a decade of watching UConn Hockey under the Eero Saarinen roof.

I salute you. I've been in sub-zero temps with -60 wind chill, yet I still remember that rink as the coldest place I've ever been in my life.

 

[Chin Diesel]

Maybe my favorite option...on a weekend - so I can justify taking my kids (without missing school), not impossibly far like NM or TX and not cold w/ zero sightseeing like Detroit. I would just stay at Pensacola Beach, no reason to be in Mobile.

You'd be better staying at Gulf Shores, Orange Beach or Perdido Key
Game is at University of South Alabama stadium and that is almost 2 hours from Pensacola Beach.

 

[businesslawyer]

You'd be better staying at Gulf Shores, Orange Beach or Perdido Key
Game is at University of South Alabama stadium and that is almost 2 hours from Pensacola Beach.

If one is o.k. Driving two hours to Mobile to avoid staying there, I think you could fly into and stay in New Orleans.

 

[Chin Diesel]

If one is o.k. Driving two hours to Mobile to avoid staying there, I think you could fly into and stay in New Orleans.

Wouldn't be the worst option. Could also go to Biloxi and hit up casinos there. Biloxi should be a bit under an hour from the stadium.

 

[Husky25]

I talked to my contact in the AD yesterday at the game and was told that based on the email they sent out last week asking for a non binding commitment to buy tix to any bowl game (to use or donate) they were over 4K. I think they will be sending out another email after this win or after the Army game - getting over 5K will not be a problem and hoping to get significantly over that - between 7500 and 10k would be a no brainer. What a game and what a fun season!

Because the "commitment" is non-binding, how many of those projected >5k will pull the trigger when the follow-up email hits inboxes?

 

[RSTuthill]

I salute you. I've been in sub-zero temps with -60 wind chill, yet I still remember that rink as the coldest place I've ever been in my life.

And I salute you. Only special people were fans in those days.

Incidentally, I missed only one game of my older son's career as a PerWee to see Brian Krygier break his brother's career scoring record. (He ended up with 219 points.) My son scored his only PeeWee hat trick that afternoon at KO rink that fueled an improbable comeback from five goals down that ended one goal short. His only PeeWee hat trick.

 

[Urcea]

The Myrtle Beach Bowl would be a nice little pre-Christmas getaway

 

[Redding Husky]

Collegefootballnews has us going to the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl in Orlando against Appalachian State. Thoughts?