Bowl math

[shizzle787]

There are 41 bowls this year not counting the title game.

63 teams other than UConn have clinched bowl eligibility.

There are 43 other teams that have not clinched bowl eligibility but have a chance to finish with at least six wins.

There are 19 slots left.

We need 25 teams to fall short.

 

[Chin Diesel]

 

[BugsyCT]

(Saw this on UConn FB Fans' Facebook page) -

According to Draft Kings the bowl games UConn is eligible for:

Cure: December 16, Orlando, FL
LendingTree: December 17, Mobile, AL
Frisco: December 17, Frisco, TX
Myrtle Beach: December 19, Myrtle Beach, SC
Boca Raton: December 20, Boca Raton, FL
Armed Forces: December 22, Fort Worth, TX
Gasparilla: December 23, Tampa, FL
Camellia: December 27, Montgomery, AL
First Responder: December 27, Dallas, TX
Birmingham: December 27, Birmingham, AL

 

[shizzle787]

So I did my projections by league (# of teams I think will be bowl eligible):
AAC (7)
ACC (9)
Big 12 (8)
B1G (10)
C-USA (5)
Indies (3)
MAC (5)
MW (7)
Pac-12 (7)
SEC (10)
Sun Belt (9)

Bid not including UConn: 82

As of right now, I would rate our chances of going bowling at around 45%. Army is a must win.

 

[wheelerdog]

So I did my projections by league (# of teams I think will be bowl eligible):
AAC (7)
ACC (9)
Big 12 (8)
B1G (10)
C-USA (5)
Indies (3)
MAC (5)
MW (7)
Pac-12 (7)
SEC (10)
Sun Belt (9)

Bid not including UConn: 82

As of right now, I would rate our chances of going bowling at around 45%. Army is a must win.

Plus BYU, ND, and Liberty

 

[shizzle787]

So I did my projections by league (# of teams I think will be bowl eligible):
AAC (7)
ACC (9)
Big 12 (8)
B1G (10)
C-USA (5)
Indies (3)
MAC (5)
MW (7)
Pac-12 (7)
SEC (10)
Sun Belt (9)

Bid not including UConn: 82

As of right now, I would rate our chances of going bowling at around 45%. Army is a must win.

I did my math wrong: it's 80 bids I have added up. I think we are going bowling.

 

[RSTuthill]

Plus BYU, ND, and Liberty

He has them listed already as Indies

 

[RSTuthill]

I did my math wrong: it's 80 bids I have added up. I think we are going bowling.

Well according to you there will be 82 bids and 80 teams eligible not including UConn. So if you are accurate on who will be eligible, looks like UConn is well positioned. Agree that a 7-5 record would make them more attractive though.

 

[shizzle787]

Well according to you there will be 82 bids and 80 teams eligible not including UConn. So if you are accurate on who will be eligible, looks like UConn is well positioned. Agree that a 7-5 record would make them more attractive though.

It's a projection so we will see. The MAC, Sun Belt, and C-USA are where we need to keep our focus as that's where our bid will be kept or lost.

 

[shizzle787]

My math is off for one other reason: James Madison is not eligible. So 79 is prediction: leaving 3 spots for UConn.

 

[Huskyforlife]

Does winning 7 make it automatic?

 

[B1GEast]

Isn't it more about bowl ties? If a conference has 4 bowl ties, but only 3 programs are eligible, then that bowl can seek a team that would be a good fit, not necessarily a power 5. . Thoughts?

 

[shizzle787]

Isn't it more about bowl ties? If a conference has 4 bowl ties, but only 3 programs are eligible, then that bowl can seek a team that would be a good fit, not necessarily a power 5. I'm thinking the AAC . Thoughts?

Yes. That has everything to do with it. However, a P5 is always going to get in over a G5.

 

[HuskyNan]

Cure or Gasparilla

 

[shizzle787]

Cure or Gasparilla

View attachment 80631

Gasparilla is against an SEC team so I would sign up for that.

 

[AzHusky]

First Responder: December 27, Dallas, TX - This would be ok with me, day after my birthday.

 

[JohnFSilver]

Boca Raton. Weather boating and cheap flights .

 

[PAGS]

So we’re on a few bowl projection pages. Most have UConn in the Independence Bowl. Si.com has us in the armed forces bowl. I think numbers are in our favor.

 

[NowInStorrs]

 

[NE Football]

Whatever bowl we need to bring 20,000 fans to get noticed.

 

[superjohn]

So I did my projections by league (# of teams I think will be bowl eligible):
AAC (7)
ACC (9)
Big 12 (8)
B1G (10)
C-USA (5)
Indies (3)
MAC (5)
MW (7)
Pac-12 (7)
SEC (10)
Sun Belt (9)

Bid not including UConn: 82

As of right now, I would rate our chances of going bowling at around 45%. Army is a must win.

They aren't keeping UConn out of a bowl, it's one of the best stories in the country.

 

[LoyalFanCT]

Fenway is a possibility too, and we would be the regional team

 

[metsfan2323]

Some Rutgers fans are hoping 5 wins gets them another bowl bid. It's a nice little bonus that UCONN decreased the odds of that happening.

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

I did a quick but hopefully accurate nose count of reams that need to win 1, 2, or 3 games to get to six wins. Some almost certainly won't make it based on who they play. Total of 36 teams. Clearly, the games need to be played to see how the dust settles....

Need 1 win (18 teams): Miami (FL), Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Sparty, Wisconsin, Rice, MTSU, FAU, UAB, BYU, Ball State, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Utah State, Arkansas, GA Southern, App State, Southern Miss.

Need to win 2 (17 teams): Georgia Tech, West Virginia, Iowa State, Rutgers, UTEP, FIU, New Mexico State, Central Michigan, Miami (FL), Kent State, UNLV, Arizona, Auburn, Missouri, Vanderbilt, GA Southern, LA -Monroe.

Need to win 3 (1 team): Army.

Commence the voodoo magic!

 

[WrenchFan69]

I did a quick but hopefully accurate nose count of reams that need to win 1, 2, or 3 games to get to six wins. Some almost certainly won't make it based on who they play. Total of 36 teams. Clearly, the games need to be played to see how the dust settles....

Need 1 win (18 teams): Miami (FL), Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Sparty, Wisconsin, Rice, MTSU, FAU, UAB, BYU, Ball State, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Utah State, Arkansas, GA Southern, App State, Southern Miss.

Need to win 2 (17 teams): Georgia Tech, West Virginia, Iowa State, Rutgers, UTEP, FIU, New Mexico State, Central Michigan, Miami (FL), Kent State, UNLV, Arizona, Auburn, Missouri, Vanderbilt, GA Southern, LA -Monroe.

Need to win 3 (1 team): Army.

Commence the voodoo magic!

Army beat 2 FCS teams but only one of those wins counts towards bowl eligibility, meaning they have a max of 5 wins