The Big East is an absolute disaster. Val's leadership has been terrible and she has squandered any momentum the league was trying to create organically by simply rolling over to the TV networks and putting zero effort into marketing the league -- and that's when the product was pretty good.
Now, the product is bad -- even though with the rev share the schools should be doing well. As of today, we're looking at a TWO-BID LEAGUE. We got 3 teams in '24, and that was being the 2nd best conference in KenPom. That was a marketing problem. We're going to get two now because of failed leadership plus the lack of everyone else pulling their weight. The situation is DIRE if everyone doesn't take care of business in non-con.
- UConn (KP #6)
- St. Johns (#22) -- lack of a PG on full display in a marquee home LOSS vs a top SEC team. Still has 4 top 27 matchups in non-con to make up for it, but projected to go 1-3 as of now. Not good -- that sets them up for a 7/8 seed at best?
- Villanova (#44) -- lost to BYU already, has top 16 Michigan and Wisco coming up. Given Willard's shoddy track record and it being year 1, not really going to hold my breath. Probably need to win both to get an at-large as the rest of their non-con is a bad Pitt and mid-majors.
- Creighton (#53) -- lost to Gonzaga by 27 last night. 27! A team UConn has dominated the last few years. . Seemingly play half the Big 12 in non-con rest of the way, with #19 Baylor and #8 ISU back-to-back in Vegas in 2 weeks. Need a split and then take care of business vs mediocre Nebraska and KSt. If they go 2-2 or god forbid 1-3 or worse, they're going to be squarely on the bubble and likely on the outside. Again, not good.
- Marquette (#63) -- Shaka refusing to take transfers for a 3rd straight year is finally going to do him in. Got blown out by Indiana with a first year head coach. Seriously? Have #16 Wisco and #7 Purdue along with mediocre Maryland/Dayton/Oklahoma. Need 4 wins out of that to be safe...but at KenPom #63 they have A LOT of work to do...
- Butler (#70) -- Play no one sub-42 in NonCon right now. Outside chance if they sweep the 4 decent games they have, good luck with that.
- PC (#73) -- Another team that plays #16 Wisco, and that's their best opponent. Already lost to a mediocre Va Tech in OT.
- Gtown (#74) -- Beat #57 Maryland! Oh wow! Has opportunities vs #21 Clemson and #26 UNC. Win 1 of those and they might be able to sneak into the bubble assuming they don't pick up bad Ls.
- Hall (#90) -- #28 NC State only top 53 non-con opponent. Abysmal schedule.
- Xavier (#103) -- Just got their teeth kicked in at home vs Santa Clara. Have some opportunities (and Santa Clara isn't the worst loss technically) but also struggled vs Marist and Le Moyne. Dick Pitinio in one in year 1.
- DePaul (#117) -- Buffalo just handled them in Chicago. Other than Northwester, pretty bad non-con (6 300+ cupcakes). Forever Basement.
So to sum it up, it will be an uphill fight for 3 bids, let alone 4+. That has dangerous ramifications, both financially and for future recruiting. The good news is that the teams in-line for a bid can control their own destiny (granted, that would mean beating Wisconsin 3 times and thus devaluing their own resume).
We need to get out.
EDIT: Yes, it's way too premature to use KenPom numbers accurately. So much can change. But given where things currently stand, everyone still has A LOT of work to do. The conference is in a bad state and is not grading out well in the metrics. Bad.