The KenPom stuff is massively premature. I remind you of what you said about it just 3 days ago, it's not useful until last year's data is weeded outNot to say I told you so, but I've been saying this for weeks. That these OOC for us are critical to any decent seeding in the tourney because all the BE can do is weigh us down. Why I was really concerned with the Mullins injury.
BE has one team in the KP top 20, 2 teams in the KP top 43. Nova is 44 right now. The Mount West has 3 teams in the top 45 as well, as a barometer.
St. John's didn't lose because of a lack of a point guard.The Big East is an absolute disaster. Val's leadership has been terrible and she has squandered any momentum the league was trying to create organically by simply rolling over to the TV networks and putting zero effort into marketing the league -- and that's when the product was pretty good.
Now, the product is bad -- even though with the rev share the schools should be doing well. As of today, we're looking at a TWO-BID LEAGUE. We got 3 teams in '24, and that was being the 2nd best conference in KenPom. That was a marketing problem. We're going to get two now because of failed leadership plus the lack of everyone else pulling their weight. The situation is DIRE if everyone doesn't take care of business in non-con.
So to sum it up, it will be an uphill fight for 3 bids, let alone 4+. That has dangerous ramifications, both financially and for future recruiting. The good news is that the teams in-line for a bid can control their own destiny (granted, that would mean beating Wisconsin 3 times and thus devaluing their own resume).
- UConn (KP #6)
- St. Johns (#22) -- lack of a PG on full display in a marquee home LOSS vs a top SEC team. Still has 4 top 27 matchups in non-con to make up for it, but projected to go 1-3 as of now. Not good -- that sets them up for a 7/8 seed at best?
- Villanova (#44) -- lost to BYU already, has top 16 Michigan and Wisco coming up. Given Willard's shoddy track record and it being year 1, not really going to hold my breath. Probably need to win both to get an at-large as the rest of their non-con is a bad Pitt and mid-majors.
- Creighton (#53) -- lost to Gonzaga by 27 last night. 27! A team UConn has dominated the last few years. . Seemingly play half the Big 12 in non-con rest of the way, with #19 Baylor and #8 ISU back-to-back in Vegas in 2 weeks. Need a split and then take care of business vs mediocre Nebraska and KSt. If they go 2-2 or god forbid 1-3 or worse, they're going to be squarely on the bubble and likely on the outside. Again, not good.
- Marquette (#63) -- Shaka refusing to take transfers for a 3rd straight year is finally going to do him in. Got blown out by Indiana with a first year head coach. Seriously? Have #16 Wisco and #7 Purdue along with mediocre Maryland/Dayton/Oklahoma. Need 4 wins out of that to be safe...but at KenPom #63 they have A LOT of work to do...
- Butler (#70) -- Play no one sub-42 in NonCon right now. Outside chance if they sweep the 4 decent games they have, good luck with that.
- PC (#73) -- Another team that plays #16 Wisco, and that's their best opponent. Already lost to a mediocre Va Tech in OT.
- Gtown (#74) -- Beat #57 Maryland! Oh wow! Has opportunities vs #21 Clemson and #26 UNC. Win 1 of those and they might be able to sneak into the bubble assuming they don't pick up bad Ls.
- Hall (#90) -- #28 NC State only top 53 non-con opponent. Abysmal schedule.
- Xavier (#103) -- Just got their teeth kicked in at home vs Santa Clara. Have some opportunities (and Santa Clara isn't the worst loss technically) but also struggled vs Marist and Le Moyne. Dick Pitinio in one in year 1.
- DePaul (#117) -- Buffalo just handled them in Chicago. Other than Northwester, pretty bad non-con (6 300+ cupcakes). Forever Basement.
We need to get out.
Non-divisional wins of division foes negatively impact teams in the pros. Non-conference wins of conference foes positively impact college teams. It’s that simple.Always happy to see Creighton lose. I've never understood rooting for conference mates. No other sports do. Do Giants fans root for Eagles or Cowboys?
Grow up. It’s November 12, were you saying the Big East sucked after we went 0-3 in Maui? You’re over here citing KenPom ratings that are 95% tied to last seasons performance. And while I do agree with you on the Big East leadership, you got to get a grip. We’ll be at 3-5 teams this March, like we usually do. It’s early, too early to have these conversations so stop overreacting.The Big East is an absolute disaster. Val's leadership has been terrible and she has squandered any momentum the league was trying to create organically by simply rolling over to the TV networks and putting zero effort into marketing the league -- and that's when the product was pretty good.
Now, the product is bad -- even though with the rev share the schools should be doing well. As of today, we're looking at a TWO-BID LEAGUE. We got 3 teams in '24, and that was being the 2nd best conference in KenPom. That was a marketing problem. We're going to get two now because of failed leadership plus the lack of everyone else pulling their weight. The situation is DIRE if everyone doesn't take care of business in non-con.
So to sum it up, it will be an uphill fight for 3 bids, let alone 4+. That has dangerous ramifications, both financially and for future recruiting. The good news is that the teams in-line for a bid can control their own destiny (granted, that would mean beating Wisconsin 3 times and thus devaluing their own resume).
- UConn (KP #6)
- St. Johns (#22) -- lack of a PG on full display in a marquee home LOSS vs a top SEC team. Still has 4 top 27 matchups in non-con to make up for it, but projected to go 1-3 as of now. Not good -- that sets them up for a 7/8 seed at best?
- Villanova (#44) -- lost to BYU already, has top 16 Michigan and Wisco coming up. Given Willard's shoddy track record and it being year 1, not really going to hold my breath. Probably need to win both to get an at-large as the rest of their non-con is a bad Pitt and mid-majors.
- Creighton (#53) -- lost to Gonzaga by 27 last night. 27! A team UConn has dominated the last few years. . Seemingly play half the Big 12 in non-con rest of the way, with #19 Baylor and #8 ISU back-to-back in Vegas in 2 weeks. Need a split and then take care of business vs mediocre Nebraska and KSt. If they go 2-2 or god forbid 1-3 or worse, they're going to be squarely on the bubble and likely on the outside. Again, not good.
- Marquette (#63) -- Shaka refusing to take transfers for a 3rd straight year is finally going to do him in. Got blown out by Indiana with a first year head coach. Seriously? Have #16 Wisco and #7 Purdue along with mediocre Maryland/Dayton/Oklahoma. Need 4 wins out of that to be safe...but at KenPom #63 they have A LOT of work to do...
- Butler (#70) -- Play no one sub-42 in NonCon right now. Outside chance if they sweep the 4 decent games they have, good luck with that.
- PC (#73) -- Another team that plays #16 Wisco, and that's their best opponent. Already lost to a mediocre Va Tech in OT.
- Gtown (#74) -- Beat #57 Maryland! Oh wow! Has opportunities vs #21 Clemson and #26 UNC. Win 1 of those and they might be able to sneak into the bubble assuming they don't pick up bad Ls.
- Hall (#90) -- #28 NC State only top 53 non-con opponent. Abysmal schedule.
- Xavier (#103) -- Just got their teeth kicked in at home vs Santa Clara. Have some opportunities (and Santa Clara isn't the worst loss technically) but also struggled vs Marist and Le Moyne. Dick Pitinio in one in year 1.
- DePaul (#117) -- Buffalo just handled them in Chicago. Other than Northwester, pretty bad non-con (6 300+ cupcakes). Forever Basement.
We need to get out.
EDIT: Yes, it's way too premature to use KenPom numbers accurately. So much can change. But given where things currently stand, everyone still has A LOT of work to do. The conference is in a bad state and is not grading out well in the metrics. Bad.
You're right, but by the looks of what we have so far, I'm not expecting it to improve much. I expect Pitino to right StJ, we'll be fine. It's the other 9 programs that will be the issue.The KenPom stuff is massively premature. I remind you of what you said about it just 3 days ago, it's not useful until last year's data is weeded out
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Why?The Big East sucks but anyone having Creighton out of the tournament because of 1 loss to a top 25 team is beyond reactionary. Creighton is a very good team and a tournament lock
Niagara Canisius and St Bonny are a tough sell always, surprised their struggles haven't been showing up earlier.Anyone a little worried about this conference? There are some Catholic private schools suffering nationwide right now. Been hearing about dire things at Niagara, Canisius, St. Bonavenure. I'm sure things aren't so rosy at Seton Hall, DePaul, Xavier and maybe even Providence.
I don't disagree that a lot of teams have looked bad, or even that a lot of teams in the Big East are bad.You're right, but by the looks of what we have so far, I'm not expecting it to improve much. I expect Pitino to right StJ, we'll be fine. It's the other 9 programs that will be the issue.
Creighton looked awful, qualitatively. Marquette, same. They were our fighting chance at a third bid. The DePaul & Xavier losses are holes we won't dig out of.
Been saying it for awhile now, but we have to grab at least 4 wins out of these 6 to grab a top seed. These games are a big deal.
The immaturity to not understand the dire situation the conference is frankly impressive. For reference, here are the preseason rankings from last year vs this year:Grow up. It’s November 12, were you saying the Big East sucked after we went 0-3 in Maui? You’re over here citing KenPom ratings that are 95% tied to last seasons performance. And while I do agree with you on the Big East leadership, you got to get a grip. We’ll be at 3-5 teams this March, like we usually do. It’s early, too early to have these conversations so stop overreacting.
And lol at the “we gotta get out comment.” And go where? The NBA? The A10? Maybe the SEC! No one wants our program yet given the circumstances. This is the reality of it - all we can do is win and not have our administration/AD act like idiots.
It certainly didn't help! I'm not worried about them getting into the tourney, but hard to win in March w/o one. We need those tournament credits!St. John's didn't lose because of a lack of a point guard.
They are not a lock. This is the worst Creighton team since 2022. That team started out preseason 53 and best non-con win was 58 BYU (w/ losses to #43 ISU and #46 CSU and #97 ASU). They got in as a 9 seed because they beat #10 Nova, #22 us twice. #32 PC and a trip to the BET Championship. Also worth noting, that BE is likely stronger than this year's though.The Big East sucks but anyone having Creighton out of the tournament because of 1 loss to a top 25 team is beyond reactionary. Creighton is a very good team and a tournament lock
Possibly, but then you have an Indiana, who is nothing but transfers and they ran a team full of continuity. With Creighton, I'm just not sure how impressed I am with their roster and I do thinking finally losing a guy like Kalk exposes them some. They have zero athletes on that team.I don't disagree that a lot of teams have looked bad, or even that a lot of teams in the Big East are bad.
But I still expect 4-5 bids, because with all the player and roster turnover in college basketball, everyone looks bad. There's a ton of bad basketball and surprising results all over college basketball as teams learn to play. I don't think Creighton looking bad yesterday necessarily means it's going to look like that all year
The NFL doesn't have committees seeding playoff teams.Always happy to see Creighton lose. I've never understood rooting for conference mates. No other sports do. Do Giants fans root for Eagles or Cowboys?
Spot on. Creighton having ZERO blocks last night is the most glaring indication on how much they miss Kalkbrenner. Other than the two Iowa transfers (and it's not like Iowa was that good last year) they're relying on some mid-major transfers from Howard and Charlotte to be major contributors. Lot of work to do in Omaha, but luckily they have a very good coach.Possibly, but then you have an Indiana, who is nothing but transfers and they ran a team full of continuity. With Creighton, I'm just not sure how impressed I am with their roster and I do thinking finally losing a guy like Kalk exposes them some. They have zero athletes on that team.
I'd lean towards these BE teams being bad. If we were to get 4-5 teams in (which would be suprising since we only got 3 in last year), it would be out of default. The one thing on our side is that the SEC shouldn't have bids in the teens and mid majors really aren't going to be making much noise to get auto bids in today's environment.
Georgetown could surprise as KJ & Mack are a solid core, they have a couple bigs and some solid role players.
Not even close to being the same situation. The Giants are competing (well maybe not for a few years) with other teams in the division for OVERALL record to win the division, so of course Giants fans are not going to root for the Eagles, Cowboys and Washington.Always happy to see Creighton lose. I've never understood rooting for conference mates. No other sports do. Do Giants fans root for Eagles or Cowboys?
McDermott is the only reason I think they have potential. They're slow and just not very talented. McAndrew is a nice big stretch 4, but ultimately just a skinny tall guy that can shoot and not do much else. They have very little to compliment him. I'm honestly surprised a guy like Green isn't a more key player on this team. Me personally, I think McDermott is the kinda guy that doesn't jive with the portal and is on the 18th hole.Spot on. Creighton having ZERO blocks last night is the most glaring indication on how much they miss Kalkbrenner. Other than the two Iowa transfers (and it's not like Iowa was that good last year) they're relying on some mid-major transfers from Howard and Charlotte to be major contributors. Lot of work to do in Omaha, but luckily they have a very good coach.
I'd say those memories are only that, memories. Nova may have the resources to rise again, but the Neptune era at the NIL/Portal turn was really bad timing for their brand. I don't know how I feel about Willard being the guy to resurrect them.Need to stop the bleeding on Friday and Saturday. But in this league we pretty much have to do things on our own. Without us this league is nothing in terms of national respect. Nova was the last stalwart and those memories are fading fast.
You are in mid season formI'd say those memories are only that, memories. Nova may have the resources to rise again, but the Neptune era at the NIL/Portal turn was really bad timing for their brand. I don't know how I feel about Willard being the guy to resurrect them.
I agree, we are on an island here and have to operate that way. The more kids I hear about kids college selections, the more I see a trend of them all wanting big state schools.
Why don't people listen to you? Maybe you should post more.Not to say I told you so, but I've been saying this for weeks. That these OOC for us are critical to any decent seeding in the tourney because all the BE can do is weigh us down. Why I was really concerned with the Mullins injury.
BE has one team in the KP top 20, 2 teams in the KP top 43. Nova is 44 right now. The Mount West has 3 teams in the top 45 as well, as a barometer.
I type fast Hans and have a hybrid computer job. There are some good Uconn conversationalists here, you not included. I like to think of you as drunk wannabe Shakespeare. Let me know if you'd like me to find you the Drunk Shakespeare message board.
I will continue to root against any school with a religious affiliation. Big East or not.Brother, our conference strength has a lot of bearing on how we seed in the tourney, it also brings money to the league. It also brings TV revenue. Division strength doesn't matter in pro sports, it does in college. Let's not forget that top kids want to play against good team.
I used to pull hard for our conference mates on an emotional level when I was prideful for the BE being the best conference in the country. Now that any chance of that is gone, much less so. I'll always pull for our old brothers like GTown & Nova, less so for the midwest adds. Nowadays I simply pull for them as it comes to positioning Uconn best possible from an economics, recruiting and seeding perspective.