Back to the topic of the AP poll:
Some teams I think are significantly overranked:
Team
(AP ranking) | Seeding in 2019 NCAAs | end-2019 Massey ranking | Rationale |
Kentucky (13) | 6 | 24 | Lost 2 of top 3 players to graduation. Not at all clear who can fill the void to complement Howard. |
Michigan State (15) | 9 | 38 | Lost Allen (graduation) and Cooks (transfer). Might be better than last year, but 23 spots better? |
Indiana (18) | 10 | 41 | I hesitate to include them here, but I think people are overestimating how much they'll improve. All-glue player Bendu Yeaney is still rehabbing a torn achilles. |
Arkansas (20) | WNIT | 53 | Though I think they'll make the NCAAs, I think there's some recency bias at play here, based on their run in the SEC tournament last March. |
Tennessee (24) | 11 | 49 | I'm morally obligated to include them in this list. Are we really rewarding them for beating the Little Sisters of the Wounded Leprechauns? |
West Virginia (25) | WNIT | 47 | Muldrow was a huge graduation loss, and huge question marks hang over Tynice Martin. They do have Gondrezick back, but this team has a lot of questions to answer. |