USF shouldn't have to run the table, as they are #22 in Sagarin and #21 in Massey, have two top 50 wins including OK and one over a Chattanooga team that beat UTenn, and are securely in Creme's Bracketology. Any future bad losses could hurt them, but as a tough team that grinds them out, the Bulls look pretty good at this point, and it would be unprecedented if they did not get selected from around where they sit now. They also had a win in the 2013 NCAA Tournament, so they have some reputation there.
There is a third possibility for the AAC in Tulane, which would probably need a win on the road over USF to get strong consideration. In a P5 conference they would be in the prediction brackets already, but Creme knows they face an extra hurdle. But at #39 in Sagarin and #48 in Massey they are in potential selection territory and rated ahead of many P5 teams like Michigan that are now in the selection brackets, and have a top-50 win over Miami, plus they beat bad but name teams NC State and LSU.
But with so many P5 teams having played puff 300+ SOS OOC schedules to get impressive looking records that will get them 20+ wins even with their losing conference records and 2-8 finishes, Tulane is definitely an underdog for selection.