There will be some surprises this year. The OOC has been disappointing compared to last year, but there will be 4-5 tournament teams when all is said and done.
Creighton has been disappointing lately, but I believe they will get better as McDermott will have to develop depth. They will probably be a tournament team.
Villanova has been disappointing as well, but Whitmore is healthy and very good. I'm not sold on Kyle Neptune, but there is enough talent on the roster to be a bubble team.
Xavier is a good team. They have three close losses to three good teams, and they have two solid wins. They will be a 20+ win team and likely make the field.
St. John's to me is an X-factor. They have played a weak OOC schedule but they only have one loss to a good Iowa State team on the road. If they go 12-8 in conference play, they will be a minimum 22-win team heading into Selection Sunday.
Butler is an underrated team. They are 8-3 and got smacked a few times but they don't have a bad loss. If they go 11-9 or better in conference play, I think they have a good chance of making the field.
Marquette has arguably been the second most impressive Big East team. They continue to play difficult schedules, and Shaka Smart is rewarded for it. If they beat ND today, I believe their number to get into the field is 19 wins as long as they don't lose a 6/11 type matchup in the BET.
Providence is an unknown. No bad losses, but no good wins. Time will tell, but Cooley is a really good coach.
Seton Hall has struggled. They have a bad loss to Siena, but they do have a win over Memphis. Their game today against Rutgers is huge for a bid later in the year, but I'm not holding my breath.
DePaul is worse than they were last year. They have one meh loss to Santa Clara and a couple of solid wins, but this is a team that only had one loss going into conference play last year. They are 6-4 (0-1) currently.
Georgetown is bad again. There's really not much to dissect here. It's time for Ewing to be relieved of his duties.