Vandy looked better than I thought they'd be (and I did have them beating Miami). Great athleticism, intense defensively, good coaching, and terrific young scorers. Miami yikes--has issues. They do not look like an NCAA Tournament team at this point. I do think that Cameron Williams has improved, so that's a good thing. But man, that was BAD. I expected them to lose, but to get smoked on their home court by an unranked team (that maybe should be ranked)--not what I was expecting.
Here's how equal these teams were today:
Vandy FG: 50% Miami FG: 52.8%
Vandy 3-pt: 37.5% Miami 3-pt: 35.3%
Vandy FT: 73.3% Miami FT: 72.7%
Vandy fouls: 16 Miami fouls: 16
Vandy assists: 20 Miami assists: 14
Vandy steals: 7 Miami steals: 8
Vandy turnovers: 15 Miami turnovers: 21*
Vandy rebounds: 36 Miami rebounds: 24
Defensive reb: 19 Defensive reb: 18
Offensive reb: 17* Offensive reb: 6
In the 2nd quarter Vandy outscored Miami by 5
In the 3rd quarter Miami outscored Vandy by 1
In the 4th quarter Vandy outscored Miami by 4
The teams were very even and it SHOULD have been about a 5 to 10 point game. 5 if Miami wins and 10 if Vandy wins as Vandy's top 2 players are better than anyone Miami has. The duo of Pierre/Blakes accounted for 54 of their total points with another adding 13. Far too reliant on just 2 players to win most games against ranked competition. Their only loss came because Blakes got in to foul trouble early and had to sit for too many minutes.
Miami turned the ball over too much and many of those were completely unforced. They have to fix that. The 17 Vandy offensive rebounds(Pierre accounted for 8!) and the Miami turnovers resulted in 16 2nd chance points for Vandy. That should never happen. It's called boxing out.
There was a +17 point difference in points off turnovers for Vandy and a +14 point difference for Vandy in 2nd chance points. That's called effort.
In conclusion Miami is not a tournament team at this point. They lost that game in the 1st quarter when they were outscored by 10. Cavinder is usually a decent 3-pt shooter but was 0 -6 today. If she hits a couple of those the game changes to a 4 or 6 point game and everything changes. Ultimately the outcome wouldn't have changed as Vandy put in more effort than Miami and it was reflected in the final score. Miami has not played a difficult enough schedule up to this point to better prepare them for such challenges. They also haven't played enough road games. If they want to get in to the tournament I'm afraid neutral site games against Nevada and Oregon State aren't going to cut it. At best they are probably looking at a 9 - 9 season in the conference with no signature wins. That isn't good enough nor should it be. This is a mature team with 5 veteran players (4 grads and a sr) plus a grad and 2 jrs coming off the bench. There is enough experience including tournament experience on this team to turn things around. This group knows what it takes to win at the highest level. They just need to go out and do it.