There is nothing wrong with being extremely optimistic about UConn's prospects this upcoming season. The team is as loaded and as battle tested as we've seen in a while. With the departure of Brittney Griner, Stef projects to be the best center in WCBB. KML was at worst the seventh-best player in the country last season. Barring injury, she is a virtual shoe-in for top four with an outside shot at NPOY. Bria can only be better than she was the balance of last season, and if she's "only" as good as she was in the final four rounds, Uconn will be in good shape. Breanna is at worst the second best power forward in the country after Chiney, and the Stef-Stewie frontcourt is devastating. Moriah and Morgan are ridiculously good and should only get better. The only minor question marks are Banks's confidence post-rehab, how good Saniya can be and how soon, and whether Kiah can hit her ceiling. Mind you, none of those things have to turn out to the positive for Uconn to be the prohibitive favorite. Uconn should be better next season. Baylor simply can't replace Griner. Notre Dame still has talent, but they've now gone two consecutive seasons with their roster being progressively depleted of the kids who brought them three straight F4s. Yes, Lloyd and Reimer are good. No, they're not proven yet, especially Reimer. Stanford doesn't have enough Chiney to hang with Uconn. Duke never seems to match up well with Uconn. So who's left? Maryland? Seems doubtful, though possibly the most likely. Tennessee? Probably a top 10 team, but good enough to beat Uconn? Very unlikely. Louisville? Uconn beat them by 33 on a neutral court.
I just don't see who's got the horses to hang with Uconn next season. Anything less than an NC would be a disappointing result, and 39-0 is a reasonable prediction.
Bear in mind that, at this point in 2009, I thought Uconn was the favorite but would miss Renee more than it turned out they did, in 2010 that Uconn would not repeat, in 2011 that Uconn would make the Elite 8, and in 2012 that Uconn would finish runners up to Baylor. In short, I haven't been deliriously optimistic over the summers. This year I am.