7 Seed Still In Play

[UCFan1513]

I think we have to win BET to move up, and not even sure beating Marquette would get us there. We may have to beat SJU.

If the committee has Marquette as a 7, and we beat them in the final, I'm not sure they can put them ahead of us with a 0-3 head to head record

 

[AZHuskiePop]

Is it possible to win a Natty as a 7 seed?

Ask Villanova they won as an 8 beating GT
With help from one or two Ct kids
under Rollie
Then lost to a 7 under Jay Wright ,
As did other great coaches like Izzo, Calipari and Billy Donavan
In fact Nova’s loss was a blowout to a 7

 

[auror]

If the committee has Marquette as a 7, and we beat them in the final, I'm not sure they can put them ahead of us with a 0-3 head to head record

In general head to head is not a big deal, but Committee does take this into account when the teams are close. See them putting Xavier as the 3 and UConn as the 4 in 2023.

 

[ctbro1999]

Looking at bracketmatrix last year, here were the biggest whiffs for their projected 7-10 seeds:

Nevada: projected 7, actual 10 (-3)
Utah St: projected 6, actual 8 (-2)
Boise St: projected 8, actual 10 (-2)
FAU: projected 10, actual 8 (+2)

All other 7-10 seeds were within 1 seed of their projections.

 

[navery12]

My gut tells me that the committee has us as a seven at the moment, primarily because they won't want to have a one seed have to worry about having to play us this early.

I've seen this sentiment a lot and I don't wholly disagree. But my counterpoint would be that the alternative then is placing a team they view as better than UConn in a matchup with a 1 seed, which is an actual disservice as opposed to playing the idea of UConn

 

[FlippinCrazy!]

This year, there are a lot of overrated teams. Imagine a region with say 1. Florida, 2. MSU, 3. Clemson, 4. Louisville, 5. Kentucky, 6. Purdue. I’d feel pretty good as a 7 or 8 seed in that. Then again knowing the NCAA, we’re probs going to end in the hardest region with like Auburn, Houston, and Iowa State (Duke is gonna be given a cakewalk).

 

[Sibeerian]

Oregon lost and Ole Miss is going down. They are directly ahead of us on NET. UConn is 29.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

Looking at bracketmatrix last year, here were the biggest whiffs for their projected 7-10 seeds:

Nevada: projected 7, actual 10 (-3)
Utah St: projected 6, actual 8 (-2)
Boise St: projected 8, actual 10 (-2)
FAU: projected 10, actual 8 (+2)

All other 7-10 seeds were within 1 seed of their projections.

I'm curious if FAU's bump was due to being a final four team the year prior. If that was why, it should benefit us in this year's seeding.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

I've seen this sentiment a lot and I don't wholly disagree. But my counterpoint would be that the alternative then is placing a team they view as better than UConn in a matchup with a 1 seed, which is an actual disservice as opposed to playing the idea of UConn

The argument then would come down to what they place more value in: who they view as the stronger team or who has the better metrics (they don't necessarily have to equate the two).

Also, look at my response on FAU in last year's tournament. They may view recent tournament history as part of the equation while metrics will completely ignore that.

Finally, there is some built in adjustment anyway as they need to prevent schools from facing in-conference opponents (unless it isn't possible) during the first two rounds and higher seeded schools from the same conference meeting before the regional finals.

 

[6Nattys4Us]

I'm pretty confident that none of the prognosticators whose bracket projections are being referenced on this thread are on the selection committee.

True - I usually go with the field, but the committee decides not the field.

 

[jibsey]

6 time and back to back national champion literally begging on their hands and knees for a 7? I think not.
Give us any seed and let us beat all of these bastards as an unranked team. Let ESPN spin that.

 

[HooperScooper]

Jerry Palm clearly has a narcotics problem

Or early onset dementia.

 

[RuffRuff]

This year, there are a lot of overrated teams. Imagine a region with say 1. Florida, 2. MSU, 3. Clemson, 4. Louisville, 5. Kentucky, 6. Purdue. I’d feel pretty good as a 7 or 8 seed in that. Then again knowing the NCAA, we’re probs going to end in the hardest region with like Auburn, Houston, and Iowa State (Duke is gonna be given a cakewalk).

Florida getting disrespected - wouldn’t be surprised at all if they won the whole thing. Best 3 wins of anyone this year, great young coach and really good players.

 

[ec33]

Let's rethink that: "I want to play a Big Ten team badly"

Let's crush them and remind the world that that league hasn't won a championship since 2000 and UConn alone has won five since then.

Beating that B1G team in front of a raucous crowd in Rutgers' home state would be extra sweet.

 

[ctbro1999]

7 seed is now out of play. We are destined for an 8/9 game.

 

[RuffRuff]

7 seed is now out of play. We are destined for an 8/9 game.

It’s a lock - it’s all about what 8/9 and 1 we get paired with now.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

It’s a lock - it’s all about what 8/9 and 1 we get paired with now.

Wrong.


It's about what version of our team shows up.

If we play at our best, I don't care how highly regarded the other team is, we will prevail. If we bring a lackluster effort, I don't care how allegedly favorable the matchup may appear for us, we will go home early

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

Funny enough, I said a couple months ago when things were trending downward that I was having nightmares about seeing Mississippi State in the first round and running back the Hurley - Chris Jans debacle with New Mexico State. Imagine my shock and horror when I just glanced at Lunardi's latest bracket.

 

[auror]

Funny enough, I said a couple months ago when things were trending downward that I was having nightmares about seeing Mississippi State in the first round and running back the Hurley - Chris Jans debacle with New Mexico State. Imagine my shock and horror when I just glanced at Lunardi's latest bracket.

Josh Hubbard about to go for 43.

 

[Superhuskies]

St Johns gets Providence /Amica.....and also Newark, win or lose BET final tonight...(?)
Duke gets Atlanta...regardless anything.....(?)...

 

[FlexOnEm]

We better hope for Duke without Flagg. That may be our only fighting chance as an 8/9 seed. Auburn, Florida, and Houston will destroy us.

 

[auror]

We better hope for Duke without Flagg. That may be our only fighting chance as an 8/9 seed. Auburn, Florida, and Houston will destroy us.

Seems like Flagg will play.

If Alabama were to get a 1, I wouldn't hate that matchup.

 

[FlexOnEm]

Seems like Flagg will play.

If Alabama were to get a 1, I wouldn't hate that matchup.

Alabama might hit 15+ 3s on our defense. But I agree they’d be a better matchup than Auburn, Houston, or Florida.

 

[Hunt for 7]

Not sure how we can like any matchup being on the 7,8 or 9 line. Creighton was projected as a 9 before they made us look like a Crown team for 30 minutes then when we ha a chance our “star” player was involved in four of the five game changing moments and went 0 for 4 in getting the job done.

Whoever we play in the first round will be as good or better than us. It is what it is this year. We do a few things well and we are really bad in several key areas. We will root for our team on Thursday or Friday hope for the best and when the season ends it ends.

 

[jibsey]

If there are 4 BE teams will they put one in each region?