7 Seed Still In Play

[UCFan1513]

I think we have to win BET to move up, and not even sure beating Marquette would get us there. We may have to beat SJU.

If the committee has Marquette as a 7, and we beat them in the final, I'm not sure they can put them ahead of us with a 0-3 head to head record

 

[AZHuskiePop]

Is it possible to win a Natty as a 7 seed?

Ask Villanova they won as an 8 beating GT
With help from one or two Ct kids
under Rollie
Then lost to a 7 under Jay Wright ,
As did other great coaches like Izzo, Calipari and Billy Donavan
In fact Nova’s loss was a blowout to a 7

 

[auror]

If the committee has Marquette as a 7, and we beat them in the final, I'm not sure they can put them ahead of us with a 0-3 head to head record

In general head to head is not a big deal, but Committee does take this into account when the teams are close. See them putting Xavier as the 3 and UConn as the 4 in 2023.

 

[ctbro1999]

Looking at bracketmatrix last year, here were the biggest whiffs for their projected 7-10 seeds:

Nevada: projected 7, actual 10 (-3)
Utah St: projected 6, actual 8 (-2)
Boise St: projected 8, actual 10 (-2)
FAU: projected 10, actual 8 (+2)

All other 7-10 seeds were within 1 seed of their projections.

 

[navery12]

My gut tells me that the committee has us as a seven at the moment, primarily because they won't want to have a one seed have to worry about having to play us this early.

I've seen this sentiment a lot and I don't wholly disagree. But my counterpoint would be that the alternative then is placing a team they view as better than UConn in a matchup with a 1 seed, which is an actual disservice as opposed to playing the idea of UConn

 

[FlippinCrazy!]

This year, there are a lot of overrated teams. Imagine a region with say 1. Florida, 2. MSU, 3. Clemson, 4. Louisville, 5. Kentucky, 6. Purdue. I’d feel pretty good as a 7 or 8 seed in that. Then again knowing the NCAA, we’re probs going to end in the hardest region with like Auburn, Houston, and Iowa State (Duke is gonna be given a cakewalk).

 

[Sibeerian]

Oregon lost and Ole Miss is going down. They are directly ahead of us on NET. UConn is 29.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

I've seen this sentiment a lot and I don't wholly disagree. But my counterpoint would be that the alternative then is placing a team they view as better than UConn in a matchup with a 1 seed, which is an actual disservice as opposed to playing the idea of UConn

The argument then would come down to what they place more value in: who they view as the stronger team or who has the better metrics (they don't necessarily have to equate the two).

Also, look at my response on FAU in last year's tournament. They may view recent tournament history as part of the equation while metrics will completely ignore that.

Finally, there is some built in adjustment anyway as they need to prevent schools from facing in-conference opponents (unless it isn't possible) during the first two rounds and higher seeded schools from the same conference meeting before the regional finals.

 

[HooperScooper]

Jerry Palm clearly has a narcotics problem

Or early onset dementia.

 

[RuffRuff]

This year, there are a lot of overrated teams. Imagine a region with say 1. Florida, 2. MSU, 3. Clemson, 4. Louisville, 5. Kentucky, 6. Purdue. I’d feel pretty good as a 7 or 8 seed in that. Then again knowing the NCAA, we’re probs going to end in the hardest region with like Auburn, Houston, and Iowa State (Duke is gonna be given a cakewalk).

Florida getting disrespected - wouldn’t be surprised at all if they won the whole thing. Best 3 wins of anyone this year, great young coach and really good players.