We differ only on what it takes to be mediocre bowl eligible. I submit that it is much more difficult to be a 2 win team than it is to be a 6 win team. If you stop shooting yourself in the foot you should be able to get to six wins.
If we don't shoot ourselves in the foot against Missouri and USF, we'd be right around six with a win this week.
Last season was a self inflicted shooting gallery. Merely by stopping digging they were bound to improve. We are a little better on the field once you remove the suicidal mistakes, but most of the improvement in the record is from not being so terrible. If we played as cleanly last season, still not that clean, we'd have won 6 easy.