24-25 Torvik Projections

[KemBuckets21]

Save your titles, give me the top projected effective talent team in July.

 

[nomar]

Save your titles, give me the top projected effective talent team in July.

I hope Meleek and Acaden saw it!

 

[ctchamps]

Kenpom is the one everyone knows because it gets mentioned by far the most on TV. Torvik and Evan Miya are the other two that chronically online basketball fans know about.

The Boneyard has a subsection of fans who were online before advanced metrics were well known or existed at all, and they probably don't care much about any of that stuff and care more about traditional media (i.e. TV and reporters). I guess what I'm saying is if you were in your 20s when you found the Boneyard 25 years ago, you probably don't give a crap about who Torvik is lol.


Anyway, these models are going to be smoothing out year over year improvement, etc. Reed was statistically a pretty mid player on a bad team and if you assume he's going to get like 5% better then UConn is not a top 5 team.

A real human might feel confident saying Reed can be one of the best big men in the Big East after being coached by Hurley, but if he transferred to Georgetown we would not be projecting him as such. I doubt this model has any reliable way of capturing that sentiment/reality.

The subsection that cares about Torvik are MATH NERDS. That was part of the 2023 tournament mojo. Not as effective as the Mandalorian theme of “I have spoken” but “this is the Boneyard way”.

That trend plus Luke (not the Star Wars guy but Coach Luke) being very much into math analytics and inserting that philosophy into Hurley’s lexicon has made this non math analytical individual stand up and notice what the math nerds are writing.

I don’t know a Torvik from a Miya but when someone like @auror or @tzznandrew or @caw or @aceboon present analytics I try to absorb what little I can.

 

[UCann]

Take a look at our ranking in projected effective talent and projected effective experience, it tells you we have a very talented but somewhat inexperienced team (especially returning minutes played by the sophomores). The model also undervalues our transfers IMO. What makes young talent realize its potential and transfers more valuable? Coaching. What do we have the best of? Coaching. What's not really factored in here? Coaching.

 

[TheChamps990411]

Take a look at our ranking in projected effective talent and projected effective experience, it tells you we have a very talented but somewhat inexperienced team (especially returning minutes played by the sophomores). The model also undervalues our transfers IMO. What makes young talent realize its potential and transfers more valuable? Coaching. What do we have the best of? Coaching. What's not really factored in here? Coaching.

This man speaks truth. This is the Gospel of Ucann 23: 24

 

[willie99]

Obviously he knows Danny still can't win a close game. He's not going to be able to win by double digits forever dontchaknow