2016 AAC Tournament Bracket

[BoatShow]

Itd be swell if 2 of Houston, Tulsa, Memphis could knock off Temple.

 

[Leebo]

Itd be swell if 2 of Houston, Tulsa, Memphis could knock off Temple.

There are better than even odds that they lose both the Houston and Tulsa games. Losing one of the Memphis and Tulane games also seems probable.

 

[BoatShow]

There are better than even odds that they lose both the Houston and Tulsa games. Losing one of the Memphis and Tulane games also seems probable.

Not impossible but I would not say probable.

 

[Leebo]

Not impossible but I would not say probable.

kenpom has those two games as 68% and 67%, which means their chances of sweeping is 46%.

They're more likely to lose a game than sweep.

 

[tcf15]

Remaining Schedule for Top 5

1. Temple: @ Tulsa, UCF, Memphis, @ Tulane
2. Cincinnati: @ ECU, @ Houston, SMU
3. Tulsa: Temple, @ Memphis, USF
4. Connecticut: @ USF, Houston, @ SMU, UCF
5. Houston: @ UCF, @ UConn, Cinci

 

[BFieldHusky]

Couple of thoughts on the bracket. Unless something crazy happens, Temple is going to be the No. 1 seed. They have a 2 game lead on everyone else (minus SMU who obviously is not in play here) and they have the tiebreakers over everyone else. Even if they lose at Tulsa, their last 3 games are UCF/Memphis at home, and at Tulane. I don't see them losing any of those games.

If UConn/Cincy/Tulsa all have the same record at the end of the year, Cincy and Tulsa will finish ahead of UConn because of tiebreakers. I think Tulsa can win out, while Cincy still has tough games at Houston and hosting SMU.

I wouldn't mind this bracket. If we could get past Houston, I would love to play Temple again. We owe them and are due to beat them.

 

[BoatShow]

That bracket makes me feel a million times worse about yesterday wow

 

[champs99and04]

My only real hope is to be on the opposite side of Cincinnati.

 

[CAHUSKY]

That bracket makes me feel a million times worse about yesterday wow

Does it really matter? We can beat anyone or lose to anyone.

 

[Connecticut]

Temple always stays behind, but just jacks a bunch of clutch 3s at the end. That strategy can't work every game.

I feel it is going to us vs Cincy for the championship.

 

[BluffCityHsky]

Agree with CA. Unless we are #1 or #2 the quarterfinal game on a neutral court will be debatable. I've got to think uconn fans will travel better than whichever opponent they'll face throughout the tourney so there may actually be a little advantage. Previously I'd said Memphis fans would be there in droves. But I doubt anyone here would admit to going anywhere but disney that week. I also want another shot at temple, but they do continue to surprise

 

[4in16]

It wouldn't be an AAC tournament without UConn beating Cincinnati in the semis.

 

[BoatShow]

Agree with CA. Unless we are #1 or #2 the quarterfinal game on a neutral court will be debatable. I've got to think uconn fans will travel better than whichever opponent they'll face throughout the tourney so there may actually be a little advantage. Previously I'd said Memphis fans would be there in droves. But I doubt anyone here would admit to going anywhere but disney that week. I also want another shot at temple, but they do continue to surprise

2 straight down years has taken its toll on Memphis. Their crowd vs us was pitiful. This is the reason the tournament is coming back to Hartford, they know we will at least show up. (USF tourney game aside.)

 

[BoatShow]

Does it really matter? We can beat anyone or lose to anyone.

It's really more of pride thing honestly. Need to at least be a top 2 finisher in this league at some point.

 

[4in16]

What is the 2nd tie breaker after h2h that Tulsa has over UConn?

 

[kobe]

What is the 2nd tie breaker after h2h that Tulsa has over UConn?

Record vs 1st place. Tulsa is 1-1 vs Temple, UConn is 0-2.

 

[BoatShow]

Temple with a real strong 2pt win over UCF today

 

[Rico444]

It's embarrassing that we lost twice to Temple. They almost just lost to UCF on their home floor.

 

[champs99and04]

Temple is 92nd on KenPom. You have to think they need to get to at least the AAC Championship game to get in.

 

[7774]

It's embarrassing that we lost twice to Temple. They almost just lost to UCF on their home floor.

I'm not going to disagree that the losses were embarrassing, mostly because of the way they occurred, but let's not pretend that teams in this conference bring the same level of focus and intensity to games against the rest of the conference that they do for games against us. We've earned a big bullseye with our success.

 

[pepband99]

I've lost track - are we locked into the 5 at this point?

 

[tcf15]

Here's the updated bracket and games remaining for the top 5:

1. Temple: Memphis, @Tulane
2. Cincinnati: @Houston, SMU
3. Houston: Cinci
4. Tulsa: USF
5. Connecticut: @SMU, UCF

 

[4in16]

I've lost track - are we locked into the 5 at this point?

Not necessarily, but would need a lot of help to move out of the 4-5 game top 6 teams (including SMU) are only separated by 2 games in the loss column with 2 to play for everyone besides Tulsa and Houston both 11-6. Memphis is definitely the 6 though.

American Standings
TEAM CONF OVERALL
SMU 12-4 24-4
Temple 12-4 18-10
Cincinnati 11-5 21-8
Houston 11-6 21-8
Tulsa 11-6 19-10
Connecticut 10-6 20-9
Memphis 7-9 16-13
UCF 5-11 11-16
South Florida 4-12 7-22
East Carolina 3-13 11-18
Tulane 3-13 10-19

 

[CardiacAndre7]

If Houston beats Cincy, we win out, who has the tiebreaker between us and Houston? Does it go to overall records?

 

[4in16]

If Houston beats Cincy, we win out, who has the tiebreaker between us and Houston? Does it go to overall records?

I asked this in regards to Tulsa and it goes by record against the first place team.