I think South Carolina and Tenn are a year away from final 4 form. The kids at SC don't have the experience yet, same is true of Tn
I think they were at least a year away last season. But South Carolina lost no one, are more experienced, and picked up an excellent recruiting class. They may be more of a threat to make the FF next season, but they are a serious threat this year already.
Tennessee only lost Simmons, which some argue might be an addition by subtraction. Everyone else will be a year more experienced, and they had a good freshman class. Both S. Carolina and Tennessee were top 8 teams last season and it isn't difficult to imagine them making the leap to top 4 this season.
I think Kentucky has a shot and Duke .
As Meyers pointed out, they lost their bigs and so Kentucky might take a step back this season. And they weren't even top 8 last season. Duke lost Alexis Jones to transfer, and a huge, important senior class. Even JPM has to view this season as a rebuilding year. The loss of Jones really hurts a team with exceptionally low guard depth to begin with.
I think the ND vote is based on the last 3 years . But no achonwa, McBride, diggins, novesel, Becca, etc--the mystique of ND may be fading. North Carolina has 6 kids that have been to the final 4. Diamond transferred to Tn and can't play for another year.
Are you being serious? Notre Dame never had a mystique in WCBB, but they are as strong as ever since Muffet has been doing much better recruiting the past 3 years. Underestimate them at your own peril. As Meyers pointed out, UNC hasn't been to the final 4 in many years
Tn also has a Duke transfer who can't play this coming year.
Tennessee has the UNC transfer (Diamond). Baylor got the Duke transfer (Alexis Jones), who probably wouldn't play this year even if she were eligible, as she has had surgery on
both knees this offseason.
Stanford doesn't show on the ballot they are always (in the past 10 years) been among those getting into the final 4. It would not surprise me if they too showed up .
I respect Stanford and Tara very much, so I expect them to be top 10, but the loss of Chiney is to much to overcome to expect a FF appearance.