UConn -5.5 | Page 3 | The Boneyard

UConn -5.5

WeAreUCONN

Why So Serious ¿
Joined
Mar 30, 2014
Messages
1,531
Reaction Score
3,989
Tough night for you. I hope you were able to wipe away your tears with your Devandorf jersey before they flooded your microwave dinner.
Where’s the eraser button? I need to quickly rewrite something.
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
1,872
Reaction Score
5,916
No way in hell I’d ever put down money vs UConn under any circumstances but that line is a Xmas present from Vegas.
I see these posts and I always add more onto my bet. There are no Christmas presents, only sheep lining up for the slaughter.
 

WeAreUCONN

Why So Serious ¿
Joined
Mar 30, 2014
Messages
1,531
Reaction Score
3,989
Told you cry babies

From the bottom of my heart $&@) you
I’m happy we won. Let’s all celebrate this small victory over a lousy Marquette team and focus our energy on Xavier.
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
1,872
Reaction Score
5,916
Well, I couldn't rescind my Marquette +6.5, so instead I hedged by taking UConn now -6.

I now have:

Marquette +6.5
Marquette +7
UConn - 6

If we win by exactly 6, I'll have a great night!
No casino or book allows you to "rescind" a bet.
 

8893

Curiouser
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
29,851
Reaction Score
96,512
There are things people quickly forget about when they go to place money on a game. First and foremost... "they do not build casinos in the desert for no reason".

My strategy revolves around fading the public/$ and has worked very well for me in the past (hitting at a 66% clip on NCAAB, well above the 55% professionals claim). For example, last night Temple was -4 against 6-13 USF... 99% (!!!) of the public was on Temple with about 14K people betting on it. It seems too good to be true, why only a -4 favorite against such a horrid team? Well, the linemakers know a lot more than us and USF ended up winning by 3pts (I won on +4 and Vegas RAKED).

Very similar to a week ago or so when 6-12 ASU being +6 against a 19th ranked USC. 96% (!!!) public was on USC, ASU ended up losing by 5.

Although you obviously don't win 100% of the time with this strategy (and these being the absolute extreme cases), tonight looks like another bet I'll be making and it's on the Huskies.

22% of the bets on UConn, only 16% of the $ is on UConn (and the line is going up!). I'll be happily siding with Vegas because yet again they know a lot more than us. Pair that with Marquette 5-0 ATS their last 5 and UConn 0-3 ATS their last 3, I see a regression to the mean for both teams in terms of ATS wins/losses.
Wicked smaht.
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
5,047
Reaction Score
11,672
Watch and learn.
I did that UCONN is a good team and I'm not giving up on them. I think you need some faith you fair weather fan. Believe in the plan. You look like a fool now.
 

WeAreUCONN

Why So Serious ¿
Joined
Mar 30, 2014
Messages
1,531
Reaction Score
3,989
I did that UCONN is a good team and I'm not giving up on them.I think you need some faith you fair weather fan. Believe in the plan. You look like a fool now.
A fool in one’s eyes is brilliant in another’s(Confucius, 101BC).
 
Joined
Mar 29, 2013
Messages
1,470
Reaction Score
9,736
I actually think we cover the line tonight....with Hawkins having more confidence I think he'll have a big breakout game. If he and Polley both get going from deep we are a totally different team. We do need Sanogo to stay out of foul trouble, but if he can do that and we can get him some touches early I think we win going away. The team is desperate need of a big win and I'm optimistic we get it tonight.
Just going to leave this here….
 

BoukofJames

“Business. Always business.”
Joined
Mar 27, 2020
Messages
617
Reaction Score
4,808
No casino or book allows you to "rescind" a bet.
Fanduel actually allows you to cash out bets at cost before an event starts or during event with the refund amount adjusted based on the live action

Hilarious cold takes in this thread. Queue the will Ferrell what an idiot GIF
 

2014DualCs

#44 Kangaroo Jack
Joined
Nov 24, 2021
Messages
51
Reaction Score
299
There are things people quickly forget about when they go to place money on a game. First and foremost... "they do not build casinos in the desert for no reason".

My strategy revolves around fading the public/$ and has worked very well for me in the past (hitting at a 66% clip on NCAAB, well above the 55% professionals claim). For example, last night Temple was -4 against 6-13 USF... 99% (!!!) of the public was on Temple with about 14K people betting on it. It seems too good to be true, why only a -4 favorite against such a horrid team? Well, the linemakers know a lot more than us and USF ended up winning by 3pts (I won on +4 and Vegas RAKED).

Very similar to a week ago or so when 6-12 ASU being +6 against a 19th ranked USC. 96% (!!!) public was on USC, ASU ended up losing by 5.

Although you obviously don't win 100% of the time with this strategy (and these being the absolute extreme cases), tonight looks like another bet I'll be making and it's on the Huskies.

22% of the bets on UConn, only 16% of the $ is on UConn (and the line is going up!). I'll be happily siding with Vegas because yet again they know a lot more than us. Pair that with Marquette 5-0 ATS their last 5 and UConn 0-3 ATS their last 3, I see a regression to the mean for both teams in terms of ATS wins/losses.
Side note: if you regularly gamble on any college or professional sports, I highly recommend downloading the Action Sports Network on your phone and paying for the Pro version. I believe it's about $120 per year and worth every penny.

Big $, Sharp $, System (betting model), Edge (line vs. Action Networks suggested line), and Pro (Accounts of pro bettors picking which side they're on) indicators to help guide you to more gambling wins.

I’m going to follow @Hurleyman216 and leave this here as well to help people going forward lol
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
1,872
Reaction Score
5,916
Fanduel actually allows you to cash out bets at cost before an event starts or during event with the refund amount adjusted based on the live action

Hilarious cold takes in this thread. Queue the will Ferrell what an idiot GIF
Interesting. I certainly wish my book allowed it when I took the over in Pitt/MSU bowl game before Pickett announced he was not playing.
 

XLCenterFan

CT, NE
Joined
Feb 25, 2018
Messages
3,540
Reaction Score
13,470
There are things people quickly forget about when they go to place money on a game. First and foremost... "they do not build casinos in the desert for no reason".

My strategy revolves around fading the public/$ and has worked very well for me in the past (hitting at a 66% clip on NCAAB, well above the 55% professionals claim). For example, last night Temple was -4 against 6-13 USF... 99% (!!!) of the public was on Temple with about 14K people betting on it. It seems too good to be true, why only a -4 favorite against such a horrid team? Well, the linemakers know a lot more than us and USF ended up winning by 3pts (I won on +4 and Vegas RAKED).

Very similar to a week ago or so when 6-12 ASU being +6 against a 19th ranked USC. 96% (!!!) public was on USC, ASU ended up losing by 5.

Although you obviously don't win 100% of the time with this strategy (and these being the absolute extreme cases), tonight looks like another bet I'll be making and it's on the Huskies.

22% of the bets on UConn, only 16% of the $ is on UConn (and the line is going up!). I'll be happily siding with Vegas because yet again they know a lot more than us. Pair that with Marquette 5-0 ATS their last 5 and UConn 0-3 ATS their last 3, I see a regression to the mean for both teams in terms of ATS wins/losses.
I love fading the public. It’s hard to do sometimes. In the NFL, when you fade the public , you often end up betting on the jets or the jags. Where do you get your stats for % of bets vs. % of money? I would like to see those numbers when I bet as well.
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
1,872
Reaction Score
5,916
Everyone already knew you were a troll but seeing @huskiesouth @buddy @Nicklo28 like the post sheds light on some more of them.
Based upon our previous two games and Marquette’s recent games thinking we would lose was a reasonable conclusion. Glad I was proven wrong.
I didn't want to jinx them.
Thank you for your interest in UConn basketball.
 

Online statistics

Members online
402
Guests online
2,557
Total visitors
2,959

Forum statistics

Threads
157,274
Messages
4,090,883
Members
9,983
Latest member
Darkbloom


Top Bottom