Our ‘Floor and Ceiling’ in 2022

[Nostical]

Big Game Boomer Show just listed the floor and ceiling of every college football team in 2022. The best projected for us is 5-7. The worst is 1-11
Here are their projections for our FBS opponents.
Ceiling Floor
UConn. 5-7 1-11
SYR. 6-6 2-10
MICH. 10-2. 8-4
NC St. 12-0. 10-2
Army. 9-3 7-5
Ball St. 5-7 3-9
FIU. 2-10 0-12
UMass. 3-9 0-12
BC. 8-4. 6-6
Utah St. 9-3 7-5
Fresno St. 12-0. 9-3
Liberty. 8-4 6-6

 

[pepband99]

Big Game Boomer Show just listed the floor and ceiling of every college football team in 2022. The best projected for us is 5-7. The worst is 1-11
Here are their projections for our FBS opponents.
Ceiling Floor
UConn. 5-7 1-11
SYR. 6-6 2-10
MICH. 10-2. 8-4
NC St. 12-0. 10-2
Army. 9-3 7-5
Ball St. 5-7 3-9
FIU. 2-10 0-12
UMass. 3-9 0-12
BC. 8-4. 6-6
Utah St. 9-3 7-5
Fresno St. 12-0. 9-3
Liberty. 8-4 6-6

Most of these seem reasonable. I think Liberty's floor could be worse. Maybe Utah St's too.

UConn's is spot on, in my mind.

 

[Chin Diesel]

Floor is 1.
Ceiling is 6?

 

[businesslawyer]

Five wins for Mora this year would be an amazing result. Nothing in predictions is ever 100% but I think there is over a 99% chance that we’re in the 1-11 to 5-12 range.

 

[SubbaBub]

Five wins for Mora this year would be an amazing result. Nothing in predictions is ever 100% but I think there is over a 99% chance that we’re in the 1-11 to 5-12 range.

Going into the last game with a chance at 6 wins is a successful first season.

Needing to win the last 2 to get to 4 isn't.

 

[Chin Diesel]

Five wins for Mora this year would be an amazing result. Nothing in predictions is ever 100% but I think there is over a 99% chance that we’re in the 1-11 to 5-12 range.

On the 1% chance it falls out the 1-5 win range, what's the chance of being 0 as compared to 6 or more?

Please don't answer that. I want to have hope.

 

[weyuo]

A successful season in college football is post-season play. Quit lowering the bar for this program.

 

[Bubba1957]

Five wins for Mora this year would be an amazing result. Nothing in predictions is ever 100% but I think there is over a 99% chance that we’re in the 1-11 to 5-12 range.

Ouch! Probably right but I’m still holding out for better. If I could see a high ceiling during the Diaco years (self described Diacoholic), then I can sure see it with the real deal, JM.

 

[pepband99]

On the 1% chance it falls out the 1-5 win range, what's the chance of being 0 as compared to 6 or more?

Please don't answer that. I want to have hope.

95% 6+ , 5% 0. The chance of us losing to both UMass and Central is getting into 15 seed winning the NCAA tourney numbers.

 

[Dizzy21]

Five wins for Mora this year would be an amazing result. Nothing in predictions is ever 100% but I think there is over a 99% chance that we’re in the 1-11 to 5-12 range.

Zero chance we get anywhere near 5 wins and 12 losses this year.

 

[Husky92]

Zero chance we get anywhere near 5 wins and 12 losses this year.

Took me a minute…but GOOD CALL!

 

[phillionaire]

As long as we get over 2.5

 

[Husky68]

Floor is zero and ceiling is 14.

 

[KingLurk]

I'd say these numbers are about right. I would say 6 wins (BC is good but no depth and if injuries pile up, a different team) is more likely than 0 wins (Sorry, Central) - 5-7 and competitive games is a successful season.

 

[mymustang]

That's what I have 2.5 wins. I feel good about that. The line on the Utah game has come down a half point.


'

 

[DoctorWho85]

Floor 12

Ceiling 14 and NC

 

[ZooCougar]

Going into the last game with a chance at 6 wins is a successful first season.

Needing to win the last 2 to get to 4 isn't.

Your expectations are crazy. The front half of the schedule is murder. Even in perfect health we don’t have the talent yet to get that record.

Hit the brakes.

 

[ZooCougar]

That's what I have 2.5 wins. I feel good about that. The line on the Utah game has come down a half point.


'

I put money on 3 wins.

 

[Exit 4]

Five wins. I want a five win season- and we should be able to do it. 3 wins is the min, 7 is best case.

And I sure hope for an appreciable attendance spike for the balance of the year if we can thump CCSU and/or take it to Syracuse. Be nice to get in the low 30s with the crowd.

 

[shizzle787]

1-11 for floor and 6-6 for ceiling.

 

[Husky68]

Your expectations are crazy. The front half of the schedule is murder. Even in perfect health we don’t have the talent yet to get that record.

Hit the brakes.

Oh Contraire. Get your foot off the brakes and the 1 win is realistic mindset. All teams reload. None have the increase in talent and coaching from HCRE2.0 and his "the portal is the boogieman" mindset.

 

[ZooCougar]

Oh Contraire. Get your foot off the brakes and the 1 win is realistic mindset. All teams reload. None have the increase in talent and coaching from HCRE2.0 and his "the portal is the boogieman" mindset.

Look at the schedule. Stop being a fool.

 

[AzHusky]

With the increase in talent this year over last year what are the realistic expectations for this season? I understand there is a lot of coach speak going on, but some of the hype has to be real.

 

[uconnbill]

UConn. 6-6 2-10
SYR. 6-6 2-10
MICH. 11-1. 8-4
NC St. 11-1. 9-3
Army. 9-3 7-5
Ball St. 5-7 3-9
FIU. 2-10 0-12
UMass. 2-10 0-12
BC. 7-5 5-7
Utah St. 9-3 7-5
Fresno St. 10-2. 8-4
Liberty. 9-3 7-5

 

[Hoophound]

I’m a dreamer but I can’t help but think about how Mazzone made us competitive against Wyoming and Vandy in a week. We had some talented players and now we have many more. We also have a very good coaching staff. I think we will probably be a 3-4 win team but I can’t shake the fantasy that we might catch lightning in a bottle and outperform our more rational predictions. The energy is just so positive around the program right now.