Xavier line

[Tenspro2002]

I have no idea how to feel about the spread (-7 or 7.5 is what I've seen), but the moneyline at -345/+285 seems way too high. That would imply that we're like 76% to win this game.

I put a little on Xavier +285 (hate doing this, but seems like good value and I expect to be able to hedge it live if the game is close in the second half).

If we get an early lead and the live spread inflates from 7.5 to 10.5 or so, I'd probably put some on Xavier +10.5 (even if there's fouling at the end, it's rare for that to push into double digits), also expecting to hedge later and get UConn at -3.5 or whatever when we have a small lead later on and give myself a big landing strip.

If we blow them out from the tip I'm happy to take a bath on this game.

 

[Deleted at users request]

I have no idea how to feel about the spread (-7 or 7.5 is what I've seen), but the moneyline at -345/+285 seems way too high. That would imply that we're like 76% to win this game.

I put a little on Xavier +285 (hate doing this, but seems like good value and I expect to be able to hedge it live if the game is close in the second half).

If we get an early lead and the live spread inflates from 7.5 to 10.5 or so, I'd probably put some on Xavier +10.5 (even if there's fouling at the end, it's rare for that to push into double digits), also expecting to hedge later and get UConn at -3.5 or whatever when we have a small lead later on and give myself a big landing strip.

If we blow them out from the tip I'm happy to take a bath on this game.

Yup I’ll pay $50 for a UConn win lol

 

[HuskyHawk]

Only explanation is that they read my Haiku and know the mojo will be strong.

I tried no Haiku for Seton Hall and wasn't happy with that result. I went with musical Haiku X 3 today.

 

[CL82]

Xavier line?

Probably something like “Hey baby, you want to see my musket?”

 

[imno1]

Line is currently 6.5 70% of the money on Xavier so far.

 

[Tenspro2002]

Guess Vegas didn't know something and an obviously bad line was just bad.

 

[Jay-Bone]

It is. What do you think it should be and how much are you putting on Xavier?

 

[Husky SZN]

Bookmarked

Woof

 

[JB75]

It is. What do you think it should be and how much are you putting on Xavier?

Thought it wud be like UConn -2.5/3

 

[Letsgohuskies11]

I had Uconn under 84.5 and Xavier over 67.5 and got +100 odds and then used a boost to get it to +133. Seemed like a very low chance that wouldnt hit.