It's a deep class but I think it will be tough for a lot of draftees to make a roster. I think anyone outside of the top 5 is at risk of getting cut. For example, you look at a player like Veronica Burton at 7...she's a good player but is headed to Dallas where she'll be competing with Ty Harris and Moriah Jefferson, plus they have Arike/Marina Mabrey who play PG as needed too. And last year's #5 pick, Chelsea Dungee will fight for her life to keep a roster spot. The front court has an overwhelming number of former top 5 picks too with Collier (1), McCowan (3), Kuier (2), Sabally (2), and Harrison. Plus there would've been Alarie (former #5 pick) who decided to sit out this year.
Rae Burrell at 9 is also tough. She didn't play at a WNBA caliber level this year but if she can play like she did as a junior, she could stick. Might be too big of a turnaround to expect over a month long period though.
I find Egbo/Hull as compelling picks but could see both getting cut. I hope the league expands in the next couple of years--there's a lot of big name star power entering the league the next couple of drafts and a ton of talented kids who we'll miss out on seeing. In today's day and age there is enough talent to field 16 strong teams.
Good post. There are just so few spots available ... and the percentages keep dropping for a chance of sticking, let alone succeeding, for so many talented athletes.
Just a few thoughts on a few of your insights (and another...):
- Vickie Johnson is a defensive-minded coach with a lot of offensive-driven guards.
Burton led the country in steals per game for the second straight year. She is the only player to average three steals a game each of the last three seasons. Seems like Vickie wrote Burton's name on this envelope. If I'm Dungee, I'd really be bending those knees and sliding those feet.
- Indiana seems to be one of those teams that can handle a number of the picks sticking. Hull can add long-range shooting and, if memory serves, she's pretty good at stealing the ball, too.
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Egbo's known for her defense and rebounding, but Her Hoop Stats points out that she "has made exactly half of her two-pointers both this season and last."
- Brittany Griner's detainment in Russia might open a temporary slot for one of the forwards Phoenix drafted: Maya Dodson or Macee Williams. Hopefully, it won't come to that.
- Of the three UConn players, I think Ms. Williams is in the best possible position with the Mystics. Coach Thibault usually knows what he's after and he mentioned Williams' defense and knowing when not to (try to) score. She can learn and contribute when needed.