Men - Wins needed for 2022 NCAA At Large Bid | Page 6 | The Boneyard

Men Wins needed for 2022 NCAA At Large Bid

Nice gutsy extra inning win away at Northeastern. Pitching again was very good, our bats seem to be in a bit of a slump. Really think we will get our offense back, it is a long season and these days are expected. Every line item below is significantly in green, except RPI. Lets get a win tomorrow vs Yale.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
9 - 2 / .818 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
8 - 1 / .889 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 33 - 8 / .805 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 60 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1 st (tied) ........ Top 2 Big East



Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal
(1) 33 - 8 / .805 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 60 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 15 ........ < 20 poll
 

Baseball America projecting UConn as the 3 seed in Coral Gables Regional

1. (2) Miami*^
2. UCLA
3. Connecticut*
4. Delaware State*


Another week, another Regional in the Baseball America projections:

Fort Worth, Texas:
1. (9) TCU*^
2. Arizona
3. Connecticut*
4. Fairfield*
 

D1Baseball also has UConn as the 3 seed in Coral Gables but w/ #2 LSU and #4 Fairleigh Dickinson.

CORAL GABLES
1 Miami* (2)
4 Fairleigh Dickinson*
2 LSU
3 Connecticut*


Yup… this week D1Baseball has UConn in the Knoxville Regional w/ #1 overall seed Tennessee:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Coppin State*
2 NC State
3 Connecticut*
 
I have a quick but important question:

Do we need to view the BE this season as a one bid league?
 
I have a quick but important question:

Do we need to view the BE this season as a one bid league?

I would @ this point…

-> Likely one-bid leagues (potential at-large teams in parentheses):

Atlantic 10 (Davidson)
Big East (Connecticut)
Big South (Campbell)
Big West (UC Santa Barbara)
Colonial (College of Charleston)
Ivy (Pennsylvania, Columbia)
MAC (Central Michigan)
Missouri Valley (Dallas Baptist)
Mountain West (UNLV)
Ohio Valley (Southeast Missouri, Belmont)
WAC (Grand Canyon)

Out of this group of teams, Dallas Baptist (No. 2 RPI) and Grand Canyon (No. 29) look like surefire at-large teams, barring collapses down the stretch.

UConn (No. 59) and UCSB (No. 49) are the next likeliest at-large teams should they fail to win automatic bids, though that should be a moot point in Santa Barbara’s case because it leads the Big West by 3.5 games, and that league’s automatic bid goes to the regular-season champion. The OVC also has two viable at-large candidates in SEMO (No. 53) and Belmont (No. 56), and whichever team wins the regular-season title could have a realistic chance to be an at-large team, assuming its RPI can stay in that range. Penn (41) and Columbia (67) also have chances for at-large bids, but their RPI rankings don’t seem likely to remain in at-large territory. <-
 
I have a quick but important question:

Do we need to view the BE this season as a one bid league?

Since the break up of the old Big East conference after the 2013 season, there has been one season where the Big East got an at large bid to the NCAA baseball tourney. That was 2017 when St. John's got an at large bid.
 
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Was out to dinner last night, and left table 4-5 times to uses men's room. Was trying to keep up with game and also see if my Packers would finally chose a WR. Happy to say that we get a comeback victory in extra innings, and the Pack moves up to take Christian Watson at WR. Good night for me.

We win another opening game of a series. We now have the second most wins (35), 2nd best winning % (.814) and the 2nd best road record (20-5) in college baseball. All behind Tennessee, which is number 1 in all categories. As we all keep on saying, all we can do is keep on winning games.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 2 / .833 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
9 - 1 / .900 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 35 - 8 / .814 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 52 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1 st (tied) ........ Top 2 Big East

Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 35 - 8 / .814 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 52 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 15 ........ < 20 poll
 
We are still undefeated in weekend series. Our chart below is significantly in green, except for our RPI. Lets get a sweep today.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 2 / .833 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
10 - 1 / .909 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 36 - 8 / .818 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 52 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1 st (tied) ........ Top 2 Big East

Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal
(1) 36 - 8 / .814 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 52 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 15 ........ < 20 poll
 
Here you go Huskymedic. After sweeping we are ALL Green in the original criteria. Thanks for heads up.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 2 / .833 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
11 - 1 / .917 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 37 - 8 / .822 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 48 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East



Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 37 - 8 / .822 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 48 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 15 ........ < 20 poll
 
.-.

-> Matt: What’s UConn gotta do to get some respect?
Kendall Rogers: Matt — Connecticut is ranked in our Top 15 because we believe in the Huskies. With that said, the Huskies, from an RPI standpoint, have played an atrocious schedule thanks to a terrible Big East Conference this year. I would say a Top 15 ranking is pretty sufficient respect at this point, if I’m being honest.

Captain Crunch: Is the American Athletic Conference going to be a 1 Bid League?
Kendall Rogers: Cap — As of right now, it certainly looks like that will be the case. But keep an eye on Houston — the Cougars are up to 76 in the RPI (still a long way to go) and are just one game out of first place. I would throw Tulane still in the mix, too.

Alex from Atascocita: The AAC, with 3 weekends of conference play to go, still is up for grabs. ECU has a 1 game lead over Houston and UCF (although it is effectively a 2 game lead due to ECU’s sweep over UCF) and Tulane is now 2 back. Do you see ECU holding on to 1st (final weekend of season ECU hosts Houston)? If ECU can win regular season title but NOT the tournament title, can they get in?
Aaron Fitt: Yeah, tight race this year. In a normal year, the AAC regular-season champion feels like a lock at-large team, but this year I’m not so sure; ECU is just No. 52 in the RPI, and if they finish outside the top 50, even a regular-season title might not get them in. Houston is 76 and UCF is 97, so those teams are even less likely to get at-large spots if they can finish atop the standings. Just an odd year for the American. A down year. <-
 

-> Matt: What’s UConn gotta do to get some respect?
Kendall Rogers: Matt — Connecticut is ranked in our Top 15 because we believe in the Huskies. With that said, the Huskies, from an RPI standpoint, have played an atrocious schedule thanks to a terrible Big East Conference this year. I would say a Top 15 ranking is pretty sufficient respect at this point, if I’m being honest.

Captain Crunch: Is the American Athletic Conference going to be a 1 Bid League?
Kendall Rogers: Cap — As of right now, it certainly looks like that will be the case. But keep an eye on Houston — the Cougars are up to 76 in the RPI (still a long way to go) and are just one game out of first place. I would throw Tulane still in the mix, too.

Alex from Atascocita: The AAC, with 3 weekends of conference play to go, still is up for grabs. ECU has a 1 game lead over Houston and UCF (although it is effectively a 2 game lead due to ECU’s sweep over UCF) and Tulane is now 2 back. Do you see ECU holding on to 1st (final weekend of season ECU hosts Houston)? If ECU can win regular season title but NOT the tournament title, can they get in?
Aaron Fitt: Yeah, tight race this year. In a normal year, the AAC regular-season champion feels like a lock at-large team, but this year I’m not so sure; ECU is just No. 52 in the RPI, and if they finish outside the top 50, even a regular-season title might not get them in. Houston is 76 and UCF is 97, so those teams are even less likely to get at-large spots if they can finish atop the standings. Just an odd year for the American. A down year. <-
ARGH.

The Big East being bad isn’t why our RPI is so shirt-filled.

It’s the non-cons on our schedule being so bad.

Nobody seems to really understand how RPI works.
 
F9EBAFAA-1034-41E8-93CB-A5DD24F34CF1.jpeg
 
.-.
Well I’d obviously be happy to be in the postseason I prefer to avoid the Tennessee regional. They have a heck of a team this year.
They should be the #1 overall seed. I’d be furious if I were them and had UConn and NC State to contend with in region play
 

Another week, another Regional in the Baseball America projections:

Fort Worth, Texas:
1. (9) TCU*^
2. Arizona
3. Connecticut*
4. Fairfield*

This week’s BaseballAmerica Field of 64 projection has UConn headed to the Stanford Regional (5/4/22):

Stanford, Calif.
1. (13) Stanford^
2. LSU
3. Connecticut*
4. Nevada*
 

Yup… this week D1Baseball has UConn in the Knoxville Regional w/ #1 overall seed Tennessee:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Coppin State*
2 NC State
3 Connecticut*


No change this week in D1Baseball’s Field of 64 projections for UConn but NC State has been flipped out for Georgia Tech:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Coppin State*
2 Georgia Tech
3 Connecticut*
 
.-.



Shawn McGrath @ShawnMMcGrath 6m
We’re inside four weeks to go, so the host picture is getting clearer. If the bracket falls right, they could go back to South Bend for the second straight year, or get shipped to Blacksburg to play a dangerous Hokies team. Louisville and Charlottesville also a possibility.

Shawn McGrath @ShawnMMcGrath 6m
Regardless, based on their low RPI, despite their record and solid play, their regional is going to be a slog and I would bet money on it being one of the tougher regionals. This projection (Tennessee, Georgia Tech, UConn, Coppin State) is brutal
 
We have started every weekend with a victory. Austin Petersen with a marvelous performance and Donlan with a clutch Home run. The game could be a preview of what we will see in tournament play, with teams 2 aces battling it out. Hope rain holds off, and lets win the series today.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 2 / .833 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
12 - 1 / .923 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 38 - 8 / .826 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 40 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East



Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal
(1) 38 - 8 / .826 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 40 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 15 ........ < 20 poll
 
The consistency of performance of AP individually and our three weekend starters collectively has really been unbelievable this year. A great as AP has been, we’ve had #1’s pitch like that before. What we haven’t had, and what explains why we’re playing absurd .826 baseball, is that our #2 and #3 starters are pitching at very close to the same level.
 
The consistency of performance of AP individually and our three weekend starters collectively has really been unbelievable this year. A great as AP has been, we’ve had #1’s pitch like that before. What we haven’t had, and what explains why we’re playing absurd .826 baseball, is that our #2 and #3 starters are pitching at very close to the same level.

The weekend starting rotation for UConn has often formed the basic core of many of the Husky baseball teams during the Penders era. To give a couple of examples, not too long ago UConn had years of Kay, Cate, and Montgomerie in the weekend starting rotation, followed by a year of Cate, Montgomerie, and Feole. One thing that has happened this year so far is that none of the weekend starters have missed a start. That is a very rare thing indeed.

One of the big differences this season for the stunning winning percentage for this team is that not only did UConn have an excellent weekend starting rotation, but it is combined with one of the better fielding UConn baseball teams, plus this has to be one of the best hitting teams that UConn has put together all the way from the top to the bottom of the order. Not much in the way of weak spots in the batting order, plus some really nice depth on the bench.
 
The consistency of performance of AP individually and our three weekend starters collectively has really been unbelievable this year. A great as AP has been, we’ve had #1’s pitch like that before. What we haven’t had, and what explains why we’re playing absurd .826 baseball, is that our #2 and #3 starters are pitching at very close to the same level.
We also have had really good to great mid week starters which has been an issue in the past. Cooke was dominant against USC and BC and Chudoba has been a battler and done very well also.
 
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