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Wins needed for 2020 NCAA bid

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The Dean’s List: Teams That Aced Week Two
ROUNDUP Aaron Fitt - February 24, 2020

>>Here’s a quick and dirty look at the teams that impressed us most in Week Two by posting strong weekends against quality competition:

...Connecticut -
After opening the season with back-to-back losses to Cal Poly and Vanderbilt, the Huskies knocked off Michigan in Arizona last week, then switched coasts and took two of three from the ninth-ranked Wolverines in Florida.<<
 

HuskyHawk

The triumphant return of the Blues Brothers.
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So, as is often the case we have been pretty strong against the strong. Great wins against Michigan. Will we finally demolish the weak? Is this the year when we win those local (I don't care about the "New England" tag vs teams like Monmouth and Stony Brook) what we are talking about is the local out of conference games. Bus ride games (can we just call it that?). It feels like we always under-perform against those teams.
 
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So, as is often the case we have been pretty strong against the strong. Great wins against Michigan. Will we finally demolish the weak? Is this the year when we win those local (I don't care about the "New England" tag vs teams like Monmouth and Stony Brook) what we are talking about is the local out of conference games. Bus ride games (can we just call it that?). It feels like we always under-perform against those teams.

The last couple of years UConn baseball has done a fine job against New England or local teams. Last season UConn was 10-1 against New England opponents. In 2018, UConn went 9-1-1 (the tie went to a quality Bryant team) against New England teams, and 2-1 in a weekend series against St. John’s, which always has a solid team. The better team doesn’t always win in college baseball, not like it often does in other college sports. UConn baseball fans should be proud of those terrific records for the last couple of years. You have to expect to lose a game or two to the "local" schools no matter how good your team is in college baseball.
 
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It would be ridiculous to say the 9th game of season was a must win, but I do consider it a big win. A record of 4-5 seems so much better then 3 - 6. Krauth has been awesome. And for the most part, so has our relief pitching. We need better starts out of Cody and Joe.

The overall winning percentage of the teams we face over the next 9 games is 26 % (13 -37). Then we start AAC play with 3 vs Cinci which is currently 2-6-1. So I am thinking we need to go 9 -3 minimum. That would get us to 13 - 8, which means a winning % of .619.

That .619% winning percentage buts us just a little above the .617% goal below.

Go Huskies !!!!



current record.. season goal

3 - 2 / .600% .... 1 - 4 / .200 - Top 15 RPI (out of Conf)
1 - 3 / .250% .... 11- 5 / .687 - Over 15 RPI (out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000% .... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 4 -5 / .444 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 64 .... <50- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Just what the doctor ordered, a much needed doubleheader sweep. Always nice to win 2 of 3 each weekend, but really looking to get a 3 game sweep tomorrow.

Above I stated was looking to go 9-3 ( minimum) in the next 12 games. We are off to a 2-0 start. Going to make a line item goal below to follow for next 10 games.

Go Huskies
12 Game Goal

current record
. goal
2 - 0 / 1.000% - 9 - 3 / .750%
current record.. season goal

3 - 2 / .600% .... 1 - 4 / .200 - Top 15 RPI (out of Conf)
3 - 3 / .500% .... 11- 5 / .687 - Over 15 RPI (out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000% .... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 6 -5 / .545 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 72 .... <50- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Wow, what a win. Not saying pretty, but great comeback victory. These 3 wins do not help our RPI (still very early), but a loss would have hurt vs a team we are superior to. Don't see Presbyterian winning many games this year.

We are 3 - 0 for our 12 game goal, and next 9 games are vs teams we should be favored to beat. It would be nice to go on a little run now.

Go Huskies !!!


12 Game Goal

current record
. goal
3 - 0 / 1.000% - 9 - 3 / .750%


current record.. season goal

3 - 2 / .600% .... 1 - 4 / .200 - Top 15 RPI (out of Conf)
4 - 3 / .571% .... 11- 5 / .687 - Over 15 RPI (out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000% .... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 7 -5 / .583 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 93 .... <50- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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A good win vs a solid UHart team. Only big negative was 5 errors. Hopefully we can clean that up. We are 4 - 0 in our 12 game goal, which is a great start to reach the 9-3 record.

An observation of our next 18 games, is that currently none of those teams have a record of above .500. That is great in that , we hopefully go on a pretty good run. The bad news is that it won't help our RPI. Not that worried about RPI, because I think that will take care of itself in the long run.

Go Huskies !!!



12 Game Goal

current record
. goal
4 - 0 / 1.000% - 9 - 3 / .750%


current record.. season goal

3 - 2 / .600% .... 1 - 4 / .200 - Top 15 RPI (out of Conf)
4 - 3 / .571% .... 11- 5 / .687 - Over 15 RPI (out of Conf)
1 - 0 / 1.000% .... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 8 -5 / .615 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 64 .... <50- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 

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