Wins needed for 2017 at large bid

[SAMCRO]

Horns going to B9, still down 6-5.

 

[SAMCRO]

Texas lost... Okie Lite (RPI 44) was probably a bubble team that just punched their ticket.

 

[huskymedic]

D1Baseball National Writers:

Kendall Rogers‏@KendallRogersD1 3m 3 minutes ago
So, with #Rice winning, another bubble team has been knocked out. Ole Miss/South Carolina, others, probably sweating buckets right now.

Aaron Fitt‏ @aaronfitt 2m 2 minutes ago
So many popped bubbles today. Nightmare day for borderline at-large teams. Starting to think no room for SC, Ole Miss, Miami, MD OR St.Johns

Kendall Rogers‏ @KendallRogersD1 2m 2 minutes ago
Yet ANOTHER bubble bursts with @OSUBaseball winning the #Big12 automatic bid with a win over #Texas. It’s pure #carnage for bubble teams.

 

[SAMCRO]

Almost every result UConn would have wanted, went the wrong way. Not loving our chances with all these upsets.

 

[huskymedic]

Almost every result UConn would have wanted, went the wrong way. Not loving our chances with all these upsets.

But not many of the National guys had UConn on the bubble/borderline even before the AAC tourney. AAC is a 4 bid league by everyone's estimation based on conference strength/RPI. We lost to Conference Champ in Semi's.

D1 still has UConn safe but for antacid purposes:

>>Stolen Bid Watch - One of the most common questions we’ve been asked on social media throughout the week is in regards to potential stolen bids. Our Mark Etheridge put together a wish list for Sunday for bubble teams. What the bubble teams need:

• Houston needs to beat East Carolina. Check
• Texas needs to beat Oklahoma State -OkState wins Big 12 Champ 6-5
• St. John’s needs to beat Xavier twice - SJU lost in Game 1
• Maryland needs to beat Northwestern, then beat Iowa (Maryland knocked out this morning).
• Southern Mississippi needs to beat Rice - Rice walks off Southern Miss 5-4
• Missouri State needs to beat Illinois State, then beat Dallas Baptist - Missouri State knocked out this morning.
• South Alabama needs to beat Georgia Southern - Check. South Alabama walks off 7-6 in 10

I linked live stats/game page if people want to check in on games.

Updated

 

[SAMCRO]

But not many of the National guys had UConn on the bubble/borderline even before the AAC tourney. AAC is a 4 bid league by everyone's estimation based on conference strength/RPI. We lost to Conference Champ in Semi's.

You're right. Must be the skeptic in me with all things involving the NCAA and UConn.

 

[huskymedic]

You're right. Must be the skeptic in me with all things involving the NCAA and UConn.

Hey... anything can happen but I'm less worried than if ECU had beaten Houston and we were looking @ 5 teams.

 

[uconnbaseball]

Please put us in Southern Miss's regional. I have never seen a less talented baseball team approach the top 10. PLEASE

We should be fine. The UM comeback was huge.

 

[huskymedic]

I'll be stunned based on Conference RPI if AAC only gets 3 teams in:


Last four in: UCLA, Southeastern Louisiana, St. John’s, Miami

First four out: Connecticut, Gonzaga, Maryland, South Carolina

Next four out: Old Dominion, Mississippi, McNeese State, Louisiana Tech

>>Connecticut, Gonzaga, Maryland, South Carolina are the first four out and could conceivably get in depending on how much the committee values RPI. UConn, Maryland and South Carolina all have RPIs in the 30s. The Gamecocks, however, lost eight straight SEC series to end the season and could’ve benefited from another win in the Southeastern Conference Tournament.<<

Sensing a split opinion btwn Baseball America and D1Baseball.

 

[dbmill]

UConn last received an NCAA tourney at large bid in 2011. From 2012 onward, in terms of conference record and RPI, I'm inclined to think that this team is in the best shape since that time to receive an at large bid. We'll find out soon if that is enough to make the NCAA tourney.

 

[huskymedic]

As I thought above... split decision btwn BaseballAmerica (last 4 out) and D1baseball (last three in as at three seed):

D1Baseball.com - Final Field of 64 Projection: May 29th

>>The last three teams in our field of 64 were Gonzaga, Old Dominion and Connecticut, in order of least safe to most safe. Our first three teams out were Texas A&M, St. John’s and Maryland, in that order — so Gonzaga was our last team in and Texas A&M was our first team out.<<

Clemson, SC
1 Clemson
4 Davidson*
3 Connecticut
2 Oklahoma

 

[Kemba429]

Im hoping for the 3 in Chapel Hill or Winston Salem so I can make the trip!

 

[dbmill]

So, in a "normal" year UConn would probably be safely in. However, it would seem that due to the large number of upsets in conference tourneys over the weekend the Huskies are back on the bubble.

 

[huskymedic]

 

[dbmill]

As I thought above... split decision btwn BaseballAmerica (last 4 out) and D1baseball (last three in as at three seed):

D1Baseball.com - Final Field of 64 Projection: May 29th

>>The last three teams in our field of 64 were Gonzaga, Old Dominion and Connecticut, in order of least safe to most safe. Our first three teams out were Texas A&M, St. John’s and Maryland, in that order — so Gonzaga was our last team in and Texas A&M was our first team out.<<

Clemson, SC
1 Clemson
4 Davidson*
3 Connecticut
2 Oklahoma

More from D1baseball.com:

"Sunday was a brutal day for teams on the at-large bubble. Heading into the day, there were seven conference tournaments where a likely at-large team was still alive but teams outside at-large position had a chance to win the automatic bids, and the non-at-large teams won five of them. That made the bubble considerably smaller than usual. We entered our debate with 75 teams on the board for 64 spots, and the cutting was painful."

 

[uconnbaseball]

Today has been remarkably stressful. Goodness gracious.

 

[huskymedic]

AAC discussion @18:30
Bubble discussion @ 55:00

 

[uconnbaseball]

All 3 seem to think we are in.

Miami is not even a bubble team for me. They are clearly out, just look at their schedule / results.

 

[huskymedic]

College Baseball Insider: Projected Field of 64 (5/29)

Sean Ryan‏ @collbaseball 38m 38 minutes ago
Our last four in: UCLA, St. John's, Texas A&M and Maryland; First four out: UConn, ODU, McNeese, Gonzaga. Can make a case for each...

Sean Ryan‏ @collbaseball 37m 37 minutes ago
Considered swapping UConn for Maryland and think the Huskies have a pretty good shot.

 

[dbmill]

College Baseball Insider: Projected Field of 64 (5/29)

Sean Ryan‏ @collbaseball 38m 38 minutes ago
Our last four in: UCLA, St. John's, Texas A&M and Maryland; First four out: UConn, ODU, McNeese, Gonzaga. Can make a case for each...

Sean Ryan‏ @collbaseball 37m 37 minutes ago
Considered swapping UConn for Maryland and think the Huskies have a pretty good shot.

Some pretty good equivocation there.